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Florida’s single-family rental market is resilient, but not without risk

Florida’s growth story is well-documented, and it continues to fuel demand for rental housing. According to the U.S. Census Bureau and the National Association of Realtors, Florida welcomed approximately 475,000 new residents in 2024, leading the nation in net migration. The state’s lack of income tax, favorable weather, and business-friendly climate are powerful attractors. However, this rapid population growth comes with challenges for the single-family rental market. Infrastructure, schools, and public services often lag behind and can create quality of life challenges. 

Additionally, Florida’s economic landscape has evolved beyond its historic dependence on tourism and hospitality. Sectors such as healthcare, technology, logistics, and financial services have seen strong job creation. This diversification has strengthened the underlying economy, providing long-term support for housing demand, particularly in the rental sector as housing affordability continues to erode.

Florida’s demographic trends are also shifting. Remote work flexibility, retiree relocation, and an influx of younger families seeking affordable living have all contributed to Florida’s rental market surge. This evolving population mix has further diversified rental demand, from suburban family homes to urban single-family rentals near employment hubs.

Supply constraints and investor interest

A persistent shortage of housing inventory remains a key driver of rental demand across Florida. Builders continue to face challenges from high land costs, zoning restrictions, supply chain disruptions, and rising labor expenses. Many homeowners, meanwhile, are hesitant to sell their properties, holding on to historically low mortgage rates secured during the pandemic. This has reduced the number of homes available for sale and kept renters in the market longer.

The imbalance between supply and demand has also prompted increased investor interest in Florida’s single-family rental (SFR) market. Institutional investors, build-to-rent developers, and mom-and-pop landlords alike see opportunity in markets like Lakeland, Fort Myers, and Ocala, where affordability relative to larger cities remains intact. However, this growing competition has led to higher acquisition costs and thinner margins, making disciplined underwriting and long-term thinking essential.

Additionally, the rise of build-to-rent communities is reshaping the SFR landscape. Purpose-built rental neighborhoods are gaining popularity, offering modern homes with amenities like green spaces, pools, and community centers, designed specifically for long-term renters. These communities appeal to families and professionals who want the benefits of suburban living without the barriers to homeownership.

There are cracks in the foundation

Affordability pressures are growing. Home price appreciation in Florida surged over the past several years, driven by migration and low mortgage rates. However, that trend has begun to reverse. According to Zillow, the average home value in Florida fell by 1.8% year-over-year as of February 2025, bringing the average home price to $385,851. In cities like Tampa, the decline has been even more pronounced.

While this cooling trend offers entry points for new investors, it also signals a recalibration of market dynamics. The days of double-digit rent growth may be behind us, and property values may remain flat or slightly decline in the near term. Investors should be cautious not to rely on appreciation alone as an investment thesis.

At the same time, Florida’s property insurance market is facing structural challenges. Premiums have skyrocketed across much of the state, fueled by increased storm activity, rising claims, and a shrinking pool of insurers. For SFR owners, this reality isn’t just a budget concern—it’s an existential one. The rising cost of insurance, coupled with elevated property taxes and maintenance expenses, is forcing investors to reassess financial models. According to data from the Insurance Information Institute,…

Regulatory uncertainty is another factor investors must navigate. While Florida has historically maintained a landlord-friendly environment, the political landscape is not immune to change. Some municipalities are exploring rent control proposals and increased regulation of short-term rentals in response to mounting affordability concerns. Additionally, new policies around flood insurance requirements and building codes could impact both existing and prospective investors.

A market that requires disciplined, long-term thinking

The Florida SFR market is neither a sure bet nor a market to avoid. It is, however, a market that demands careful analysis, thoughtful planning, and a long-term perspective.

Successful investors will be those who:

  • Stress-test financial models to account for rising insurance premiums, property taxes, and capital expenditures.
  • Avoid overpaying based on past rent growth trends, which may not continue.
  • Identify markets with sustainable job and wage growth that can support ongoing rental demand.
  • Take climate and natural disaster risks seriously, ensuring that properties are properly insured and resilient.
  • Focus on long-term tenant relationships and build-to-rent strategies, rather than short-term speculation.

Moreover, investors should keep a close eye on Florida’s evolving climate resilience policies. Several coastal counties have already begun implementing stricter building codes and infrastructure projects aimed at mitigating flooding and hurricane damage. These efforts, while essential, will likely contribute to higher development and maintenance costs over time.

Another consideration is the growing discussion around environmental, social, and governance (ESG) principles in real estate investing. Florida’s unique climate exposure makes it a focal point for ESG-minded investors who are seeking sustainable, long-term assets. Incorporating energy-efficient upgrades, storm-proof construction, and sustainable community planning can offer investors both risk mitigation and long-term value.

Lastly, it’s worth noting that Florida’s SFR market is closely tied to national economic conditions. Rising interest rates, shifts in migration trends, or a broader economic downturn could all impact demand for rental housing. Investors should not only analyze local market conditions but also keep an eye on macroeconomic signals that could influence tenant demand and property values.

The Florida SFR landscape is nuanced. Success will belong to those who do the work, ask the hard questions, and recognize that true resilience comes not from betting on easy returns—but from understanding the full picture.

Tony Julianelle is CEO of Atlas Real Estate. Tony has over 25 years of executive leadership experience in the finance and real estate industries.

This column does not necessarily reflect the opinion of HousingWire’s editorial department and its owners.

To contact the editor responsible for this piece: tracey@hwmedia.com

May 29, 2025/0 Comments/by JKents
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Arrive Home introduces new versions of its Earned Equity Program

Arrive Home has launched two new iterations of its Earned Equity Program (EEP), which helps consumers achieve homeownership through a long-term purchase contract.

The program is now available through two separate products designed for different groups of borrowers: EEP Pathway and EEP DocLight. 

EEP Pathway is ideally suited for individual tax identification number (ITIN) holders and certain visa-status individuals who may be long-term renters looking to move into homeownership. It follows Federal Housing Administration (FHA) guidelines with enhancements for accessibility and does not require a Social Security number or a FICO score. The program also has “flexible guidelines” for self-employed borrowers.

EEP DocLight is designed to help gig economy workers, first-time homebuyers and those who may not have qualified for a mortgage under traditional FHA guidelines. EEP DocLight’s asset-based risk model reviews profit-and-loss or bank statements, but it does not require tax returns or a FICO score.

“Launching two versions of EEP was a natural next step to expanding access to the program for more Americans looking to achieve their dream of homeownership,” Tai Christensen, the company’s chief communications officer, said in a statement. “By bifurcating the program, we’re helping lenders identify potential borrowers who stand to benefit from EEP’s innovation and flexibility.”

Launched in 2023, EEP allows borrowers to enter into a homeownership agreement with monthly payments governed by a 40-year homeownership agreement amortization schedule. This allows them to live in the home with the intention of eventually buying and assuming control of it.

At anytime during the contract term, the participant may purchase the home at a predetermined price, using the period to improve their credit and address any obstacles to qualifying for a traditional mortgage.

May 29, 2025/0 Comments/by JKents
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Trump pardons ex-‘Chrisley Knows Best’ stars Todd and Julie Chrisley

The former reality television stars known for the USA Network series “Chrisley Knows Best” had been serving multi-year sentences in prison for bank and tax fraud since the beginning of 2023.

May 29, 2025/0 Comments/by JKents
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Maverix Advisory Group names Pam O’Connor to board

Pam O’Connor has joined the advisory board of Maverix Advisory Group, an industry consulting group working with proptech startups and growing brokerages.

May 29, 2025/0 Comments/by JKents
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Trump, Pulte shed more light on plans for Fannie and Freddie

Promise that the government will maintain “implicit guarantees” of the companies’ obligations suggests that what Trump has in mind is monetization, not privatization.

May 29, 2025/0 Comments/by JKents
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Mix business with pleasure in this horsey Hills homestead

A stunning no-expense-spared Hahndorf home gives you the opportunity to mix business with pleasure in the finest of style.

Natalie and Adrian Magnera bought the property in 2019, living in the original character cottage while they built a light-filled home that’s a celebration of texture and quality, allowing the property to now offer a glamorous abode, a desirable B&B and a profitable equestrian business all in one.

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“As soon as I saw the hill where the house is I knew automatically this is where we need to build,” Ms Magnera says.

“It was a high-spec home and we designed it to really facilitate easy family living and entertains. I really wanted everyone to feel a calmness and a sense of clarity and peace and I think it really captures that.

The stunning 109 Echunga Rd, Hahndorf. Supplied

Huge windows invite the outside in. Supplied

Eat breakfast overlooking the pool. Supplied

“We also have approval for the cottage to be used as an Airbnb, so that’s a great avenue buyers might want to pursue.”

The main home has four bedrooms, an open-plan kitchen, living and dining area; a lounge, a patio and terrace, and a swimming pool, while the cottage has four bedrooms, a veranda, a deck and a pergola.

The property also has a basketball area, fully fenced paddocks, holding yards, eight stables and high-clearance shedding.

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Entertain in the finest of style. Supplied

The home’s grand facade. Supplied

Enjoy the view over the surrounding farmland. Supplied

“The property has been set up for horse rehabilitation and agistment and we have approval for 15 horses,” Ms Magnera says.

“I have a team that runs the whole property and they’re willing to take it on and the new buyer could have their horses here and everything else taken care of.”

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The post Mix business with pleasure in this horsey Hills homestead appeared first on realestate.com.au.

May 29, 2025/0 Comments/by JKents
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DOGE effect? Housing inventory in DC is rising faster than the rest of the country

Agent Janice Pouch had a listing go up in February for a single-family house in a desirable part of Washington, D.C., where homes typically don’t last long. 

She had no reason to think that wouldn’t be the case this time either, especially after a packed open house during its first weekend on the market. Instead, it got only one offer among the 40 people who showed up to see it, and that offer was below the list price.

“I was in shock, truthfully,” said Pouch, a Compass agent. “Two or three people walked in and said they really want to buy a house, but need to wait and see what’s going to happen.”

What they were waiting to see was whether they were going to have a job or not.

President Donald Trump’s cuts to the federal workforce has put Washington, D.C., residents and the housing market there on edge. Through his administration’s U.S. DOGE Service, mass layoffs have occurred across virtually every federal department and agency. 

While some of these layoffs are currently held up in court or have been reversed, the ripple effect has prompted many to leave their positions voluntarily. And it doesn’t only impact civil servants as many private businesses in D.C. are tied to the federal government.

chart visualization

It has also put many homebuyers in a holding pattern. Altos data shows that inventory for condominiums in D.C. is currently up 59.2% on a 90-day rolling average, compared to 29.1% for single-family homes. It’s a similar story for new listings as condos are up 29% annually and single-family homes are up 17%.

While inventory is rising substantially all over the country, D.C. is outpacing the rest of the U.S. At the national level, inventory is up 32.5% year over year and new listings are up 9.6% on a 90-day rolling average.

“There were a few weird weeks [of data] that we kind of discounted because weekly data are so messy,” Bright MLS chief economist Lisa Sturtevant of tracking the D.C. market.

“But now that we have two and a half months, we have consistently seen the supply out there growing much faster in the D.C. market than it is in other places. Is that DOGE? Is that just general economic uncertainty? I don’t know, but it’s building a narrative.”

chart visualization

There’s enough evidence to think that upheaval in the federal government is having an impact. 

A poll conducted by The Washington Post and George Mason University found that 20% of D.C. residents are seriously considering leaving the city. This number rises to 45% among households that had someone lose their job as a result of DOGE-driven cuts.

The condo market — which makes up the bulk of owner-occupied housing in Washington, D.C. —has been particularly sluggish.

On the demand side, pending new sales of condos (-9.1%) are down by more than that of single-family homes (-7.3%). Meanwhile, the median price of pending new sales is rising faster for single-family homes (+7.4%) than for condos (+2.4%).

Some homeowners are in a position where they don’t have much choice but to sell despite poor conditions. Redfin agent Stuart Naranch said that condo owners who don’t want to be landlords are selling for less than they paid — including one who sold for $100,000 less.

chart visualization

“Sellers have to be really realistic with what they can get with so many choices the buyers have,” Naranch said. ”If you bought within the past four years, maybe you’re getting what you paid for it.”

While federal layoffs have impacted residents and appear to be dragging down parts of the housing market, it’s uncertain whether the effects will be as dramatic as the headlines related to the layoffs.

Some of the layoffs are depending on court decisions, and other workers are deciding on whether to take the early buyouts offered to some by DOGE. This could spread out job losses in a way that makes it more difficult to find signals in the data beyond rising inventory and sluggish sales.

Robbie Cook, a partner at D.C.-based brokerage McWilliams Ballard, believes the people who would’ve left as a result of DOGE actions likely did so at the beginning of Trump’s term.

“When the DOGE thing was going crazy, everybody reacted,” Cook said. “If they were going to move, they did, but we haven’t seen some giant upswell in federal employees trying to leave. Those ripples have already normalized.”

May 29, 2025/0 Comments/by JKents
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Hubzu operator Altisource plans reverse split to avoid delisting

Real estate and mortgage services provider has racked up $363 million in cumulative losses and ended the first quarter with $30.8 million of cash and cash equivalents following a $232.8 million debt restructuring.

May 28, 2025/0 Comments/by JKents
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Meet the real estate agent whose snarky roast videos are going viral

Breanna Banaciski is making a name for herself with her unconventional videos.

She’s only been in the real estate business for nine months, but one Tampa, FL, agent is already drawing a large following for her cheeky humour in listing tour videos on TikTok.

“This carport is tall enough to fit your jacked-up F-150,” one recent video begins. “But not tall enough to fill the void of when your father left.”

Breanna Banaciski, 30, is the mastermind behind the sardonic listing tours, in which she roasts everything from baby boomers and her “neckbeard” fanboys to the lamentable state of housing affordability.

“I’ve always wanted to do stand-up comedy,” she tells Realtor.com. “I just never got around to it, so I guess I’m doing it now — just inside of a house that’s for sale.”

Banaciski, an agent with Realty One Group Advantage, only got her real estate license in August.

Now, her listing tour videos regularly draw millions of views on social media and praise from fans in the comments.

MORE: Aussie couple in 30s turn $60k into $153m

Breanna Banaciski, 30, is the mastermind behind sardonic listing tours, in which she roasts everything.

MORE: What your home will be worth in 2030

“If I win the lottery, I’m buying houses from you just to hear you give me the tour,” wrote one commenter.

Another remarked, “Can you come and roast my listed home?”

Banaciski, who has a background in theatre and comedy, switched to real estate after years of working in car sales and business-to-business technology sales.

“I was like, ‘Man, I hate 9 to 5; I just hate going into an office and sitting in a desk all day,’” she recalls. “Now I can work whenever I want to — which is pretty much 24/7 — but I didn’t realise that then.”

Her earliest real estate videos on social media were based on what she saw other agents doing: local market updates, tips for buyers, and traditional touting of listings.

“For months, I was just making these regular old, kind of bland videos that didn’t really show who I was,” she says. “They weren’t me, exactly.”

Then on a lark last fall, she improvised a listing tour video sprinkled with jokes, uploading it to social media on a Friday before leaving town on a weekend trip.

When she returned, she was stunned to see the video had been viewed more than 20,000 times, and she realised she had struck on a style that resonated.

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Banaciski, an agent with Realty One Group Advantage, only got her real estate license in August.

MORE: Named: Aus’ shock new $3m suburbs exposed

“This carport is tall enough to fit your jacked up F-150 but not tall enough fill the void of when your father left,” she says in one video.

“You guys are going to f***ing hate me. This house is worth $1.3 million. Please share this with your rich friends. I am way too poor to be in this house right now,” she said in another.

Dara Khoyi, Banaciski’s broker at Realty One, says he was initially stunned upon seeing her roast videos — but that he has supported her humorous approach to drumming up business.

“We do take our clients very seriously, and our role in helping them very seriously, but at the same time, we kind of like to have fun with the work that we do,” he tells Realtor.com. “We give our agents business freedom, so to date I’ve been supportive of her, and I’m thrilled that she’s getting a good reception.”

Banaciski says that her comedy videos have not yet led directly to sales of the properties she’s featured, but have generated lots of interest from buyers and sellers interested in working with her.

“A lot of people say, ‘You’re a breath of fresh air. You seem so down to earth. I can relate to you,’” she says.

Those client connections have proven crucial for Banaciski as she launches her real estate career in a decidedly slow market.

“There are people out there buying and selling right now,” she says. “You just have to really, really find them and somehow hone in on your niche.”

The post Meet the real estate agent whose snarky roast videos are going viral appeared first on realestate.com.au.

May 28, 2025/0 Comments/by JKents
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Weightlifting champion’s Glenelg holiday home hits the market

A luxury sub-penthouse that served as an Adelaide beach getaway for weightlifting champion Dean Lukin and his family has hit the market.

The newly renovated, bespoke residence at 34/1 South Esplanade was used as a home-away-from-home for the Lukin family for more than three decades, after it was bought by Mr Lukin’s late mother Ann in 1994.

Commanding an 11th-floor position at Glenelg’s iconic Grand Apartments, the home was a regular gathering place for Christmases and family celebrations and was frequently used for overnight stays by the Olympic gold medallist and members of his extended family.

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The sub-penthouse in Glenelg’s Grand Apartments at 34/1 South Esplanade has hit the market.

It has served as a holiday home for weightlifting champion Dean Lukin and his family.

The Australian 50th - 1984

Weightlifter Dean Lukin on his way to winning the super heavyweight gold medal at the 1984 Olympic Games in Los Angeles.

Olympic Torch Relay Day 35 Port Augusta to Port Pirie. Former weightlifter fisherman Dean Lukin carrying flame in Port Lincoln 12 Jul 2000.

Former weightlifter Dean Lukin carrying the Olympic Torch in Port Lincoln, 2000.

“Dean came here pretty often – whenever he was in Adelaide,’’ said Michael Margaritis, who is married to Mr Lukin’s niece, Katrina Lukin.

“Especially when Ann was around, he would definitely come past and stay.

“It was kind of the place that everyone (in the family) would come to – we would just all get together for family events.

“It was like a holiday home, although my wife actually lived here for a while when she moved to Adelaide (from Port Lincoln).’’

The Lukin family, regarded as pioneers of the Port Lincoln tuna fishing industry, made the decision to part with the home following Ann’s unexpected death last year.

Mr Margaritis, a former tiler, oversaw an extensive nine-month renovation to the property, installing “all new everything’’.

Dated skirting boards and cornices were removed to give a more contemporary look to the apartment, which has three-bedrooms, all with walk-in robes and ensuites, and was originally purchased by Mrs Lukin as two separate apartments that she merged into one.

A light-filled open-plan living area now boasts sleek herringbone flooring and a stunning chef’s kitchen, with striking limestone benchtops and new appliances.

The apartment’s breathtaking ocean views are among its standout features.

It’s been renovated to look more sleek and modern.

It has three bedrooms …

… And three bathrooms.

“It was a very nice home before (the renovations) but it just had an older, 90s look,’’ Mr

Margaritis said.

“Dean was very happy with the outcome. I know that Ann would have been very proud too.’’

Mr Margaritis said as sophisticated as the interiors were, it was the uninterrupted 180-degree views of the Adelaide coastline that was the apartment’s main selling point, which could be enjoyed inside and from its three balconies.

“Apartments or homes or whatever Ann bought always had to have a view,’’ he said.

“This one’s got views from every room – all the bedrooms and bathrooms, everything.’’

Belle Property selling agent David Ferrari said it was an emotional sale for the Lukin family, who had long-time ties to Holdfast Bay.

“Dean used to spend a lot of his time down there … it was the family’s getaway from Port Lincoln and, growing up in Glenelg, I remember often seeing him walking down to The (Stamford) Grand (Hotel),’’ Mr Ferrari said.

Offers for the apartment, which is listed without a price guide, close on Tuesday, June 10.

Mr Lukin also had a three-storey beachside holiday home on the Gold Coast for a time before selling it in 2019 for $6.395m.

– by Lauren Ahwan

The post Weightlifting champion’s Glenelg holiday home hits the market appeared first on realestate.com.au.

May 28, 2025/0 Comments/by JKents
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