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The Aussie celebrities struggling to sell their home

They’ve got the fame, the fortune, and the glossy magazine spreads showing off their homes – but when it comes to selling, even Australia’s biggest celebrities aren’t immune to the harsh realities of the property market.

From Russell Crowe’s harbour penthouse that just won’t budge, to Rebel Wilson’s Balmain beauty pulled from auction, to the Hewitts’ Gold Coast mega-mansion with no takers, these cases prove that star power doesn’t always equal sold.

And it’s not just Aussies.

Overseas, names like Johnny Depp and Nicolas Cage have lost millions on failed property deals – proof that real estate can humble even Hollywood royalty.

The Hewitts’ Gold Coast game, set … and eventually, match

Tennis champion Lleyton Hewitt and his actor wife Bec sold their luxury beach house for $4.9m after a sales campaign that was far from game, set, and match.

The star couple dropped the asking price of their coveted Gold Coast home by $200,000 to secure the deal.

It came two months after an onsite auction where nobody registered to bid, despite more than 100 spectators.

2024 Newcombe Medal

Lleyton Hewitt and Bec Hewitt had to drop the asking price of their coveted Gold Coast home by $200,000 to secure the deal. (Photo by Graham Denholm/Getty Images for Tennis Australia)

Supplied Real Estate =?UTF-8?Q?Lleyton_and_Bec_Hewitt=E2=80=99s_former_Gold_Coast_home?=

The home was the most viewed online when it was first listed for sale

Known as The Palms, the property was then listed at $5.1m and sold in January this year to a Queensland buyer.

The latest deal closed just after Wimbledon champion Hewitt returned to the Australian Open, where he teamed up with Pat Rafter for the Legend’s Cup doubles tournament.

The house went under contract more than 102 days after hitting the market, with the buyer signing on the dotted line alongside a confidentiality agreement preventing the agents from publicly discussing details of the sale.

The agent who sold the home to the Hewitts in 2021, however, later revealed it online.

Read more here.

Rebel Wilson’s auction that flopped

Pitch Perfect star Rebel Wilson has relisted her stunning Sydney investment property after a failed attempted to auction the property in 2024.

The actress 45, has relisted the chic Balmain apartment for $2m – $300,000 less than her previous asking price.

Tucked away in the heritage-listed Lever Brothers soap factory, Rebel purchased the two-bedroom pad off the plan back in 2018 for $1.8m.

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Actress Rebel Wilson has stuck with her estate agent younger sister, Anna Wilson, in the relisting of her redundant Balmain investment property. (Photo by Araya Doheny/Getty Images)

Supplied Real Estate Rebel Wilson's Balmain home

Wilson’s redundant Balmain investment property will go to auction on October 4 with the price guidance revised to $2m. Picture: realestate.com.au

Supplied Real Estate Rebel Wilson's Balmain home

The soap factory heritage conversion project features views over the city skyline and Anzac Bridge. Picture: realestate.com.au

Spread out over two levels, the ‘house-like’ apartment boasts 156 square-metres of indoor and outdoor living space, with two balconies, a rooftop terrace, two bedrooms and a well-equipped kitchen with stunning views of the CBD skyline and Anzac Bridge.

Rebel first listed the property back in June last year, with an asking price of $2.3m.

She then pulled the property from auction in July, before enlisting her younger sister Annachi ‘Anna’ Wilson to sell the pad.

Read more here.

Russell Crowe’s Sydney stalemate

Russell Crowe’s expansive Sydney penthouse, located on the iconic Woolloomooloo Finger Wharf, has been quietly offered for sale on multiple occasions over the years, reflecting the challenges of selling ultra-luxury real estate in a niche market.

The Hollywood actor originally purchased the whole-floor residence in 2003 for $14.35m, setting a record for Sydney apartment sales at the time.

Spanning approximately 1000 sqm, the penthouse boasts a marina berth, seven car spaces, and breathtaking harbour views, making it one of the city’s most prestigious properties.

Celebrity Sightings At Wimbledon 2025 - Day 2

Russell Crowe attends day two of the Wimbledon Tennis Championships at the All England Lawn Tennis and Croquet Club in London, England. (Photo by Karwai Tang/WireImage)

Supplied Real Estate Russell Crowe's Woolloomooloo Finger Wharf home.

Crowe’s 1000 sqm, north facing home sits at the end of the famous wharf.

Supplied Real Estate Russell Crowe's Woolloomooloo Finger Wharf home.

Inside another one of the Finger Wharf homes. Picture: Supplied

The property reportedly first appeared on the market around late 2016, listed off-market with an ambitious price expectation of $30 million.

This coincided with Crowe’s divorce settlement from Danielle Spencer.

Crowe later withdrew the property from the market after rejecting an offer of about $25 million in 2017 but later put it back on the market in late 2024, with price guidance of $42 million to $45 million.

He decided to sell the apartment to spend more time at his farm in Nana Glen and possibly retire from acting, according to media reports.

Read more here.

Ian Thorpe’s unsinkable apartment

You win some, you lose some. Just ask Ian Thorpe, the Australian Olympic swimming legend, who has faced challenges in selling his luxurious Woollahra apartment despite its prime location.

The four-bedroom townhouse was purchased by Thorpe in 2017 for $2.75m.

Initially listed for sale in late 2023 with a price guide of $3.7m, the property failed to sell at its first auction in September that year, passing in on a vendor bid of $3.95m.

Thorpe, who retired in 2006, was the youngest individual world champion when he won the 400m freestyle at the 1998 World Aquatics Championships, aged 15. He then won three gold medals at the 2000 Sydney Games and two at the 2004 Athens Games.

With 164sq m of indoor and 52sq m of outdoor living, the three-level townhouse has four bedrooms.

Ian Thorpe

Ian Thorpe has faced lengthy challenges in selling his luxurious Woollahra apartment despite its prime location. Picture Rohan Kelly

Supplied Real Estate =?UTF-8?Q?Ian_Thorpe=E2=80=99s_Woollahra_townhouse?=

Refurbished by designers Ridgway Sassella, the townhouse comes with 164sq m of indoor and 52sq m of outdoor living. Picture: realestate.com.au

Supplied Real Estate =?UTF-8?Q?Ian_Thorpe=E2=80=99s_Woollahra_townhouse?=

Of course the home comes with a pool.

The communal heated pool is set at the front of its grounds amid tropical gardens.

In October 2024, the apartment was relisted with a reduced price guide of $3.5m, ahead of a November 7 auction. This relisting occurred amid a softer Sydney property market, characterised by reduced buyer interest and heightened competition.

Reports indicated fewer buyer parties at inspections compared to its initial listing.

Meanwhile, Thorpe has purchased a new apartment in Edgecliff for $2.79 million, with latest reports indicating he’s been renting out the Woollahra property for $1850 per week.

Thorpe, who retired in 2006, was the youngest individual world champion when he won the 400m freestyle at the 1998 World Aquatics Championships, aged 15. He then won three gold medals at the 2000 Sydney Games and two at the 2004 Athens Games.

Read more here.

Chrissie Swan’s ‘blood, sweat and tears’ renovation fails to deliver

Chrissie Swan has sold her Hollywood-inspired Hawthorn East home for approximately $2.5 million, a sale that occurred just under the lower end of her initial guide price of $2.6m, meaning the renovation project did not achieve a significant profit.

Swan renovated the address herself after purchasing it three years ago.

She named the main three-bedroom house featuring original teak timber panelling and floor-to-ceiling windows ‘Judy’ after the iconic Hollywood actor and singer Judy Garland.

Chrissie Swan attending an event as ambassador for Priceline.

Chrissie Swan has sold her colourful Hawthorn East home. Picture: Christian Gilles.

Supplied Real Estate Chrissie Swan has sold her colourful Hawthorn East home. Picture:
 Christian Gilles.

Blue and white-coloured wallpaper which looks similar to tiles adorns a wall in one of the living and dining areas.

Supplied Real Estate Chrissie Swan has sold her colourful Hawthorn East home. Picture:
 Christian Gilles.

Peach and blue tones give one of the two bathrooms a retro feel.

The two-bedroom residence to the rear is named ‘Liza’ after Judy’s daughter, Academy Award-winning actor and singer Liza Minnelli known for the 1972 film Cabaret and the 1977 movie New York, New York directed by Martin Scorsese.

Swan will host a revamped version of the ‘90s lifestyle show Healthy, Wealthy & Wise on Channel 7 that’s set to air later this month.

She also presents The Chrissie Swan Show on radio station Nova FM.

Read more here.

Tobi Pearce sells penthouse at a loss

Fitness entrepreneur Tobi Pearce officially parted ways in 2024 with the Adelaide penthouse he famously purchased following his split from former fiance and fellow fitness influencer Kayla Itsines.

Property records show the two-storey home atop Adelaide’s Realm skyscraper changed hands for $5.1m in September 2024 – reflecting a small loss – with Pearce paying a record $5.287m in 2021, setting a new state apartment record.

Supplied Real Estate Tobi Pearce's former Realm penthouses

Tobi Pearce’s former Realm penthouses sold at a loss.

Supplied Real Estate Tobi Pearce's former Realm penthouses

The home came with stunning views across Adelaide.

The listing had a $5.7m to $6.25m price guidance and was originally tipped to break its own record.

The spacious home features four bedrooms, four bathrooms, a study, a cinema room, a wine cellar, two kitchens and a rooftop entertaining deck with a built-in barbecue, wood fire pizza oven, and bar.The home also offers owners access to the complex’s amenities, including a wellbeing zone for indoor yoga, a 270sq m rooftop spa, sauna and steam room, a cross-fit enabled gym and climbing wall, two private function spaces and a games room and a 25m lap pool and spa.

Read more here.

Peter O’Brien patience tested as family home fails to sell at auction

It might not have sold under the hammer late last year, but Neighbours star Peter O’Brien’s Glenelg family home of almost 60 years has officially sold.

Mr O’Brien’s 5 Percival St home came up just short of the much-loved actor’s desired price at its October auction last year but sold after some negotiations for $1.47m.

Presented in largely original condition, the four-bedroom, two-bathroom home sits on a 418 sqm allotment just moments from the beach and Glenelg’s prized amenities.

Peter O'Brien's home goes to auction

Peter O’Brien outside his former family home in Glenelg. Picture: Keryn Stevens

Supplied Real Estate 5 Percival Street, Glenelg

The home failed to sell at auction.

O’Brien’s late parents Betty and Jack bought the home as a holiday house in the mid-’60s while the family were living on a farm in Tailem Bend, eventually moving into the property while Peter was at school and university.

The Sacred Heart College, and Adelaide and Flinders University alumni – who would later go on to play memorable roles in Neighbours, The Flying Doctors, Cardiac Arrest, Water Rats, White Collar Blue, Casualty, Queer As Folk and X-Men Origins: Wolverine – took ownership of the home when the last of his parents passed away a decade ago.

Read more here.

No buyer’s luck – yet – for Buddy and Jesinta Franklin

It’s perhaps one of the nices homes on the street and yet, former AFL star Lance ‘Buddy’ Franklin and his fashion influencer wife Jesinta are struggling to sell their glamorous Mediterranean-style property on the Gold Coast almost three years after buying it.

After numerous failed attempts to sell the home in 2024, the couple recently relisted the hinterland retreat, known as Villa Casa, with price expectations of about $12m, according to the Financial Review.

Jessica and Buddy Franklin relist Villa Casa at Reedy Creek.

Racing Shoots

Buddy Franklin and wife Jesinta with a Gay Waterhouse trained horse Knights Order. Picture: Jason Edwards

The property – which reportedly last traded for $8.75m in 2022 – comes with a five-bedroom main residence, a two-bedroom guesthouse, expansive living zones, a games room and a gourmet kitchen.

Outdoor amenities are reminiscent of a resort, with a glamorous terrace running the length of the magnesium pool with swim-up bar, while there’s also a built-in barbecue, games room and living room with panoramic views.

Franklin, who retired from AFL in 2023 after playing for both the Hawthorn Football Club and Sydney Swans, is regarded as one of the greatest players of all time.

Read more here.

Johnny Depp’s French fantasy that became a money pit

In 2001, Johnny Depp snapped up a 19th-century French village, complete with a church, café, winery, and several cottages, pouring an estimated US$10 million into lavish renovations – including adding pools and even a skate park.

He first tried to offload the storybook estate in 2015 for approximately $26m but the property failed to attract buyers.

Johnny Depp’s attempts to sell his French village have been widely reported since 2015, but the property has never successfully sold.

In 2016, amid his divorce from Amber Heard, the price was dramatically increased to around $55.5m, reflecting its luxurious renovations and Depp’s investment in the estate.

Despite the price hike, the village remained unsold.

Over the years, the asking price fluctuated between $27m and $63m.

Nicolas Cage’s real estate binge ends in foreclosure

Hollywood actor Nicolas Cage faced a dramatic financial downfall due to a failed property empire and substantial IRS debt.

The actor attributed his financial woes to over-investing in real estate and the 2008 market crash.

To address his debts, Cage sold numerous extravagant properties, often at significant losses. Among the notable sales were his Bel-Air Estate, which sold for $10.5 million, a fraction of its previous value.

Actor Nicolas Cage was forced to sell a large number of properties at a loss due to substantial IRS debts.

A large home with Strip views in Las Vegas, which he reportedly purchased for $8.5 million, was also foreclosed upon and sold for less than half its value.

Other assets included a private island in the Bahamas and castles in Germany and England, all sold under financial strain.

Why celebs lose big on bricks and mortar

For everyday Australians, it might be tempting to assume celebrities always come out ahead in real estate – but these high-profile missteps prove otherwise.

From Depp’s fantasy French hamlet to Cage’s mass property sell off, and from Crowe to Wilson and the Hewitts, the lesson is the same: property isn’t foolproof, even with millions in the bank and a famous name on the deed.

The post The Aussie celebrities struggling to sell their home appeared first on realestate.com.au.

September 19, 2025/0 Comments/by JKents
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The loan type that’s silently killing mortgage approvals exposed

It’s not your savings or your salary that’s killing your mortgage chances. A single payday loan on your credit file could silently destroy your property dreams – and most Australians don’t even realise it.

With cost-of-living pressures rising, Aussies are increasingly turning to payday loans for quick relief.

However, according to Julian Finch, CEO of Finch Financial, even a single payday loan on your credit file can destroy your chances of getting a home loan.

A payday loan is high-cost, small-amount, short-term loan of up to $2000, designed as a quick fix for cash flow issues.

“Home loan lenders don’t want to see a payday loan on your record,” Finch said.

“It’s a huge red flag. It signals financial stress, poor money management and higher risk. That $500 loan you thought was harmless could be the reason you’re denied a mortgage worth hundreds of thousands of dollars.”

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Leading finance expert and CEO of Finch Financial Services Julian Finch.

Mr Finch added that payday loans send a powerful negative message to banks and mortgage lenders.

“It tells them you couldn’t manage your cashflow without resorting to one of the most expensive forms of borrowing. Even if you’ve repaid it in full, it stains your record and can jeopardise your approval,” he said.

Payday loans are notorious for high interest rates, aggressive fee structures and short repayment windows.

However, Finch stressed that the biggest danger isn’t the cost, it’s the long-term damage to your financial credibility.

Think a quick payday loan is harmless? Think again.

He warned that payday loans could not only impact mortgages – but car finance, personal loans and even business lending.

“Once lenders see payday loans, they question your ability to handle larger, more responsible borrowing. It undermines trust and trust is everything in finance,” he said.

For those struggling, Finch urged Australians to look for safer alternatives.

“Talk to a finance broker about restructuring your existing debts or get advice from a financial planner,” he advised.

“Make lifestyle changes such as cutting back on expenses. Look at selling things you can rebuy later. Talk to family about your options as well.

“There are smarter ways to manage cashflow that won’t compromise your future.

“Payday loans are financial landmines. They don’t just cost you fees today, they cost you the opportunities of tomorrow.”

The post The loan type that’s silently killing mortgage approvals exposed appeared first on realestate.com.au.

September 19, 2025/0 Comments/by JKents
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Property stock drops as selling season hits

The home at 13 Starling St, Deebing Heights, was recently listed for sale for offers over $699,000. Picture: realestate.com.au

Queensland homebuyers are faced with plummeting stock levels as the number of homes listed for sale dropped heading into spring selling season.

The latest PropTrack listing report revealed the number of homes for sale in Brisbane fell 12.4 per cent between August 2024 and August 2025.

This decline was helped along by a 6.7 per cent monthly drop in the total number of listings in August.

The report, which analysed realestate.com.au data, showed the number of new Brisbane residential property listings was also down 12.3 per cent in August and 18.4 per cent year-on-year.

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The property at 27 Gillian St, Beachmere, is newly listed for auction. Picture: realestate.com.au

In regional Queensland, new listing dropped 6.3 per cent month-on-month and 14.6 per cent year-on-year.

This pushed total listings in regional Queensland down 4.2 per cent in August and down 13 per cent in the past year.

REA Group senior economist and report author, Angus Moore said listings, new and total, had dropped across most of Australia.

“National new listings in August were down 12 per cent year-on-year, with broadly consistent declines in metro and regional markets,” he said.

Year-on-year, new listings were down 25.4 per cent in Darwin, 19.4 per cent in Perth, 18.4 per cent in Brisbane, 16 per cent in Canberra, 12.3 per cent in Sydney, 10.6 per cent in Hobart, 10 per cent in Adelaide and 7.3 per cent in Melbourne.

“These declines reflect, in part, a particularly strong August last year,” Mr Moore said.

The home at 46 Ireland St, Oonoonba, is for sale for offers over $450,000. Picture: realestate.com.au

Mr Moore said the total volume of listings on market was also down compared to last year, with 8 per cent fewer properties listed for sale.

“The decline was similarly sized in regional areas and capital cities,” he said.

“However, the declines differed across the cities.

“Buyers in Sydney (-3%), Adelaide (0%) and Perth (-3%) are facing similar or modestly smaller stock, while buyers in Melbourne (-12%), Brisbane (-13%) and Hobart (-19%) have seen larger declines.

“Darwin (-44%) has seen a particularly sharp decline in active stock, driven by both a smaller flow of new listings and homes selling faster.”

The post Property stock drops as selling season hits appeared first on realestate.com.au.

September 19, 2025/0 Comments/by JKents
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Hobart’s most-viewed home already sold

Sold: No.12 Harding St, New Town. Picture: Supplied

Over the past week, this New Town property has been Tasmania’s most popular home on realestate.com.au.

But you can’t buy it. It’s already sold.

Built in the early 1900s, No.12 Harding St, New Town is a character-filled, comfortable, expertly updated two-bedroom home. And it was listed for sale at a sharp $695,000-plus.

There’s little wonder why it was so popular with buyers.

Peterswald director Nick Morgan said they launched it last Tuesday, and it was sold by Saturday afternoon.

“This is something we are seeing in the sub-$750,000 price bracket, there is strong competition from buyers,” he said.

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Sold: No.12 Harding St, New Town.

Sold: No.12 Harding St, New Town.

Sold: No.12 Harding St, New Town.

“From our perspective, activity in this part of the market has been picking up over the past eight weeks. It was fairly relaxed prior to that.

“That’s young people, others who are in their late 30s or early 40s, people who haven’t bought before but want to capitalise on opportunities like the duty exemption or first-home grant.

“And there are investors, too, particularly from interstate. NSW and Qld buyers are back in the mix now.”

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Sold: No.12 Harding St, New Town.

Sold: No.12 Harding St, New Town.

In New Town, Mr Morgan said the purchaser was a younger, locally-based buyer.

It sold for $745,000 in a cash deal.

“The vendor was very excited about the outcome,” he said.

“It was nice to see the home secured by an owner-occupier who was up against five other offers.”


No.12 boasts polished hardwood floors, a spacious living area, large windows and feature wallpaper.

The master bedroom includes two walk-in closets and a private toilet, while the second bedroom features built-in storage.

Sold: No.12 Harding St, New Town.

Sold: No.12 Harding St, New Town.

An upstairs utility space provides flexibility for various uses, such as an office, studio or reading nook.

The sun-filled kitchen accommodates cooking and dining, complemented by a stylishly updated bathroom with a deep bath and chic black tap and showerhead.

The backyard includes an entertaining deck, and a garden shed.

Dual access from Harding and Inglis streets provides convenient entry and extra parking options.

The post Hobart’s most-viewed home already sold appeared first on realestate.com.au.

September 19, 2025/0 Comments/by JKents
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ERA Real Estate launches bilingual coaching program, targets growth in Hispanic markets

ERA Real Estate is expanding its Coached Up Program with a Spanish-language component, part of a broader strategy to reach Spanish-speaking market segments while growing its national footprint.

The program — led by brand president Alex Vidal — delivers training in English first, then offers Spanish sessions to support Hispanic agents and clients.

“What we found was that we were starting to open up and expand in markets that we typically weren’t in, like Austin, Houston, Chicago, Atlanta — huge markets that ERA just hasn’t been in in a really long time,” Vidal told HousingWire. “And what we found was there’s a lot of Spanish-speaking agents in these markets. And we also have somebody in me that could offer coaching in Spanish. Why not do it?”

‘If you build it, they will come’

Vidal said the bilingual coaching program helped spur ERA’s efforts to expand in Spanish-speaking markets.

Hispanic homebuyers have recently accounted for a much larger share of homeownership growth. In 2024, the net gain in Hispanic homeowner households was 35% of all homeownership growth in the nation.

“By virtue of offering the Spanish coaching, the markets also presented itself at the same time,” Vidal said. “So it’s almost an ‘if you build it, they will come’ type thing. I’ve been doing this coaching program since 2016 and it’s evolved over the course of the years, and honestly, I don’t know why I just never offered it in Spanish.”

Hispanic homebuyers accounted for just over half of homeownership growth in the past 10 years and are likely to account for 70% of new homeowners by 2040 if current trajectories hold, according to the National Association of Hispanic Real Estate Professionals, where Vidal holds a regional board seat.

Addressing an underserved community

According to the National Association of Realtors, Hispanic Realtors now make up about 10% of the industry.

“There are 65 million Hispanics or Latinos in the U.S.,” Vidal said. “So we have 120,000 Realtors trying to service 65 million people. That’s wild, right? They’re underserved. We can get more being in the business who speak Spanish, but we also already have this existing base. So how do we help them?

“I think the way we can attack it is by understanding that most of these markets have Spanish-speaking agents, have large Spanish-speaking populations — and now we have something that can not only attract the agent but then better serve that clientele in those markets.”

Early program feedback

Vidal said the Spanish-language coaching component has already reached more than 100 ERA offices — with more than one-quarter of participants staying on for the second Spanish portion of the sessions.

The program also helps ERA attract new Spanish-speaking agents. He often reaches out to prospective recruits himself.

“I will call these potential agents personally, and have these conversations with these agents in Spanish,” Vidal said. “Just like any customer, Hispanic customers, Latino customers, want to feel like they’re heard and they’re understood in their own language.”

He added that many older Latinos only speak Spanish and often rely on their children to translate during major transactions like a home purchase.

“Imagine now being able to speak directly with the people that are helping you do more business at a national level, and then be able to do it in your own language,” Vidal said. “What my team does, and what I’m all about, is helping my people make more money and live a better life. Boots on the ground is a good way to sum it up.”

September 19, 2025/0 Comments/by JKents
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Mortgage rates go wild following Fed rate cut and Powell remarks

Mortgage rates have had a wild ride since Fed Chair Jerome Powell started talking at the Fed press event Wednesday, rising 15 basis points today. However, I think the bond market responded appropriately after the Fed meeting, and on Thursday morning. Why? Even though the Fed lowered rates, the tone of the press conference was not overly dovish. 

Additionally, economic data has shown improvement in several areas recently. Mortgage spreads got really good before the Fed meeting and then quickly reversed, making mortgage pricing wilder than usual to the upside. Typically, mortgage spreads have improved on days when bond yields rose, but that’s not what happened in the last 24 hours. 

The economic data

While housing permits were again negative on Wednesday, retail sales, jobless claims and the Philly Fed manufacturing index all performed well, making it difficult for the 10-year yield to remain at 4%. In fact, I was a bit surprised that the 10-year yield didn’t rise toward 4.10% after the stronger-than-expected retail sales report this week. Currently, the 10-year yield is at 4.10%. I discussed this on today’s episode of the HousingWire Daily podcast. Sarah and I discussed the Fed meeting in today’s podcast. 

So where do we go from here?

10-year yield and mortgage rates

In my 2025 forecast, I anticipated the following ranges:

  • between 5.75% and 7.25%
  • The 10-year yield fluctuating between 3.80% and 4.70%

So far in 2025, the 10-year yield has stayed in my range most of the time. If I account for some wild after-hours trading, the range has been between 4.79% and 3.87% this year, with most of the year being below 4.70%. We briefly dipped below 4%  on Fed day, and then bond yields reversed when Powell started talking.

I like to describe the bond market and mortgage rates within waves and channels. So far this year, both the bond market and mortgage rates are trending correctly as long as mortgage spreads continue to improve year over year. This chart shows the improvement of mortgage spreads with last week’s data.

chart visualization

The labor market continues to soften

The labor market is becoming softer, not primarily due to population growth, but because specific job sectors of the economy are experiencing job losses. The chart below shows how manufacturing has been shedding jobs since late 2022.

chart visualization

Residential construction employment has been losing jobs for the last four months, but that’s not the only sector shedding jobs; specialty trade contractor jobs have been losing jobs for a longer period as well.

chart visualization

The mother of all jobs data is jobless claims, and as expected, after the one-time surge from Texas flood participants in last week’s report, the jobless claims data fell today and bond yields rose. The labor market is getting softer but not breaking.

chart visualization

What happens next?

Since we got near the lower end of my mortgage rate and bond yield forecast for 2025, for rates and bond yields to go lower from a 6.13% mortgage rate pricing and 4% 10-year yield, it will require these three things.

1. A more dovish-sounding Fed — we didn’t get that yesterday.
2. Worse economic and labor data — we didn’t get that today.
3. Improved mortgage spreads. While we have gotten significant improvement this year, it hasn’t taken another leg lower yet. It got a bit worse after the Fed meeting.

It’s been tough to get mortgage rates under 6% and that’s not by accident; the Federal Reserve policy makes that very difficult, especially with mortgage spreads not back to normal. Today, on Mortgage News Daily, mortgage rates rose again toward 6.375%.

Conclusion

Overall, it has been an excellent seven-week period for mortgage rates. What has that given us? We have seen the best seven-week performance of the year in purchase applications, with six positive weekly reports and seven consecutive weeks of double-digit growth. In the most recent week, we recorded a 3% increase from the previous week and a 20% increase compared to the same time last year.

chart visualization

But for mortgage rates the rest of the year, it’s still about the economic and labor data. Suppose we see better economic and labor data emerging. In that case, it will be harder to return to 6% again, especially given Powell’s statement that we could have no job growth and the labor market would still be okay.  This is now the third time since late 2022 that mortgage rates haven’t been able to break under 6%, and that looks right to me, given where Fed policy and mortgage spreads are at.

September 19, 2025/0 Comments/by JKents
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Bannockburn couple transforms $10k Gumtree find into dream home

180 Burnside Rd, Bannockburn, is on the market for $949,000-$999,000.

A Bannockburn couple who paid $10,000 for a renovator’s delight on Gumtree is selling up after relocating the Edwardian beauty from Ararat and restoring it to its former glory.

Vendor Stacey Binnie took a gamble on the 1928 weatherboard home, paying another $60,000 to move it to her family’s acreage property.

She admits to a few nervous moments as it made the journey to Geelong on the back of two trucks almost 10 years ago.

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The original windows are one of the vendor’s favourite features.

Geelong Real Estate Co. Michaela Miller is the selling agent of the property.

Baltic pine floorboards feature throughout.

“It was exciting to get the ball rolling but it was also scary because it was the middle of winter and the trucks were getting bogged,” she said.

“Luckily they knew someone in the area and we ended up with a massive John Deere tractor pulling the trucks with the house.”

Only one window was a casualty of the move, though the double fireplace, being brick, sadly had to be left behind.

There was no plaster on the walls, just internal framing, so the pair had its work cut out with just 12 months to get a certificate of occupancy while living in a shed.

But restoring the home in authentic fashion was a passion project for the vendors, who have a soft spot for vintage homes and cars.

Tractors were called in when trucks transporting the house got bogged on site.

Getting to this point cost the vendors $70,000.

Now the front veranda offers great views of the established grounds.

The completed three-bedroom house is now the centrepiece of their 8015sq m lifestyle property at 180 Burnside Rd, Bannockburn.

“We have replaced the roof so I would say that 90 per cent of it is original to the home. So all the doors hardware, the doors, the hand-blown glass windows, the leadlighting, the Baltic pine floors are all original,” Ms Binnie said.

“She was a diamond in the rough and now she’s a bright and shiny diamond.

“It feels like home and if could take it with us we would, but we’re moving to Tasmania.”

She said the property, which includes a large multi-car garage, bike jumps, fruit trees, a chicken coop and a fire pit area, had been a fabulous place to raise a family.

Geelong Real Estate Co agent Michaela Miller is handling the sale and has set a $949,000 to $999,000 price guide.

The post Bannockburn couple transforms $10k Gumtree find into dream home appeared first on realestate.com.au.

September 19, 2025/0 Comments/by JKents
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Household income climbs in some big cities, outweighed by inflation in others

Household income in the U.S. rose slightly in 2024, but the picture looks very different depending on where you live.

The national median income reached $83,730 last year, up 1.3% from 2023, according to a new report from online fintech company SmartAsset.

That modest increase failed to keep pace with the roughly 3% inflation rate, meaning that many households effectively lost homebuying power. But in several major cities, incomes surged by double digits while others saw steep declines.

SmartAsset ranked the 50 largest U.S. cities by population, analyzing year-over-year shifts in median income among the general population, seniors and families with children.

“Changes in incomes across a city can lead to different dynamics on local demand for businesses, job markets, and even have implications for how new tax legislation will affect residents,” the report explained.

Winners and losers

Tampa led the nation with a 15.5% jump in median income during the year, going from $72,851 to $84,114 per household.

But the city’s growth wasn’t evenly shared as seniors posted a 17.4% increase and families with children saw a 6.2% decline.

California cities accounted for three of the top four spots. Incomes in Long Beach rose 11.9% to $91,318, followed by San Francisco (+10.3% to $139,801) and Fresno (+10.2% to $74,491).

San Jose remains the nation’s highest-earning large city, where the median household income reached $148,366 after an 8.8% gain. Families with children fared even better, with a 13.7% jump to more than $201,000.

Seattle, meanwhile, offers a stark example of divergent outcomes.

While overall household income there fell 1.5%, seniors saw a 24.1% boost to $80,550. Families in the city now average $221,579 — joining San Jose and San Francisco as the only places where family income tops $200,000.

Not all households are prospering. Minneapolis posted the sharpest drop among major U.S. cities. The median income there fell 4% to $77,732, below the national median. Families absorbed the brunt of the decline, with a nearly 20% plunge to $102,424.

California incomes up, home prices down

California’s largest housing markets are cooling even as incomes climb, HousingWire Data shows.

San Francisco saw the sharpest decline, with single-family home prices falling 7.4% year over year to $1.199 million, while the median household income jumped 10.3% to $139,801.

Los Angeles followed with a 6.7% drop to $1.4 million, despite household incomes rising 11.9% to $91,318. In San Jose, home prices slipped 2.8% to $1.749 million — still the most expensive market tracked.

Elsewhere, Minneapolis posted the strongest appreciation, up 5% to $525,000 even as incomes fell. Tampa saw prices edge down 1.1% to $459,999.

September 19, 2025/0 Comments/by JKents
https://www.juliankent.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/logo.png 0 0 JKents https://www.juliankent.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/logo.png JKents2025-09-19 00:00:222025-09-19 00:00:22Household income climbs in some big cities, outweighed by inflation in others

$67K to sell a home? Consumers drastically underestimate the costs

Home sellers expect to spend about $18,500 on expenses, but the actual cost is more than $67,000, according to a new report from Clever Offers, a platform owned by Clever Real Estate.

The report found that on average, recent sellers spent:

  • $21,024 on pre- and post-listing repairs and improvements
  • $14,204 on seller’s agent commission
  • $13,691 on buyer’s agent commission
  • $8,217 on closing costs
  • $5,277 on concessions to the buyer
  • $2,439 on moving costs
  • $2,393 on marketing and staging

That total is more than triple what sellers anticipated.

More than half (55%) said they were surprised by the costs — and nearly one-quarter (22%) went into debt to cover them. Forty percent reported feeling financially strained during the process.

In 2025, the average seller profit was $166,702 — up 14% from 2024. Still, 51% of those surveyed said their profits were lower than expected due to high expenses.

Other findings of the report include:

  • 80% of sellers reported regrets, most commonly about agent commissions
  • 67% of sellers who went without an agent believed they saved money, although only 68% of this group turned a profit versus 84% of those who used an agent.
  • 81% of sellers who worked with agents said costs were clearly explained, versus 29% of those without representation.

Overall, 75% of sellers said they would have made different decisions had they known the true costs and believed they could have earned nearly $36,000 more on average.

September 19, 2025/0 Comments/by JKents
https://www.juliankent.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/logo.png 0 0 JKents https://www.juliankent.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/logo.png JKents2025-09-19 00:00:222025-09-19 00:00:22$67K to sell a home? Consumers drastically underestimate the costs

Sydney cost of housing analysis: Are renters or buyers better off?

The Aussie dream of owning your home may not be as prudent a financial decision as you’d think.

Alarming new analysis has revealed close to two in five Sydney tenants would actually be better off financially if they continued to rent rather than buy.

This was provided the tenants lived in a pricier home buying market such as Sydney’s upper north shore and pumped the savings from renting into exchange-traded funds (ETFs).

These findings were based on simulations by FTI Consulting that compared the outcomes of buyers and renters in multiple Sydney suburbs to determine who came out ahead financially.

FTI ran the numbers on over 7,500 scenarios, measuring 42 local government areas in Greater Sydney, The Central Coast and the Illawarra.

MORE: Aussie loophole delivers huge blow for tenants

FTI analysis of ABS data.

FTI Consulting managing director Lars Rognlien said the findings showed “homeownership is not the only pathway to financial security.

Mr Rognlien said a key finding was that the act of buying a home encourages much higher savings discipline through mortgage repayments.

Even if a typical renter were to invest in shares they are less likely to leverage that investment in the same way that a homebuyer would, he said.

The analysis showed that renters were more likely to perform better in Ku-ring-gai, Camden, Mosman and Hunters Hill, while buyers came out ahead in Campbelltown, Blacktown, Newcastle and Fairfield.

“One of the key differences is the rate of house price growth. In Mosman, house prices have increased less over that period. In the Western suburbs, prices have grown more strongly which is quite a challenge for renters to come out ahead,” Mr Rognlien said.

Mr Rognlien said the analysis does not aim to make predictions about whether buying or renting is a better strategy rather, it is to shift the focus of the debate on housing affordability away from barriers to buying a first home and towards the cost of housing more generally.

“It’s really about having that savings discipline, its not so much about whether you buy a house or not and really about how you spend the money that you do spend,” Mr Rognlien said.

FTI analysis of ASX and ABS data

In 2024 to 2025, about 20 per cent of households in the rental market were low-income households in financial stress, compared with fewer than 15 per cent of homeowners with a mortgage.

While 35 per cent of renters fell into the lowest quartile of social and economic disadvantage, fewer than five per cent of mortgage holders do.

Another focus was on policies assisting those buying.

“A lot of policies in the recent years have been about encouraging first-home buyers to be able to buy their first house while the actual affordability and housing crisis is really effecting a different people who are struggling to pay for rent and they are not the same people who are on the cusp of buying a house,” Mr Rognlien said.

“I feel there is a difference between what politicians are wanting to achieve and what they actually do achieve.

“There is a big group of Australians that are doing it tough in terms of being able to pay for rent and they won’t really be effected by these policies that are being introduced.”

FTI Consulting’s Lars Rognlien.

Mr Rognlien shared some insight into the Home Guarantee Scheme due to expand in October.

“(It will) probably push up house prices and won’t make any differences to those who are struggling to pay rent,” he said.

The analysis insight suggests housing affordability policies could be more effective if they place greater emphasis on expanding off-market rental options, such as affordable and social housing, to support those in greatest need.

Access to effective, tax efficient retirement savings options should also be broaden, the study concluded.

According to Rognlien, housing should be treated as a human right and building social and affordable housing to support those in need.

“I think we’ve done a big failure over the last 50 or 60 years in producing the building of social housing,” he said. “A safe, stable and secure home should be a human right.”

MORE: Sydney suburbs where mortgage stress is hitting hardest

The post Sydney cost of housing analysis: Are renters or buyers better off? appeared first on realestate.com.au.

September 19, 2025/0 Comments/by JKents
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