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Packer-backed fund buys $20m Malvern site for longevity homes

1260-1272 Malvern Rd, Malvern - for herald sun real estate

Renders showing the plans for 1260-1272 Malvern Rd, Malvern, which has been purchased by a development consortium backed by billionaire James Packer.

James Packer is doubling down on a bid to help Melbourne’s wealthy live longer, with an investment firm he owns buying a second site in the city for a wellness-centric development.

Earlier this year, a consortium backed by the billionaire announced plans to turn a one-time Balwyn nursing home into a luxury apartment complex with features intended to help its residents extend their life.

The NPACT fund has partnered again with developer Chapter Group in an about $20m purchase of a 2600sq m property at 1260-1272 Malvern Rd, Malvern, with plans to build another complex with similar goals and a proposed 40 apartments.

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It is currently home to ULR Land Rover.

Chapter Group director Dean Lefkos described the plan for the new site as a Parisian-neighbourhood inspired village-style destination that provides residents with a cafe-centric lifestyle.

Mr Lefkos added that the group would be looking to ensure buyers at the next site in Malvern would have spaces “that meaningfully enhance day-to-day living; places to connect, unwind, and support wellbeing”.

The Maleela Rise development about to launch sales at 23 Maleela Ave, Balwyn - for herald sun real estate

A render of the Maleela Rise development that was Packer and NPACT’s first foray into longevity real estate in Melbourne.

“While design work is still underway, our focus is on amenities that encourage social connection, promote wellness, and create a sense of belonging,” he said.

“The intent is the same: to curate spaces that elevate quality of life and offer long-term value to residents, but interpreted in a way that feels right for Malvern’s lifestyle, its residents, and its rhythms of village-style living.”

Also working on the development will be architects from Cera Stribley, interior designers from Studio Tate, while Jack Merlo will handle the landscaping.

It’s the same team that is working on the $100m 23 Maleela Ave, Balwyn, development named Maleela Rise, which included plans for a wellness retreat inspired by Hotel Chadstone.

The project aimed to promote physical health with a gym, saunas and a cold shower, as well as to create better social connections through shared spaces around the complex.

Apartments there ranged from $1.7m for two bedrooms to $5.6m for a penthouse.

The Maleela Rise development about to launch sales at 23 Maleela Ave, Balwyn - for herald sun real estate

Saunas and cold showers feature as part of the Maleela Rise complex’s health and wellbeing boosting communal spaces.

Mr Lefkos said they were taking note of the success the earlier project attracted thanks to features including a concierge, curated library, lounge with a bar, as well as the wellness retreat with a gym and saunas.

“We have had very strong buyer response to Maleela Rise,” Mr Lefkos said.

“It is a function of the design team we assembled, but importantly the clear design narrative and outcome we wanted to achieve for that particular location, site and demographic.”

That project is now half sold, mostly to buyers already living within 500m of it, with construction under way.

The Malvern development is expected to commence sales early in 2026.


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The post Packer-backed fund buys $20m Malvern site for longevity homes appeared first on realestate.com.au.

November 30, 2025/0 Comments/by JKents
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Callery Building’s Luke Callery wins Australian Young Builder award

A rising star of the South Australian construction sector has been named as the nation’s best.

Luke Callery of the Stepney-based Callery Building was crowned the Australian Young Builder of the Year at the Master Builders Association 2025 National Excellence in Building and Construction Awards.

Luke Callery of Callery Building. Supplied

One of Callery Building’s stunning creations. Supplied

Another of Callery Building’s luxe creations. Supplied

Master Builders SA CEO Will Frogley said he was thrilled to see the qualified carpenter he described as “the very definition of a master builder” recognised on the national stage.

“His attention to detail, professionalism, customer service and of course high-quality building work are earning rave reviews from clients,” he said.

Some more of Callery’s work. Supplied

One of Callery Building’s bold kitchens. Supplied

“Luke is a passionate advocate for the Master Builders SA ‘Born to Build’ program, which is all about inspiring young South Australians to chase their building industry dreams.

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“He is a prime example of the career you can build for yourself in construction in this State.”

It is the third year in a row that a South Australian has taken home the coveted top gong, cementing South Australia’s reputation for producing great young talent.

It’s something the state’s regulatory body takes very seriously, Mr Frogley said.

Mr Callery’s attention to detail has earned him critical acclaim. Supplied

Another Callery Constructions creation. Supplied

“We are punching above our weight in the building and construction industry, and we have an amazing stable of current and upcoming builders to continue this performance,” he said.

“Given the growth in the industry, and the current skills shortage, we are constantly working to encourage and support newcomers to the industry via apprenticeships.

“Completing an apprenticeship is an accomplishment and sets you up for a wonderful, high-paying and rewarding career.

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“There’s a lot of talk about AI-driven job losses, but a trade offers you protection from that.

“With a record number of construction businesses in South Australia right now, the opportunities in our industry are vast.”

Two other South Australian builders took home awards at the national awards on Friday night.

Bellevue Building Concepts were best in show in the National Renovations/Extensions Award $1m to $2m category, and Crew Built in the $750k to $1m category of the same award.

Will Frogley

Will Frogley, CEO of the Master Builders Association of South Australia. Photography by Kelly Barnes

The post Callery Building’s Luke Callery wins Australian Young Builder award appeared first on realestate.com.au.

November 30, 2025/0 Comments/by JKents
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Inside the big change in homebuyer habits during the Christmas holidays

Brisbane homebuyers are feeling the Christmas rush as they scramble to snap up property before the end of the year.

New analysis from PRD Real Estate has found buyer pools were increasing by up to 25 per cent in the final months of the year, with many locking down sales within days.

Sales were coming from first home and lower-income buyers, with a spike in sales under $750,000 and a big dip in sales above $1.5m.

Research has found the Brisbane market jumps by up to a quarter in size during the final months of the year, as buyers rush to secure homes before the end of the holidays.

PRD chief economist Dr Diaswati Mardiasmo said her team typically saw a 20 to 25 per cent lift in inquiries and conversation rates around the holidays, and they were seeing a larger spike this year compared to 2024.

“We are seeing first homebuyers in droves saying they want to settle and get into the market as soon as possible,” she said, “some of them because of the potential cash rate hike in 2026, some of them to get their finances in place before Christmas and the school holidays.”

REA data analysis found Brisbane properties were being sold nearly a week faster than they were at the start of the year.

Real Estate

PRD chief economist Dr Diaswati Mardiasmo said she was seeing more advertisements for buyers to get their finances in order before Christmas.

The median days on the market throughout the city dropped by six throughout 2025, going from 34 days in January-February to 28 days currently.

The latest quarter, measured up to November 23, saw 56 per cent clearance rates across Brisbane — a jump from the past quarter at 52 per cent, and the quarter before that at 39 per cent.

Ray White Collective agent Ben Osborne described these new purchasers as “fatigue buyers”. “(They) have been searching all year, narrowly missing out on the right property and are now determined to finally secure a home and put an end to their search,” he said.

Stock Education

Many ‘fatigue buyers’ want to avoid the market dropping off after school restarts, with properties in Brisbane selling nearly a week faster than they were at the start of 2025. Picture: NCA NewsWire / Sarah Marshall

“Inquiry levels are lifting as families and professionals look to relocate and start the new year in the right place, or plan ahead as their children prepare to start school in Brisbane.”

Mr Osborne said this was one of several reasons behind strong end-of-year results in today’s market, especially if sellers were ready for the spending surge.

“Well-prepared properties that are presented at their best tend to attract serious interest quickly, creating the potential for strong results even in the final weeks of the year,” he said.

The home at 12 Windsor St, Hamilton, is one of many that sold before they were supposed to go to auction, with many buyers and sellers keen to settle end-of-year purchases as soon as possible.

Dr Mardiasmo said this behaviour rose sharply after the Covid-19 pandemic, when the market exploded in both prices and activity.

She said she had seen more advertising for homebuyer financial services when compared to 2022 and 2023, and felt more people were capitalising on the government’s new first homebuyers grant.

“More than ever now there’s more of a push for refinancing and getting your finances sorted before Christmas,” she said.

“I know there are buyers concerned about lending criteria (becoming) much tighter for banks.”

The post Inside the big change in homebuyer habits during the Christmas holidays appeared first on realestate.com.au.

November 30, 2025/0 Comments/by JKents
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Thousands of homeowners forced to weigh selling homes they can no longer afford

One in four homeowners is contemplating selling within two years,as Australia’s housing costs surge to the nation’s top financial worry.

The findings in Canstar’s latest Consumer Pulse Report point to a potential uplift in listings and a market increasingly shaped by cost‑of‑living pressures heading into 2026.

Overall, 26 per cent of property owners are considering selling in the next 24 months.

The primary motivations are downsizing (39 per cent) and upgrading (27 per cent), but a concerning 19 per cent say they’re contemplating a sale because they can’t afford higher loan repayments.

Housing costs now outrank other essential expenses, and are more than double the concern they were five years ago, eclipsing groceries, energy bills, insurance premiums and movements in house prices.

Canstar head of research Sally Tindall said intent didn’t always translate into action but the signal was significant.

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Supplied Real Estate Source: Canstar Consumer Pulse Report.

Source: Canstar Consumer Pulse Report.

“I would say from the outset that there’s a difference between considering it and actually going through with it, but the fact that it’s on people’s minds is very telling,” she said.

“Of those considering selling, 19 per cent said they’re considering selling because they can’t afford the higher loan repayments… and it’s up 16 per cent from the year before, which is really interesting because, at least for now, we’re done with rate hikes.

“We have seen three rate cuts this year and even then, some families, some households are thinking it’s time to sell because they can’t keep on achieving. You can’t keep on scaling Everest.”

The pressure is most acute in Queensland, where 32 per cent of owners are mulling a sale, followed by Victoria (27 per cent), Western Australia (26 per cent), New South Wales (25 per cent) and South Australia (12 per cent).

Ms Tindall said generational stresses were particularly stark.

Supplied Real Estate Source: Canstar Consumer Pulse Report.

Source: Canstar Consumer Pulse Report.

For Millennials, monthly repayments on a $600,000, 30‑year home loan taken out before the RBA’s rate cycle began in May 2022 have climbed to about $3,734 – a 50 per cent increase.

Gen Z renters report unrelenting strain, with half experiencing a rent rise in 2025 and the average increase now $62 a week, up from $53 last year.

“One of the most essential things in life is to have a roof over your head, so for a lot of people, that’s the biggest concern these days,” Ms Tindall said.
“Mortgage rates are significantly higher than they were three years ago….and for people who haven’t refinanced or renegotiated their loans, that’s (added) 50 per cent more on your biggest monthly expenses.”

While some are pinning hopes on further RBA cuts, Ms Tindall warned this could backfire without more supply as a majority of existing owners surveyed (55 per cent) said they had no plans – or don’t expect to be in a position – to invest over the next two years.

SMARTdaily cover photo: RateCity's Sally Tindall

Canstar head of research Sally Tindall. Picture: Tim Hunter.

For those open to buying, the key triggers are macroeconomic: lower living costs (24 per cent) and lower property prices (24 per cent), followed by lower interest rates (20 per cent).

“I think it could well be a hindrance in the long term because if we see further rate cuts, people will be able to borrow more… that pushes up demand. And the biggest problem we’re currently having with soaring prices is the imbalance between supply and demand,” Ms Tindall said.

“There are so many people looking for houses in key property hotspots but there are not enough houses for sale. So interest rates can really feed that demand and then keep pushing property prices higher, which then makes it even harder for first‑home buyers to actually get a foothold on the property ladder.”

Supplied Real Estate Source: Canstar Consumer Pulse Report.

Source: Canstar Consumer Pulse Report.

Evy Kassiotes, 26, took to social media recently to claim home ownership hadn’t quite lived up to her financial expectations.

“Owning a home is actually such a scam,” she said.

“I got a letter in the mail to tell us about the progression of our loan and how much we’ve paid off.”

Ms Kassiotes then expressed her shock at learning how little of a dent she had made in her mortgage in almost two years.

“What do you mean we’ve only paid off $3000 since October 2023? It is now May 2025,” she said.

“Like are you joking? Is this a joke? Am I getting pranked?”

Evy Kassiotes branded owning a home ‘such a scam’. Picture: TikTok/evy.kassiotes

Finder home loans expert Richard Whitten said new data showed the costs of owning a home over the life of its loan were close to double the sticker price – more than double in some cases – and anything people could do to reduce the term of that loan would see savings for the homeowner.

“New buyers will almost certainly underestimate the long-term costs of home ownership – it’s basically impossible to fully map them out,” he said.

“Interest charges on the home loan are massive. Home insurance premiums have risen sharply in recent years (and) then there’s strata, maintenance and repairs, upgrades, the list is endless.

“But the upsides are really positive.

“Paying off the loan principal builds up your wealth, and the property value will most likely grow over time.

“And if you can pay the loan off faster those interest costs drop.”

The post Thousands of homeowners forced to weigh selling homes they can no longer afford appeared first on realestate.com.au.

November 30, 2025/0 Comments/by JKents
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A home for Christmas: New Sydney crisis housing

Soraya Sparrow remembers the Christmas her family were evicted.

Between the age of six and 15 she had lived in eight different houses, and recalled the experience as the worst year that “completely fractured” their family.

Ms Sparrow is the eldest of three sisters (now 34, 31, and 25) experiencing housing insecurity made the holiday periods feel particularly unstable and stressful.

“I don’t have the traditional nostalgic memories of Christmas, that many have,” she said.

“While other families seemed to settle into traditions and routines, we had occasions where we were focused on settling into a new place, or we were packing to move again.

“One year were evicted, and as a result we lost all the Christmas decorations along with a lot of other belongings.”

MORE: One million Aussies in limbo amid housing standoff

Homeless Woman

In 2023 to 2024 more than 280,000 people accessed homelessness services in Australia, 72,000 were turned away due to the lack of capacity.

While it is supposed to be the happiest time of the year, there are many that face Christmas without a home to call their own.

Domestic and family violence continues to be the leading cause of homelessness for women and children with 73 per cent of women seeking support from Women’s Community Shelters in 2025 escaping domestic and family violence.

“When you don’t have a stable employment and money, trying to find a stable home for your children is really, really stressful and unfortunately does become a cycle where because of those finances,” Ms Sparrow said.

Ms Sparrow said having to pack up their lives so many times created a lot of trauma.

“In my mum’s case, by the time we reached our teenage years it had really taken that toll on her mental health,” she said. “She had breakdowns of relationships as well as domestic violence.”

Soraya Sparrow and her mum

Ms Sparrow’s family didn’t have many possessions or furniture, she said they relied on donations, including food hampers from a school friend’s church.

“Our lounge room had camp chairs, my mum slept on a mattress on the floor, and someone kindly donated beds for us,” she said.

The recent launch of the Inner West Project is a landmark response to NSW housing and domestic violence crisis as the Southern Hemisphere’s largest ‘meanwhile use’ housing initiative

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QLD_GCB_NEWS_HOMELESSSAM_5MAY25

73 per cent of women seeking support from Women’s Community Shelters in 2025 were escaping domestic and family violence

Together TOGA Group, Women’s Community Shelters, Jewish House, Housing All Australians, FDC Construction & Fitout and the NSW Government united affording 36,599 safe nights a year for people experiencing homelessness.

Ms Sparrow who now works at Interface Flooring said the project will keep families together in a place that doesn’t feel institutional, but warm, welcoming, safe and supportive.

“A place like this would have given my family a new sense of hope,” she said.

“It’s the start of a positive journey for women and children to rebuild their lives.”

Soraya Sparrow’s experience of the holidays was impacted by housing insecurity

NSW’s first modular housing response to crisis housing also recently opened its doors to support women and children, on the eve of ‘International Day for the Elimination of Violence Against Women’ November 25.

Womens Community Shelters CEO Annabelle Daniel OAM. Image: Cassandra Hannagan

Women’s Community Shelters (WCS) and its project collaborators ‘Biyani House’ was funded by $2.4 million NSW Government Core and Cluster Program.

With everyday pivotal when keeping women and children safe, the benefit of modules vs traditional housing is speed with the units prefabricated in Victoria over a 10-week period and craned onto the Biyani House property in August.

Biyani House Modular living room and bedroom. Image: Cassandra Hannagan

November also saw the launch of Arada House, a new safe haven in partnership with Women’s Community Shelters.

Located in Campsie neighbourhood, Arada House comprises eight apartments (six two-bedroom, two one-bedroom) each with parking and balconies as well as shared facilities including a laundry area and dedicated parking for eight vehicles.

The safe haven will provide 20 more safe beds per night, equating to 7,300 more safe bed nights per year for NSW.

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“Domestic and family violence is not something that stays behind closed doors – it affects every part of our community, including workplaces,” Ahmed Alkhoshaibi Group CEO of Arada said.

Commenting on the partnership, Women’s Community Shelters CEO Annabelle Daniel OAM said “Together, we have created a safe haven that will support women and children impacted by DFV for the next 15 years.”

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The post A home for Christmas: New Sydney crisis housing appeared first on realestate.com.au.

November 30, 2025/0 Comments/by JKents
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‘Interest is a killer’: The real cost of Hobart homes

Property prices are so high that the interest most of us pay over 30 years now is astronomical, says Finder home loans expert Richard Whitten. Picture: Supplied

Homebuyers will pay as much in interest and duty as the sticker price of their home, mortgage cost analysis reveals.

In Hobart, research from comparison site Finder shows that buyers of a typical $715,000 house with a $143,000 (20 per cent) deposit, will pay over $1.337m in real costs over the 30-year life of a home loan.

For some first-time buyers, the costs could be pricier still.

The analysis shows that Hobart buyers using the federal government’s expanded First Home Guarantee — 5 per cent deposit instead of 20 per cent — would be slugged an additional $114,152 over the life of the same $715,000 loan.

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Petrusma Property has 16 Montagu Bay Road, Montagu Bay for sale priced at $695,000-plus.

No.8 Kotona St, Rokeby is for sale with Exceed Property priced at $745,000-plus.

For house buyers with a 20 per cent deposit, just nine out of 66 Hobart suburbs would have a total cost that was less than $1m if paid in full for three decades.

Once considered more affordable areas, Goodwood, Brighton, Mornington and Austins Ferry were all above the $1m-plus mark.

In Hobart’s cheapest suburb, Gagebrook, a $380,250 median priced house with a 20 per cent deposit, will cost $710,964 over a 30-year loan. With a 10 per cent deposit, the real cost climbs to $752,304.

At the top of the table, Battery Point’s total cost exceeded $3m, while a median-priced Sandy Bay house worth $1.35m would cost over $2.58m in total.

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Across the Hobart suburbs, duty costs ranged from $29,666 to $66,060, with half of the analysed suburbs coming in under Tasmania’s $750,000 duty relief price cap.

Finder home loans expert Richard Whitten said the massive long-term costs highlighted the value of using an offset account or making extra loan repayments to get the debt down.

“Interest is a killer,” Mr Whitten said. “Property prices are so high that the interest most of us pay over 30 years now is astronomical.

“If Australians are borrowing $1m to buy a house, then a 7 or 8 per cent interest rate could ruin them.

“If inflation heats up again, rate hikes will be very tricky to pull off politically.”

Finder’s Richard Whitten.

Exceed Property director Mandy Welling said while Hobart’s first home buyers are making educated decisions, she’s confident that few are entertaining the full term of their loan when they consider buying a home.

“There would be some analytical purchasers who take that into consideration, but I’d be very confident they are the exception and not the rule,” Mrs Welling said.

“From our conversations with first-time buyers, they are more focused on breaking free of the rental cycle and hopefully securing something that will earn them capital.”

No.164 Goulburn St, West Hobart is for sale with Peterswald, priced at $725,000-plus.


Mrs Welling said many young buyers have thought about what may go wrong if they struggle with repayments and they chat about ‘backup plans’.

“This might mean taking on a housemate to assist with repayments or possibly moving back in with mum and dad and renting the home out until they can manage the repayments again,” she said.

“They are aware that their marketplace is moving rapidly at the moment and competition is heating up with an influx of interstate investors creeping into the space,” she said.

REIT Mandy Welling

Mandy Welling at Hobart. Picture: Chris Kidd

Mortgage Choice broker David Thurmond said a $50 a week extra payment on a mortgage adds up to $13,000 over five years, which could have meaningful impacts on long-term interest costs.

“Over the life of the loan, that will save you thousands in interest,” he said.

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While new buyers will “almost certainly” underestimate the long-term costs of homeownership, Mr Witten said the upsides are positive.

He said paying off a loan’s principal builds wealth, and a property’s value will likely grow over time.

“If you can pay the loan off faster, those interest costs drop,” he said.

“Once the loan is paid off you’re in a substantially better position than a renter.

“A debt-free 60-year-old homeowner may have 20 to 40 years of living without rent, whereas a renter of the same age could have decades more rent to pay.”

HOBART HOUSE SALE PRICE vs. TOTAL COST 
Suburb Median house price Total cost with 20% deposit Total cost with 10% deposit
HIGHEST
Battery Point $1,575,000 $3,010,883 $3,182,110
Sandy Bay $1,350,000 $2,580,069 $2,726,835
Acton Park $1,201,000 $2,294,774 $2,425,342
Tranmere $1,175,000 $2,244,991 $2,372,732
Seven Mile Beach $1,150,000 $2,197,123 $2,322,146
LOWEST
Gagebrook $380,250 $710,964 $752,304
Herdsmans Cove $385,000 $719,846 $761,710
Bridgewater $425,000 $794,635 $840,839
Clarendon Vale $466,000 $871,294 $921,955
Risdon Vale $470,000 $878,772 $929,869
Source: Finder

The post ‘Interest is a killer’: The real cost of Hobart homes appeared first on realestate.com.au.

November 30, 2025/0 Comments/by JKents
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Mixed auction action to end spring, Dipper’s childhood home passes in

71 Mason St, Hawthorn - for herald sun real estate

71 Mason St, Hawthorn, passed in at auction — despite a social media shout out from former resident, Robert ‘Dipper’ DiPierdomenico.

The spring auction market has wrapped up with mixed results as Melbourne recorded more than 780 sales, but the childhood home of an AFL legend passed in.

PropTrack data shows 67 per cent of the 1168 auction results reported yesterday were a win for sellers, in keeping with recent weeks — despite the number of homes going to auction being well past 1000 every week since the Melbourne Cup.

Unfortunately, the Hawthorn home that Robert ‘Dipper’ DiPierdomenico grew up in was not among them.

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Kay & Burton auctioneer Scott Patterson said while the home at 71 Mason St had passed in without a bid, there had been interested parties in the crowd and they would work with them over the next few weeks.

“We are expecting over the next few weeks to have a few people bounce around from property to property and hopefully secure a buyer in the near future,” Mr Patterson said.

Dipper took to social media ahead of the sale to espouse the four-bedroom home’s virtues, including that it was where he first kicked a footy.

The AFL legend went on to win five premierships and a Brownlow Medal in his career.

The home is now listed for salt at $3.25m, in the middle of the $3.1m-$3.4m price guide set ahead of the auction.

71 Mason St, Hawthorn - for herald sun real estate

71 Mason St, Hawthorn, is the home where Rober DiPierdomenico first kicked a footy, but his brother was left holding the ball after it passed in at auction yesterday.

71 Mason St, Hawthorn - for herald sun real estate

The home has now been listed for sale at $3.25m.

Real Estate Institute of Victoria president Toby Balazs said it had been a “solid spring” and had offered a “good, balanced market” for buyers and sellers.

While the number of homes testing the market surged, auctioneers have indicated those that missing out under the hammer are selling within a week or two of their planned sale date.

The final few weeks of the year’s auction calendar are expected to bring two more super Saturday sales events on December 6 and 13, before dropping off substantially to a few hundred on the 20th.

“So you can expect reasonable auction activity right to the 20th of December this year,” Mr Balazs said.

474 Rae St, Fitzroy North - for herald sun real estate

474 Rae St, Fitzroy North, set the benchmark for auctions on the final Saturday of spring with a $3.1m sale.

33 Fyffe St, Thornbury - for herald sun real estate

33 Fyffe St, Thornbury, was the second most expensive home sold at auction yesterday with a disclosed price at $3.066m.

While the REIV is anticipating no change to the nation’s mortgage rates next month and a continued balanced market to wrap up 2025, how next year kicks off could be impacted if there was an interest rate hike from the Reserve Bank on December 9.

“If we did get a rate increase in December that would be an unexpected increase for vendors who are planning for the next six month period; that could get them to rethink when they will bring their home to the market,” he said.

“It could have an impact on listings coming on to the market at the start of the year.”


Sign up to the Herald Sun Weekly Real Estate Update. Click here to get the latest Victorian property market news delivered direct to your inbox.

MORE: Comic Joe Avati to sell Preston townhouse after five-year saga

Home affordability shock: typical Victorian priced out of most homes

Filmmaker Peter Dickson selling Point Lonsdale creative retreat

The post Mixed auction action to end spring, Dipper’s childhood home passes in appeared first on realestate.com.au.

November 30, 2025/0 Comments/by JKents
https://www.juliankent.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/logo.png 0 0 JKents https://www.juliankent.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/logo.png JKents2025-11-30 00:00:282025-11-30 00:00:28Mixed auction action to end spring, Dipper’s childhood home passes in

December housing data provides early signals for 2026 market

The month of December typically has the lowest weekly seasonal demand for housing, but it’s a big key to how the spring of 2026 will perform — if you know what housing data lines to focus on.

Traditionally, I wouldn’t care so much about December housing data; however, post-COVID, the forward-looking seasonal demand data has started earlier than normal. For example, in the last decade, I would only really value purchase apps during the second week of January to the first week of May, but post-COVID, the November and December data have a strong seasonal push, even when mortgage rates are elevated.

Given that, here’s what you should be looking at in the last month of the year.

Key data lines to track

Despite being a slow month for the housing market, December can give us a good idea of what to expect in the 2026. Let me explain with an example. Back in November of 2022, we were experiencing the most significant and fastest home sales crash ever — so much so that I even said it looked like existing home sales were heading toward 4 million, when they had had only recently dropped a tad under 5 million. As you can see in the chart below, the crash was epic and happened in just one year.

chart visualization

Then, starting from Nov. 9, 2022, mortgage rates began to fall toward 6%, fueling 12 weeks of positive forward-looking data. Those 12 weeks gave us one of the largest monthly sales prints in American history; almost 500,000 more homes were bought in February of 2023. So for the next four weeks, regardless of what the holidays do to the data, we have metrics we can track to give us a sense of how the start of 2026 will look, since mortgage rates are near 6% today. Below are the data lines you should focus on in the month of December.

Mortgage rates and the 10-year yield

In my 2025 forecast, I anticipated the following ranges:

  • Mortgage rates between 5.75% and 7.25%
  • The 10-year yield fluctuating between 3.80% and 4.70%

Mortgage rates are near the lowest levels of the year because the labor data has gotten softer and the Fed was forced to cut rates. As you can see in the chart below, the 10-year yield is close to the year-to-date lows; this wasn’t the case last year at this time. So, as long as the 10-year yield stays near 4% in December, we will have lower rates going into 2026 than we had in 2024 and 2025.

chart visualization

One thing that can change mortgage rates is the upcoming December Fed meeting. Fed Chair Jerome Powell and the other Fed hawks tend to get very hawkish when mortgage rates are near 6%, fearing that more Americans will buy homes. In the last meeting, when the Fed cut rates, Powell sounded very hawkish, hoping bond traders would push yields higher, and they did a bit.

The market is pricing in another rate cut at the December meeting, so the important thing is to listen to what Powell says, because mortgage rates could go higher in December if he is very hawkish. This will be his last meeting before Trump announces the next Fed Chairman near Christmas. However, as long as the 10-year yield is near 4%, mortgage rates will stay near 6%. Also, in 2026, some ARM loans will drop under 6%, something that wasn’t available for Americans in the past few years.

Mortgage spreads

Mortgage spreads were the unsung superheroes of the housing sector this year, because we wouldn’t have had mortgage rates near 6% without them improving. Now, the big difference from the past few years is that the spreads are noticeably better and almost back to normal. As long as this stays true, it will be a plus for 2026, which is why we track this data line each weekend. 

Historically, mortgage spreads have ranged between 1.60% and 1.80%. If today’s spreads were as bad as they were at the peak of 2023, mortgage rates would currently be 0.91% higher. Conversely, if the spreads returned to their normal range, mortgage rates would be 0.59% to 0.39% lower than today’s level, meaning mortgage rates would be 5.63%-5.83%. 

chart visualization

Mortgage purchase application data

Since late 2022, whenever mortgage rates fall below 6.64% and approach 6%, housing data tends to improve, especially in positive weekly purchase application data.

If we can achieve 12 to 14 weeks of positive weekly data, we will establish a solid trend. So far in 2025, we have recorded 10 positive weekly purchase application data prints since mortgage rates dropped below 6.64% at the end of July. Here’s what the data looks like since rates fell below that key threshold:

  • 10 positive week-to-week prints
  • 7 negative week-to-week prints
  • 17 weeks of double-digit year-over-year growth

chart visualization

Here is the data for the entire year. While we have had solid year-over-year growth in purchase apps, the weekly data improved in terms of consistency when mortgage rates fell below 6.64%. For the month of December, we want to continue the positive purchase application trend since last week we hit a year-to-date high in purchase apps.

  • 22 positive readings
  • 18 negative readings
  • 6 flat prints
  • 43 straight weeks of positive year-over-year data
  • 30 consecutive weeks of double-digit growth year over year

Our total pending sales data below is more positive now than in prior years. As long as mortgage rates stay near 6% and purchase application data grows week to week and year over year, we should see growth in 2026.

chart visualization

Housing inventory

We are no longer experiencing inventory shortages like we did from 2020-2024 and we’re close to normal inventory levels. Home-price growth is slowing and homebuyers in 2026 will have more options. Sellers do not have the same control they once had during the savagely unhealthy housing market following COVID. 

Although we can expect the normal seasonal declines in inventory, new listings and price cuts, the positive story of higher inventory will persist throughout December, so this portion of the story is already written, as the chart below shows.

chart visualization

Conclusion

As we prepare for the last month of the year and the holiday season, it’s essential to monitor forward-looking housing data. You don’t want to be caught unaware, as many were in late 2022, when forward-looking housing data was improving but few were paying attention. It took about six months for people to realize that the market had shifted, as Sarah and I discussed in this 2023 podcast.

For the rest of the year, the key is the 10-year yield and purchase apps. If mortgage rates stay near 6% and purchase apps grow week to week as well as year over year, it’s a good start for 2026 as purchase apps look out 30-90 days and housing acts much better with rates near 6%. 

November 30, 2025/0 Comments/by JKents
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Comic Joe Avati to sell Preston townhouse after five-year saga

52B Beauchamp St, Preston - for herald sun real estate

Award-winning comedian Joe Avati is selling a Preston townhouse that’s part of a complex he started developing in the depths of Covid lockdowns in 2020.

World-famous Aussie comic Joe Avati is set to bring a Preston development project’s five-year saga to an end with a $1.05m-$1.15m auction slated two weeks from Christmas.

Avati became Australia’s biggest selling comic internationally in 2012, and early in the new year takes off on a tour of America and Canada.

Before then, he’s finishing off the current Comedy Cartel tour with Tahir, George Kapiniars, Sashi Perera, Ting Lim and Joe White, which has Melbourne dates from December 4-7.

RELATED: Melbourne house behind film classic Malcolm listed for sale at $3m+

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Filmmaker Peter Dickson selling Point Lonsdale creative retreat


The award-winning comedian has previously broken a record with a home renovation and extension in Princes Hill, also in Melbourne’s north, when he sold his former home in December, 2021.

“My last auction was in 2021 and that broke a record in Princes Hill,” Avati said.

His latest effort is close to five years in the making, having bought the Beauchamp St property in June 2020, and watched Covid “put a spanner in the works” for more than a year as Melbourne went in and out of lockdowns for 262 days.

While Avati and his wife Natalie have built two townhouses at the site, they’re keeping one as an investment and selling one at 52B Beauchamp St, Preston.

52B Beauchamp St, Preston - for herald sun real estate

The upscale kitchen comes with a steam oven, supersized island bench and light and bright decor.

Joe Avati 2024 by Sheldon Ang Media www.sheldonangmedia.com--16 - for herald sun real estate

Comedian Joe Avati at a sold out gig. Picture: Sheldon Ang Media.

The home’s kitchen features a steam oven and super-sized island benches, there is an ensuite for each of the three bedrooms, and rear lane access leads to a double garage.

“And the open-plan lay out opens to a courtyard that faces north,” Avati said.

The home is also a 150m stroll from Preston market, and a growing list of world’s coolest places rolling slowly through Melbourne’s northern suburbs along High St in Northcote and Thornbury, the comedian said Preston was on its way to being the next on the list gaining international attention for its vibe.

52B Beauchamp St, Preston - for herald sun real estate

An open-plan living area opens out to the rear courtyard.

52B Beauchamp St, Preston - for herald sun real estate

The north-facing outdoor space is perfect for summer days.

Nelson Alexander’s Mark Verrocchi is handling the sale and said a mix of downsizers and younger couples had shown interest in the property.

All appreciated the location near the Preston market, but the added attention to detail from an ensuite for each bedroom to the low-maintenance design of the home and gardens had also helped boost its popularity.

It includes one ground-floor bedroom with an ensuite, and two more with private bathrooms on the upper level.

52B Beauchamp St, Preston - for herald sun real estate

There are three bedrooms spread across the home’s upper and lower floors.

52B Beauchamp St, Preston - for herald sun real estate

And every bedroom comes with its own ensuite.

The main living area is at the rear of the ground floor, opening out to the courtyard garden and double garage.

The three-bedroom townhouse at 52B Beauchamp St, Preston, goes to auction at 10am on December 13.


Sign up to the Herald Sun Weekly Real Estate Update. Click here to get the latest Victorian property market news delivered direct to your inbox.

MORE: Aus housing market’s shock 2026 prediction revealed

Home affordability pain: typical Victorian priced out of most homes

Award-winning Point Cook pad ready to break suburb record

The post Comic Joe Avati to sell Preston townhouse after five-year saga appeared first on realestate.com.au.

November 29, 2025/0 Comments/by JKents
https://www.juliankent.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/logo.png 0 0 JKents https://www.juliankent.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/logo.png JKents2025-11-29 12:00:042025-11-29 12:00:04Comic Joe Avati to sell Preston townhouse after five-year saga

Abandoned horror home stuns crowd at auction with insane price

Bronte auction

A rundown home in Bronte has sold for a multimillion-dollar price. Picture: Jeremy Piper

A neglected house riddled with problems from decades of water damage has sold for nearly $3.9m at an auction that stunned the crowd in attendance.

The three-bedroom house on a 300sqm block in Bronte, in Sydney’s eastern suburbs, had been described by the agent as “terminal” after being left vacant for the last 20 years.

The price for the Palmerston Ave home was $3,835,000, $835,000 over reserve.

Agent Angus Gorrie of Ray White Eastern Beaches told The Sunday Telegraph before the auction that the home was beyond repair.

“It’s dead,” he said. “The whole place has been ruined. Absolutely ruined. There is nothing you’d keep … there is basically no kitchen. The ceiling has dropped in nearly every room.”

He added the home had the vibe of “a deserted haunted house”.

MORE: ‘Ridiculous’ way 32yo bought home for $25k

Bronte auction

The Palmerston Ave home had been vacant for decades. Picture: Jeremy Piper

Bronte auction

One of the rooms had mysterious writing. Picture: Jeremy Piper

“There is water penetration everywhere. The floor is damaged. You could (fall) through it in places. It’s a serious project.”

Mr Gorrie said the interest was from experienced builders with plans to knock the home down and replace it with something new. “It’s too scary for most people,” he said.

There were 12 registered bidders. Seven made offers. The buyer was alleged to be planning a knockdown rebuild.

Mr Gorrie estimated a builder would need to spend about $2m on construction if they wanted a new home to be up to the standard of nearby properties. A modern house on the block would be worth about $7m, Mr Gorrie said.

MORE: Migrant, in Aus as a student, owns 56 homes

It is not known how the home came to be vacant for so long.

Bronte auction

There were 12 registered bidders.

“It was a huge result,” Mr Gorrie said. “We knew it would attract interest because of the potential but it was a bit spooky how much work was needed. It’s a sloped block. And there was no front door. Some people took one look at the place and left.”

A crowd of about 100 people were reported at the auction. “There were a lot of curious neighbours. They had been walking past for years. There is a lot of interest in what might happen.”

Auctioneer James Hayashi was given a reserve of $3m and the opening bid was $2.7m. “It was probably the worst condition house I’ve ever auctioned,” Mr Hayashi said.

Some passers-by watching the auction were heard expressing surprise at the final price.

“People could look at it and see you’d need to spend a fortune on the property,” Mr Hayashi said.

The sale occurred on what was the busiest weekend for auction activity nationally in close to 19 months. More than 1,200 auctions were scheduled in Sydney alone, the highest weekly volume in three years.

Earlier on Saturday, this Roseville Chase sold for nearly $2m more than the price the seller paid in 2019.

Critically, the higher volume of auctions has not matched increases in demand as buyers continue to capitalise on recent interest rate cuts and government incentives.

Michael Garofolo, director of auction group Cooley, said the market was particularly strong for properties under $1.5m as that was the cap for the government First Home Guarantee Scheme, which helps buyers get into the market with 5 per cent deposits.

Earlier in the day, in the Sutherland Shire, a 1200sqm property in Miranda changed hands for the first time in more than 80 years for $3.1m – $105,000 over reserve.

The family who had owned the Karimbla Rd property were reported to have bought it when the area was semirural and dominated by small farms.

35 Karimbla Road, Miranda sold for $105,000 over reserve.

Auctioneer Andrew Cooley of Avenue Auctions received interest from five registered bidders – all builders drawn to the opportunity to replace the existing five-bed house with a townhouse complex.

In the Sydney’s north, a Roseville Chase home that had last sold in 2019 for $1.92m has resold for $3.85m, nearly $2m higher, after a minor cosmetic renovation.

There were seven bidders registered for the auction of the three-bedroom house on Allan St and five made offers.

Selling agent Jessica Cao of Ray White Upper North Shore said the home attracted interest from downsizers, investors and upgraders.

The post Abandoned horror home stuns crowd at auction with insane price appeared first on realestate.com.au.

November 29, 2025/0 Comments/by JKents
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