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Property experts reveal how to win in competitive housing market

Couple with a real estate agent

If it was only this simple …

While falling interest rates often mean better borrowing capacity and more opportunities for buyers, they also usually mean more buyers – which can sometimes make it harder to secure a home.

Luckily there are a few strategies that you can use to get ahead of the game in a competitive market.

Crowded Auction at 17 Chalmers Rd, Strathfield

When interest rates start to fall, competition tends to heat up.

FALLING RATES TO DRIVE DEMAND

Sydney buyers agent and founding director of Bought, Bianca Field, says buyers are already starting to move more quickly now that rates are falling.

“I’ve seen an increase in the urgency of them wanting to buy faster,” she says. “They’re anticipating that there’s going to be more demand and they don’t want to be buying with the increased amount of buyers looking.”

MORE: ‘Act now’: Bank warning amid horror surge

City regions where prices grew fastest after rate cuts

REBAA president Melinda Jennison from Streamlined Property Buyers says markets where there is an undersupply of housing, such as Perth, Adelaide and Brisbane are likely to be the most impacted by rate cuts.

“It will definitely have an impact on buyer demand,” she says.

Buyers agent Bianca Field from Bought. Picture: supplied

STANDING OUT FROM THE CROWD

So, how do you stand out against other buyers when it comes to making an offer?

Jennison says there are a number of strategies you can use – but first you need to understand the seller’s motivation.

“You can change your terms or the conditions of your offer but unless that appeals to the seller it might not have the impact that you’re wanting it to have,” she says.

For example, writing a letter that expresses your love for the property and why you would like to raise your family in it might not appeal to an investor’s emotions quite in the same way as an empty nester’s, she says.

REBAA president Melinda Jennison from Streamlined Property Buyers. Photo: Supplied

“If sellers are looking for flexible settlement terms, you can potentially negotiate a settlement time frame to be longer or shorter depending on what the sellers’ needs are,” she says. “You can also look at releasing the deposit early. Sometimes that can free up a seller to go and actually purchase elsewhere – and that might be the bottleneck that’s causing them to slow down the sale.”

PROVIDING CERTAINTY

Being finance-ready is also important. Being able to get a final approval on finance in the shortest time frame possible is very helpful as it adds more certainty to your offer, she says.

Another way to provide certainty is to put down a larger deposit.

“A larger deposit generally shows strength with the offer and provides a little bit more certainty and confidence for the seller as well,” she says.

REALESTATE SUPER VS HOUSE CASESTUDY 21JUN25

Being finance ready and understanding the seller’s motivation are crucial. Picture: David Caird

GETTING AHEAD OF THE GAME

Another way you can beat the competition is to see the properties before anyone else does.

“Get in early,” Field says. “Target off and pre-market properties. Stay front of mind with agents by giving a clear brief – and three or four recent comparable sales is even better.”

If there is a property going to auction, Field suggests making “a pre-auction knockout offer” or rehearsing your bidding pattern before you arrive.

“An auction is designed to get the best outcome from a buyer because people get emotionally entangled and they don’t have enough time to think logically,” she says. “So if you buy a property prior to auction or through a private treaty, you can have a well-mapped out strategy of buying the home without the time pressure.”

Hot Auction Alexandria

Consider beating the competition by making a pre-auction knockout offer. Picture: Jeremy Piper

When it comes to making an offer prior to auction, she suggests asking the agent what the vendor’s dream offer is and explaining that you want to be competitive and will have to discuss the funds needed with your broker. If they can’t answer that, you’ll have to do your own research based on comparables, keeping in mind the market might be going up as rates drop.

“In four weeks time, you might be in a far more inflated market,” she says.

Research comparable sales carefully and keep in mind prices could be going up.

SIGNS OF A COMPETITIVE MARKET

Wondering what you’re up against? Our experts say the following signs usually indicate higher levels of buyer demand, meaning you are probably walking into a highly competitive market.

* High attendance at open inspections

* High bidder registrations at auctions

* Lower levels of properties listed for sale

* Properties selling quickly

* Sales prices rising rapidly

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September 4, 2025/0 Comments/by JKents
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New data exposes brutal reality for NSW first-home buyers

First-home buyers in NSW face the worst housing affordability in 30 years, with the average income household needing nearly seven years to save a deposit for a median price home.

A report by Commonwealth Bank and PropTrack revealed housing affordability for prospective first-home buyers was at its lowest level since 1995, when PropTrack records began. This was despite recent interest rate cuts improving buyers’ borrowing power.

A prospective first-home buyer household aged 25-39, currently renting and earning a typical NSW income of $134,000 a year, would be able to afford just 13 per cent of properties sold over the past year.

This was below the national figure, which showed 17 per cent of homes could be considered affordable for someone on the typical income nationally – about $129,000 a year, the report noted.

The report reveals an average income household in NSW would need 6.9 years to save a 20 per cent deposit for a median-priced home – the second longest wait of all states.

MORE: Sydney engulfed in ‘bidding wars’ as property panic spreads

Sources: PropTrack, ABS. Assumes households saves 20 per cent of average household income, buying a median priced home

Sources: PropTrack, ABS. Assumes households saves 20 per cent of average household income, buying a median priced home

When searching for a location, the report reveals first-home buyers are more likely to look in middle-outer suburbs, and for units or semi-detached homes.

In Sydney, the most-searched areas for first-home buyers were Mount Druitt, Parramatta, Liverpool, Blacktown and Campbelltown – all more-affordable areas located in the west and southwest of the city.

MORE: Sydney house prices shoot up by $66k

Top 10 SA3 regions nationally searched by first-home buyers on realestate.com.au from January 2024 to May 2025.

Consistent with NSW’s relatively challenging affordability, rentvesting among first-home buyers was also reported to be more common in NSW than in other states.

Despite challenging market conditions, there were more first-home buyers in the past year than was typical a decade earlier, indicating buyers were finding non-traditional ways to enter the market.

PropTrack senior economist Angus Moore said in the report that first-home buyers today were taking longer to save deposits than previous generations and had some of the most unaffordable mortgage repayments relative to their incomes.

“Even so, there were more first-home buyers in the past year than was typical during the 2010s, indicating that first-home buyers are finding ways to buy despite these challenges,” he stated.

MORE: Sole Sydney region with falling home prices

PropTrack senior economist Angus Moore

“Taking advantage of government grants, low-deposit schemes, and Lenders Mortgage Insurance can enable first-home buyers to overcome the deposit hurdle and buy sooner.

“Buying newly built or ‘rentvesting’ are also strategies some are implementing to overcome challenging affordability.”

Mr Moore said having flexibility on the location and type of dwelling can also provide opportunity for first-home buyers.

“These buyers typically look at more affordable suburbs, and at apartments, to make the most of their mortgage serviceability,” he said.

“The good news for first-home buyers is that mortgage rates are falling and are currently expected to decrease further across this year.

“While home prices are rising, lower mortgage rates will help put more homes within reach of first-home buyers.”

MORE: City regions where prices grew fastest after rate cuts

The post New data exposes brutal reality for NSW first-home buyers appeared first on realestate.com.au.

September 4, 2025/0 Comments/by JKents
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Reverse mortgage production metrics took a tumble in August

Home Equity Conversion Mortgage (HECM) endorsements fell sharply in August, even as a handful of reverse mortgage lenders continued to dominate the market.

The Federal Housing Administration (FHA) insured 2,062 HECMs in August, according to data compiled by New View Advisors that was released on Wednesday. That marked a 13% decline from July and the lowest monthly total since February.

The slowdown came as the market remained heavily concentrated among just three firms. Mutual of Omaha Mortgage led all lenders with 460 loans in August and a 23% market share over the past 12 months. Finance of America (FOA) followed with 402 loans, while Longbridge Financial logged 306.

Together, the three companies accounted for about 61% of all HECM endorsements between September 2024 and August 2025, according to New View’s analysis.

Regionally, California’s Santa Ana Homeownership Center — which oversees much of the western U.S. — continued to lead the nation with 699 endorsements in August. That was down from recent peaks but still well ahead of the Atlanta and Philadelphia centers, which logged a respective 497 and 427 endorsements during the month.

Wholesale activity continued to drive HECM volume. Among the most active wholesale sponsors — referring to entities that sponsored loans originated by another party — Longbridge Financial took the top spot, sponsoring 3,358 such loans in the past year. It was followed by FOA with 2,518 loans.

While there was no August 2025 data available for the wholesale sponsor portion of the report, the latest available data from June showed FOA in the lead with 242 loans.

In a separate report from New View Advisors released on Tuesday, HECM Mortgage-Backed Securities (HMBS) issuance also cooled in August, falling to $502 million. That’s down $39 million from July’s figure of $541 million. There were 75 pools issued, four fewer than in July.

FOA was the top issuer in August with $152 million, which was a decrease of $3 million from July. Issuance from Longbridge was $111 million, down $3 million from July, while Mutual of Omaha’s $98 million in issuance was down by $7 million.

PHH Mortgage Corp. issued $87 million, which represented a $21 million decrease from July’s figure of $108 million. The Ginnie Mae-controlled Reverse Mortgage Funding portfolio again issued no HMBS pools, New View reported.

First-participation HMBS production totaled $322 million in August, down from $343 million in July and $350 million in June. Last month’s 75 pools included 18 original pools, 55 tail pools and two mixed pools. Original pools are HMBS pools backed by first participations in previously uncertificated HECM loans, while tail HMBS issuances are HMBS pools consisting of subsequent participations.

Tail issuance totaled $179 million, down from $197 million in July.

Notable in the August HMBS issuance data are 19 pools with aggregate pool sizes of less than $1 million, made possible by Ginnie Mae’s rule allowing pools as small as $250,000. This represents $8.7 million of unpaid principal balance (UPB) that may not otherwise have been issued in August.

Ginnie Mae also issued APM 23-11 in 2023, which allows participations from the same loan to be pooled more than once in the same month. Such pools accounted for $58.1 million in August, including $2.6 million in first participations.

September 4, 2025/0 Comments/by JKents
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‘Absolutely mental’: Unliveable stilt home sparks buyer frenzy

58 Gatton St, Grandchester is for sale

An unliveable Queensland home which was gutted, raised 3m in the air, then left unfinished for ten years, has sparked a buyer frenzy after hitting the market with a $400,000 price tag.

Interest in the three-bedroom, no-bathroom house outside Ipswich has been “absolutely mental”, with first-home buyers and builders in the mix to claim the keys, according to marketing agent Megan Acutt, of Ray White Ipswich.

Ms Acutt said the house would go to its first open-home inspection, though it was not yet confirmed whether buyers would be able to go inside.

The only way in is up a ladder

“The only way in is up on a ladder,” Ms Acutt said.

“We’ve got an offer in from a first-home buyer already, and other people interested who want to pull the house down and build their own.”

Ms Acutt said the owners also held the property next door, with records showing they paid $192,000 for the 2032 sqm parcel at 58 Gatton Street, Grandchester in 2017.

The home was already raised to about 2m, and the then-new owners hired a house removal specialist to lift it another 1.2m approx., in order to fit a car or truck beneath, and potentially accommodate ceilings of up to 3m in height.

The owners had planned to build underneath

“The owners wanted to put another dwelling underneath so they lifted it but then decided not to, and left it for ten-odd years,” Ms Acutt said.

The property was described in the listing as a “charming opportunity”, with its current structure including a three-bedroom layout with a lounge, kitchen/dining area, and “plenty of scope to complete the home to your own design”.

“With framing and some infrastructure in place, renovators and builders will appreciate the head start.

“While the home is not finished or council approved, the block size and location present a wonderful chance to create your dream lifestyle in a peaceful, country setting.

“The elevated position of the home also provides a unique outlook and the ability to add further improvements underneath.”

Inside the raised house

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The owners have also listed their neighbouring home on a 1,759 sqm block at 55-57 Symes Street, Grandchester. It is priced at offers above $775,000.

Ms Acutt said the Gatton St house did not flood from rising waters. It was not subject to flood overlays, according to City of Ipswich records.

Buyers agent Lauren Jones said home hunters could include checks of a property’s flood history as part of their due diligence before making an offer.

“A key sign a house might be in a flood zone is the house being raised off the ground, or other houses in the street being raised off the ground, especially when the property is located near water, such as a river or creek, or often near parkland,” Ms Jones said.

Definitely not one for the faint-hearted

She said it could be challenging to determine if a property had previously flooded, as most owners would have repaired damage before listing.

“Sometimes you may be able to see signs of repair like new carpet or flooring, or new skirtings that don’t match higher locations in the house.”

Ms Jones highlighted three types of flooding – from a river, smaller creeks or waterways, or overland flow, and stressed the importance of checking insurance premiums when purchasing a property with any flood risk, as they could be “very expensive”.

The post ‘Absolutely mental’: Unliveable stilt home sparks buyer frenzy appeared first on realestate.com.au.

September 4, 2025/0 Comments/by JKents
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Luxe Fern Tree home nestled in 327-acre retreat

No.424 and Lot 2/636 Summerleas Rd, Fern Tree. Picture: Supplied

Every element of this property reflects a fastidious attention to detail.

Meticulous craftsmanship shows in the careful articulation of space — from the seamless transitions between indoors and outdoors, to the selection of materials informed by acclaimed architectural firm Rosevear Stephenson’s philosophy of creating calm, enduring and elemental homes.

Lot 2/636 Summerleas Rd is an extraordinary, hidden masterpiece, says property partner at The Agency Hobart, Georgie Rayner.

It is a property that stands as a testament to architectural precision and thoughtful integration into its natural setting, she said.

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Lot 2/636 Summerleas Rd, Fern Tree.

Lot 2/636 Summerleas Rd, Fern Tree.

Lot 2/636 Summerleas Rd, Fern Tree.

“This property is timeless. It is a credit to its owners Rebecca and Jeremy Wallbank,” she said.

“Every angle, every room, every view, every piece of architectural design, every fixture and fitting, it is extraordinary,” Mrs Rayner said.

“The hairs stand up on your arms when you visit this property.

“It’s an experience that will leave you speechless.

“It is also a home that feels comforting, homely. The worries of the world come off your shoulders.

“Just from the “coming soon” marketing last week ahead of the launch this week, the inquiries have not stopped.”


The property unfolds across two titles with more than 22ha and 109ha (327 acres), including untouched eucalypt forest.

From every aspect of the property, sweeping, unrestricted views stretch across forested hills and expansive waterways.

In one direction, views stretch out across Bruny Island, Opossum Bay, Coningham and Cape Raoul. Turn around, and there’s an uninterrupted view of the majestic mountain.

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What does $4m+ buy you in Hobart today?

Lot 2/636 Summerleas Rd, Fern Tree.

Lot 2/636 Summerleas Rd, Fern Tree.

Lot 2/636 Summerleas Rd, Fern Tree.

The design maximises these vistas, inviting the landscape to permeate interior and exterior spaces, with multiple indoor and outdoor living and entertainment areas thoughtfully positioned to capture the best of the surroundings.

Inside, the home’s warm embrace is delivered via ducted heating, a fireplace, woollen carpets, and underfloor heating.

From the entrance there is a laundry, multiple bedrooms off a hall and the first bathroom.

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Strong single bid secures Mornington industrial site

Lot 2/636 Summerleas Rd, Fern Tree.

Lot 2/636 Summerleas Rd, Fern Tree.

The floorplan curves in an L-shape to reveal two living spaces, the kitchen and dining area, a 11m-long deck, and the luxe primary bedroom and ensuite.

Across the yard in the studio is a further bedroom, living area, bathroom, deck and an office.

The property features celery-top pine cladding, commercial grade window frames, burnished concrete floors, a Jindara wood heater, blackout bedroom roller blinds, and hydronic floor heating.

Lot 2/636 Summerleas Rd, Fern Tree.

Lot 2/636 Summerleas Rd, Fern Tree.

There is a secure yard for children and pets to play in, and a wildlife-proof vegetable patch.

Entertainers will discover a walk-in pantry in the kitchen alongside Smeg and Siemens appliances — microwave, freestanding 90cm-wide gas cooktop with electric oven, dishwasher — plus a Vintec wine fridge.

This is complimented by an outdoor barbecue dining space with a wood-fired pizza oven, plus a fire pit with seating.

While having the appearance, and the generous space of its bush surroundings, the property is only a 15-minute drive to the Hobart CBD.

Lot 2/636 Summerleas Rd, Fern Tree.

Lot 2/636 Summerleas Rd, Fern Tree.

Mrs Rayner said the privacy that is offered is paramount.

It is a home that feels nestled amid its thoughtfully designed landscaping and dense bush, she said.

“And it is entirely shielded from neighbours,” she said.

Extending across its vast land, the estate offers endless possibilities: imagine private walking trails, large-scale gardens, or simply the untouched wilderness.

“The generous parcel invites reflection and exploration, a canvas for retreat and adventure,” Mrs Rayner said.

Lot 2/636 Summerleas Rd and No.424 Summerleas Rd in Fern Tree are for sale with The Agency Hobart for “Offers over $3.9m”.

The post Luxe Fern Tree home nestled in 327-acre retreat appeared first on realestate.com.au.

September 4, 2025/0 Comments/by JKents
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Five-way auction for Belmont reno that has buyers seeing stars

The three-bedroom house at 11 Perth St, Belmont, sold for $765,000 at auction.

First-time buyers weren’t the only people with stars in their eyes as an updated three-bedroom Belmont home was offered at auction.

Downsizers and investors had also sized up the stylish brick veneer house before it was offered with $660,000 to $720,000 price guide.

The 420sq m property sold for $765,000 amid competition between five bidders, Jellis Craig Geelong agent Jeff Begg said.

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That five bidders raised a hand at auction is much testament to the quality of the property as the state of the market, Mr Begg said.

“Things have turned around in different portions of the market, but auctions are travelling well and we’ve had some really strong results,” he said.

“I think the renovation was very much in vogue and the attention to detail, with the presentation and styling, was what bought the buyers in.

“We had over 120 groups inspect the property for the course of the campaign.

Inside the three-bedroom house at 11 Perth St, Belmont.

Even the dining room offers striking features.

“We had a mixture of first-home buyers, there were downsizers and also investment buyers too, because interstate investors see value in that spot because, location-wise, it’s undervalued in my opinion.”

The three-bedroom house is a short distance from High St via Roslyn Rd where it presents as a lifestyle property.

On show are period features such Art Deco ceiling roses, while the freshly-painted exterior elevated the property.

“The first-home buyers had stars in their eyes, but there was five bidders there and it sold to a young couple that is moving in from Torquay,” Mr Begg said.

The open kitchen connects to a sunroom and dining room.

The elevated timber deck adds an entertainment space outdoors.

The depth of interest was encouraging and several other potential bidders didn’t have the opportunity to put their hand in the air because it took off and really went quickly, Mr Begg said.

“There’s confidence in the market now for buyers to actually compete at auction, because they know that if they want to buy it, they’re going to miss out.

“So it’s induced urgency and the activity is there. It’s probably in the price point that’s the busiest we’ve seen since Covid.”

The third cut to interest rates has cemented buyer activity.

“First-home buyers can confidently buy now because they know what they can borrow isn’t going to become more expensive,” Mr Begg said.

“From an investor perspective too, they know they can set up their portfolio appropriately and it’s not going to change.”

The post Five-way auction for Belmont reno that has buyers seeing stars appeared first on realestate.com.au.

September 4, 2025/0 Comments/by JKents
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Mid-century Belmont time capsule listed in original 1960s condition

5 Tiverton St, Belmont, is on the market for $950,000-$1.045m.

The vendor of this original Belmont home had a literal light bulb moment when she first stumbled upon the mid-century gem.

“The incredible light fittings are probably the thing that made me buy it – they are amazing.” she said.

“Then there’s the crazy paving walls and all the timber. I just really like that period and I love mid-century houses.”

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The original light fittings were a big selling point for the vendor.

Timber is the hero of the 1960s show.

The 1960s time capsule at 5 Tiverton St, Belmont, has all the signature features of the era, from hardwood timber panelled feature walls, exposed rafters and a wall of north-facing glass.

With a coveted architectural style that saw it featured on the cover of Spaces magazine, the four-bedroom house is offered to market for just the second time since 1982.

Hayeswinckle, Highton agent Michelle Winckle has set a $950,000 to $1.045m price guide for the 626sq m property.

The vendor said the house had fantastic bones for a sympathetic renovation, with buyers only needing to look next door to a recently revamped Neil Everist classic for inspiration.

There’s also plenty of features to work with inside the existing home, from the bathroom’s original terrazzo flooring to the stone feature wall in the front living room.

The kitchen has had some minor updates but retains its overhead cabinets.

Two of the bedrooms have built-in wardrobes.

The vendor didn’t want to change the bathroom as she loves its mid-century style.

“Someone who has got an eye for this era could create a really stunning home,” the vendor said.

“I would very much love the new owner to relish it, not knock it down, but to treasure it because I think it’s a very cool house but it does need some TLC.”

Minor kitchen updates, fresh paint and the installation of blinds are among improvements she’s made to the solid brick home over the past 16 years.

As well a cosy open-plan kitchen and meals area, it has two living rooms and a covered crazy paved terrace.

A small door used for milk deliveries is another quirky feature that still remain today.

The vendor said there was space to extend out into the back yard, currently planted out with fruit trees and flowers.

The post Mid-century Belmont time capsule listed in original 1960s condition appeared first on realestate.com.au.

September 4, 2025/0 Comments/by JKents
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Home Guarantee Scheme

Portrait Of Excited Couple Standing Outside New Home

A couple who have just signed up a mortgage after buying their first house. Generic first home buyers Picture: iStock.

ANALYSIS

Saving a deposit is a key barrier for first-home buyers, and the burden has only become more significant over the past few decades.

The PropTrack CommBank First-Home Buyer Report highlights this difficulty. To save a 20 per cent deposit on a median-priced home nationally, an average-income household would need to save for close to six years. For NSW it’s even longer, at nearly seven years. For Queensland, it’s just over six years; in Victoria it’s 5.7 years; and in Adelaide, it’s more than seven years – the longest of any state. This is a new development and reflects the surge in home prices across SA in recent years and SA’s lower household incomes compared to the larger states.

Previous generations of first-home buyers did not face such a steep deposit burden. As recently as the late 1990s, the time to save a 20 per cent deposit was half of what it is today.

But there is good news for first-home buyers: a 20 per cent deposit isn’t a necessity. In fact, the overwhelming majority of first-home buyers have less than a 20 per cent deposit when they buy.

FULL LIST: The top Aus hotspots for FHBs under the Home Guarantee Scheme

REA Group senior economist Angus Moore.

Data from the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) shows that in early 2022, around three-quarters of first-home buyers bought with a deposit smaller than 20 per cent, and nearly three-in-ten bought with a deposit smaller than 10 per cent. CommBank data shows a similar story: the average loan-to-value ratio (LVR) for a first-home buyer is around 85 per cent.

This can be achieved a number of ways, for instance, taking out Lenders Mortgage Insurance (LMI) or using a guarantor loan.

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Even so, the difficulty of saving a deposit is why the federal government has introduced schemes to support first-time buyers buying with smaller deposits.

The federal government recently announced they were expanding the Home Guarantee Scheme. This scheme allows first-time buyers to buy with as little as a 5 per cent deposit, without the additional cost of LMI, with the government backstopping the remaining 15 per cent to top the deposit up to 20 per cent.

Under the expansion, the number of places in the scheme will be uncapped and the previous income-eligibility thresholds removed. Price caps will also be lifted to different figures in different states.

The price cap will be lifted from $900,000 to $1.5 million in Sydney. The change means far more homes across Sydney are eligible. Under the previous caps, just 31 per cent of homes across Sydney fell under the price cap, but now 67 per cent will.

Meanwhile, in Melbourne, the $800,000 cap will become $950,000. Previously, 51 per cent of Melbourne homes fell under the price cap, but now 66 per cent will.

Brisbane’s $700,000 price cap will increase to $1 million. Previously, just 19 per cent of homes across Brisbane fell under the price cap, but now 58 per cent will.

FIRST HOME BUYERS

Young buyers will have a lot more options under new price caps. Picture: Andrew Henshaw

MORE:Qld FHB suburbs set to boom

MORE:SA FHB suburbs set to boom

Adelaide’s price cap increase will be significant, going from $600,000 to $900,000. The 13 per cent of available homes will increase more than four times to 60 per cent.

First-home buyer activity across Australia has been slightly subdued in the past couple of years amid high mortgage rates and challenging affordability. But with mortgage rates now falling, and more first-time buyers eligible for government support, this may start to change as we head in to spring.

Angus Moore is REA Group’s senior economist.

The post Home Guarantee Scheme appeared first on realestate.com.au.

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$12.7 trillion in US homes face severe climate risks

More than one in four U.S. homes — valued at $12.7 trillion — are exposed to severe or extreme climate risks, according to a report released Tuesday by Realtor.com.

The analysis found that threats from flooding, hurricane winds and wildfires are increasingly reshaping housing markets, homeowner costs and insurance availability.

“Climate risks are no longer a distant threat for U.S. housing — they are a present reality that put a large chunk of U.S. real estate value at risk,” said Danielle Hale, chief economist at Realtor.com. “In many markets, the gap between perceived risk and actual risk is sizable, particularly for flooding. This has significant consequences for homeowners, buyers, and insurers.”

Homes at risk of flooding

Nearly 6 million homes worth $3.4 trillion are likely to experience severe or extreme flooding over the next 30 years, according to data from First Street’s Flood Factor.

That is about 2 million more homes than those identified in FEMA’s Special Flood Hazard Areas, the report said.

The Miami-Fort Lauderdale-West Palm Beach, Fla., and New York-Newark-Jersey City, N.Y.-N.J., metros account for just over $600 billion worth of homes under severe or extreme flood risk.

table visualization

The largest dollar-value gaps between FEMA maps and severe risk estimates are in New York ($95.3 billion), Los Angeles ($65.6 billion) and San Francisco ($54.9 billion).

By share of value, New Orleans leads with 66% of its housing stock at risk but not captured by FEMA maps.

New Orleans overall at-risk housing stock share of 89% tops the nationwide rankings and nearly doubles second place results from Cape Coral-Fort Myers, Fla.

table visualization

Hurricane wind risk

Roughly 18.3% of U.S. homes — valued at nearly $8 trillion — face severe or extreme wind damage risk in 2025, the report said.

In 14 major metros across Louisiana, Florida, South Carolina and Texas — including Miami, Houston and New Orleans — every home is exposed.

Because flood and wind risks often overlap, coastal homeowners face compounded financial burdens.

High hurricane deductibles add to the strain, with some policies requiring as much as $20,000 in damage before coverage begins.

Wildfire risk

About 5.6% of homes, worth $3.2 trillion, face severe wildfire risk.

California accounts for nearly 40% of that exposure — or $1.8 trillion. Los Angeles and Riverside are among the hardest-hit areas.

Outside California, risk is elevated in Colorado Springs, Colo., where more than three-quarters of home value is vulnerable, and Tucson, Ariz., where 60% of housing stock is at risk.

Insurance strain

Rising insurance premiums are amplifying affordability challenges in high-risk areas.

Miami homeowners now pay annual premiums equal to 3.7% of their home’s market value, the highest ratio among the 100 largest metros.

New Orleans follows at 3.6% and Cape Coral, Fla., at 2.2%.

“Climate risk and insurance are not usually a top consideration for home shoppers balancing budgets against still-high home prices and mortgage rates,” Hale said. “But these factors already shape ongoing housing costs and increasingly whether they can secure affordable insurance coverage.”

September 4, 2025/0 Comments/by JKents
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Mr. Cooper shareholders approve merger with Rocket Companies

Rocket hopes the $9.4 billion deal will help it capture 20 percent of all mortgage refinancing and wrest back its title as the nation’s biggest mortgage lender from rival United Wholesale Mortgage.

September 4, 2025/0 Comments/by JKents
https://www.juliankent.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/logo.png 0 0 JKents https://www.juliankent.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/logo.png JKents2025-09-04 00:00:422025-09-04 00:00:42Mr. Cooper shareholders approve merger with Rocket Companies
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