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The labor market is still keeping mortgage rates elevated

Another jobs week has come and gone, and while we see some signs of a slowdown in the labor market, it’s not breaking. Since 2022, I have suggested that to get mortgage rates below 6% with a longer duration, we need to see either a shift in the labor market or additional rate cuts that would lower the Fed Funds rate to around 3.5% or below.

The growth rate of inflation has made encouraging progress, but Fed policy plays a significant role, influencing approximately 65%-75% of the range for the 10-year yield.

chart visualization

As we enter a new economic cycle phase following liberation day on April 2, monitoring all available data closely is critical. I’m optimistic that the Federal Reserve will apply the practical tools it used during the COVID-19 pandemic to gain deeper insights into the labor market, which I wrote about here. This could set the stage for Fed speeches to give us clues into what they’re thinking and also guide the bond market.

10-year yield and mortgage rates

In my 2025 forecast, I anticipated the following ranges:

  • Mortgage rates will be between 5.75% and 7.25%
  • The 10-year yield will fluctuate between 3.80% and 4.70%

Two jobs Fridays ago, I discussed that if the Godzilla tariffs weren’t part of the equation, the 10-year yield should be trading at 4.35%. Consumption in the economy is still holding up and the labor triggers that I would need to see to talk more about a recession haven’t happened yet. After another jobs week which shows the labor market not breaking yet, the fact that the 10-year yield is near 4.35% isn’t a shock to me. 

Now the question is what the economy will look like in a few months. This is why President Trump is talking about wanting lower rates. Even he knows that we can see economic disruptions with the trade war going on, especially with no deals in place. Last week on Thursday and Friday we saw economic data exceed estimates, causing the 10-year yield to rise from 4.14% to 4.31%, pushing mortgage rates higher.

chart visualization

Mortgage spreads

Mortgage spreads have been elevated since 2022, but have improved since their peak in 2023. However, recent market volatility has made the spreads worse since the lows we saw earlier this year. 

If the spreads were as bad as they were at the peak of 2023, mortgage rates would currently be 0.56% % higher. Conversely, if the spreads returned to their normal range, mortgage rates would be 0.94% to 1.14% lower than today’s level. That would mean sub-6 % mortgage rates today. 

Historically, mortgage spreads should range between 1.60%-1.80%.

chart visualization

Purchase application data

Since Feb. 5, the purchase application data has demonstrated 13 consecutive weeks of positive year-over-year growth. This is particularly noteworthy given that it happened at the end of April, even with mortgage rates exceeding 6.64% for most of the year.

Additionally, despite a recent increase of over 50 basis points in mortgage rates, the persistence of positive year-over-year growth is impressive. However, the growth rate for purchase applications has significantly slowed and is approaching a flat or potentially negative growth year over year. We will observe the upcoming data release to determine if this positive streak continues. The chart below illustrates that it has been a favorable year for purchase application data on a year-over-year basis.

chart visualization

Here is the weekly data for 2025:

  • 7 positive readings
  • 6 negative readings
  • 3 flat prints

Total pending sales

The latest weekly total pending contract data from Altos offers valuable insights into current trends in housing demand. Usually, it takes mortgage rates to trend closer to 6% to get real growth in housing. The data has been showing good progress with elevated rates. Last week, pending home sales from the National Association of Realtors (NAR) did show a big beat of estimates and our weekly data tends to be ahead of the NAR reports. Higher rates have been cooling down the purchase application data recently; the growth rate is cooling. However, for demand to hold up this well with elevated rates just shows that if we can get just toward 6% and stay there, we can grow sales, which has been my theme since early 2023. 

Weekly pending sales for the last week over the past several years:

  • 2025: 402,366
  • 2024: 397,305
  • 2023: 368,490

chart visualization

Weekly housing inventory data

The most encouraging development in the housing market for 2024 and 2025 is the increase in inventory — it’s essential for the housing market to operate more effectively in the long term. We have had a solid bounce-back in inventory growth from the Easter Holiday.

  • Weekly inventory change (April 25-May 3): Inventory rose from 728,755 to 744,225
  • The same week last year (April 26-May 4): Inventory rose from 556,291 to 559,961
  • The all-time inventory bottom was in 2022 at 240,497
  • The inventory peak for 2025 is 744,225
  • For some context, active listings for the same week in 2015 were 1,081,867

chart visualization

New listings data

Another positive story for 2025 is that new listings data is growing and I am very close to getting my minimum call of 80,000 during the peak seasonal period. We have another nice snap back here from the Easter holiday.

To give you perspective, during the years of the housing bubble crash, new listings were soaring between 250,000 and 400,000 per week for many years. The growth we see in new listings data is just trying to return to normal, where the seasonal peaks range between 80,000 and 110,000 per week. The national new listing data for last week over the previous several years:

  • 2025: 78,078
  • 2024: 70,943
  • 2023: 57,862

chart visualization

Price-cut percentage

In a typical year, about one-third of homes undergo price reductions, highlighting the housing market’s dynamic nature. As inventory levels increase and mortgage rates rise, many homeowners are making adjustments to their sale prices.

In my 2025 price forecast, I anticipated a modest increase in home prices of around 1.77%. This means yet another year of a negative real home price forecast for 2025. What can make my forecast wrong is a drop in mortgage rates to near 6%, which can make my forecast too low again. In 2024, my price forecast of 2.33% was incorrect as it was too low, and I lost it when mortgage rates headed toward 6% .

The increase in price cuts this year compared to last reinforces the validity of my conservative growth forecast for 2025. Below is a summary of the price cuts from previous weeks over the last few years:

  • 2025: 36.5%
  • 2024: 33%
  • 2023: 29%

chart visualization

The week ahead: Global PMI, bond auctions and Fed speeches 

This week, we will get the global PMI data and bond auctions. On Friday, several Fed presidents will speak, providing valuable insights. This is an exciting time as they each bring unique perspectives on managing the trade war, informed by the feedback they receive from businesses in their respective districts. Also, on Thursday, we have jobless claims data, which last week showed a big spike related to two states.

chart visualization

Also, we will see if the purchase application data can continue its 13-week winning streak of positive year-over-year data. This has been the most surprising housing data line for me in 2025, as mortgage rates have remained elevated. 

May 4, 2025/0 Comments/by JKents
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Hobart’s hotspots for home price growth revealed

Location Photos

Howrah has been highlighted as a suburb to watch for future home value growth. Picture: Roger Lovell

Homebuyers hunting for a suburb with bright growth prospects are flushed with choice as Hobart prepares for its next pricing cycle uptick.

A national report from Hotspotting shows 60 per cent of the southernmost capital city’s suburbs achieved a positive classification from the property analysis company’s new Price Predictor Index.

The report analysed over 40 suburbs in the south, house and unit markets, and found 17 areas made the A+ ranking of being a Rising market.

Across all of Tasmania, there were dozens of similarly strong suburbs.

Hotspotting managing director, Terry Ryder, said Eastern Shore suburb Howrah was an example of an area likely to have a price increase.

He said it has recorded an increasing number of sales, quarter by quarter, over the past 18 months, from 23 sales to 35, 36, 38, 40 and 43.

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Located on the sand dunes, No.56 Silwood Ave, Howrah is listed with Petrusma Property at “Offers over $2.495m”.

Priced at $650,000-plus, No.253 Clarence St, Howrah is on the market with Elders Tasmania.

With Hobart also home to the nation’s lowest vacancy rate, according to recent SQM Research data, Mr Ryder said it was likely investors would target more affordable suburbs with expectations rental yields could rise.

“Potentially, this is very good news for Howrah, where neighbouring areas — Tranmere and Bellerive — are pricier,” he said.

Among the Rising suburbs, there was a mix of greater Hobart’s most expensive and affordable areas, from Lauderdale and West Hobart, where the median house prices are $745,898 and $861,293, to Midway Point at $615,000 or Primrose Sands at $477,500.

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Once sales volumes begin rising in an area, Mr Ryder said prices often followed within six to nine months.

He said many areas on his top performers list were just starting to see growth now, but that it would kick on for a while yet — giving would-be buyers a short window to make a move. “What typically happens is that people won’t get active until they read that there’s a boom happening,” Mr Ryder said. “But by then, they are missing the opportunity.”

Real Estate Institute of Tasmania president Russell Yaxley. Picture: Supplied

Real Estate Institute of Tasmania president Russell Yaxley described the Hobart property market as “improving” with confidence coming back.

“Now the interest rates have stabilised, and multiple reductions possible, now is the perfect time to purchase before prices are tipped to improve further,” he said.

“This report confirms what agents are seeing and feeling in the market.”

Mr Ryder said a common trend that emerges again and again is “affordability rules”.

He said areas that were quite down-market are often stigmatised.

“If people can get basic services, transport and shops, so long as it’s affordable, people will buy there or rent there, so the weight of demand always goes to those affordable areas,” he said.

Hotspotting founder Terry Ryder.

Mr Ryder said Hobart, as well as Launceston, were getting a “second wind” after the boom of five years ago when Tasmania’s relative affordability to the mainland began drawing investors. With prices having dropped back a little, Tasmania is poised to see buyers regain their appreciation for the value that is on offer.

“It’s an area that has had a burst of growth and then flatlined for a number of years, which is quite normal,” he said.

“And now, having caught its breath, it’s about ready to take off again on another sprint.” When investors make their decisions, price is a driver but not the only factor, Mr Yaxley said.

“They will consider the stability of rental income, infrastructure and future growth and opportunities in a particular suburb,” he said.

“It is a good time to be investing in a number of suburbs in our market.”


HOBART ON THE RISE

Houses

Austins Ferry, Blackmans Bay, Cygnet, Howrah, Kingston, Lauderdale, Midway Point, New Town, North Hobart, Primrose Sands, Risdon Vale, Sorell

Units

Bellerive, Claremont, Glenorchy, Lenah Valley, Moonah

Source: Price Predictor Index

The post Hobart’s hotspots for home price growth revealed appeared first on realestate.com.au.

May 4, 2025/0 Comments/by JKents
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Inglewood Inn listed for sale, complete with friendly ghost

Publicans and small business owners searching for something a little different should look no further than the historic Inglewood Inn and its resident ghost.

An inn only by name, with no accommodation, the Inglewood Inn operates as a restaurant, bar and function centre.

Current owners Peter and Polly Howell have operated the venue for the past 16 years – and owned the Wellington Hotel in North Adelaide for 19 years prior to that – but have listed the freehold property and the business for sale to retire.

An asking price of $4.25m was negotiable, Langfords Hotel Brokers managing director John Langford said, confirming the Howells would keep the business open until it could be sold.

Existing wedding and function bookings will not be impacted by the sale.

But it is the ghostly apparition of Wilhelmina that might further pique the interest of prospective buyers.

Local legend suggests Wilhelmina’s spirit walks the inn – her family were former owners and her heartbroken spirit returned to the property to mourn the death of her son.

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Supplied Real Estate Inglewood Inn. Picture: Langfords hotel brokers

The stunning Hills venue has been listed for sale with $4.25m price hopes. Picture: Langfords Hotel Brokers

Faulty telstra tower

Publican Peter Howell at the Inglewood Inn.

Supplied Real Estate Inglewood Inn. Picture: Langfords hotel brokers

The pub’s stunning character exterior. Picture: Langfords Hotel Brokers

Mr Langford said it was a good story but remained dubious it was true, despite staff claiming to have encountered the so-called friendly but mischievous ghost.

“Pretty much every pub allegedly has a ghost. Sometimes they appear but sometimes they can’t be bothered because they’re too lazy,’’ he said.

“It creates a bit of interest but I’ve never had a ghost encounter there so I guess I’ve missed out.’’

Outside of otherworldly spirits, the picturesque inn, which in recent years has become a popular wedding and reception venue, features about 4ha of magnificent Adelaide Hills gardens alongside the meandering Para River.

The original bar and former dining room are full of character and ambience, while major renovations in 2012 saw the addition of a balcony restaurant, commercial kitchen and a beer deck.

Venue manager Milly Howell said there was no rush with the sale because her family was keen to find the right next custodian.

“Dad’s been in the industry since he was born and I’ve followed suit as a third generation publican,” she said.

“It’s been wonderful taking what my parents built, renovated and cultivated into what it is today as a family team.

“Weddings are such a draw card for the venue with ceremonies in the garden. It’s such a special hidden gem and I’m in no rush to leave.”

Supplied Real Estate Inglewood Inn. Picture: Langfords hotel brokers

The Inn has established itself as a popular wedding venue. Picture: Langfords Hotel Brokers

Supplied Real Estate Inglewood Inn. Picture: Langfords hotel brokers

There are also a number of cosy pockets within the venue. Picture: Langfords Hotel Brokers

Supplied Real Estate Inglewood Inn. Picture: Langfords hotel brokers

The outdoor bar and dining space. Picture: Langfords Hotel Brokers

Mr Langford said up to 16 would-be hoteliers had shown strong interest in the 1857 sandstone inn since it hit the market but securing a loan to facilitate the purchase was tricky.

Many of the interested buyers had no previous experience operating a hotel or function centre and financiers were understandably reluctant to loan them money, he said.

“If they were high profile publicans they would have no trouble borrowing money but for the average person, who has a desire for self-employment and to advance themselves in life, the banks are just not interested,’’ Mr Langford said.

“The Inglewood Inn is a highly desirable venue. It’s beautiful, it’s sensibly priced and it’s certainly been very profitable.

“(The obstacles to selling) are frustrating but I understand it.

“This will have to go to a second-or third-time publican so that the banks are not adverse to approving funding.’’

– By Lauren Ahwan

The post Inglewood Inn listed for sale, complete with friendly ghost appeared first on realestate.com.au.

May 4, 2025/0 Comments/by JKents
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Cunning way Australia’s rich attained mansions worth $200m+

They don’t just buy houses — they buy streets.

In Sydney’s most elite suburbs, the rich and powerful are quietly waging war on their neighbours – not with lawsuits or hedge disputes, but with money.

From Vaucluse to the northern beaches, the city’s cashed-up elite have been snapping up neighbouring properties and bulldozing the boundaries to build private compounds fit for royalty.

Forget white picket fences and friendly chats over the driveway: these are sprawling estates with security gates, private tennis courts, and enough manicured lawn to host a small footy match.

Those who have done it range from former Prime Minister Malcolm Turnbull through to billionaire Harry Triguboff, actor Russell Crowe and many more.

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2025 AACTA Awards Ceremony Presented By Foxtel Group - Ceremony

Actor Russell Crowe formed a compound in NSW. Picture: Getty Images

Among the latest compound builders were the owners of apparel brand White Fox, who in April snapped up their fifth property in Vaucluse as part of plans to build a “super compound”.

Some of the biggest waterfront compounds are now worth more than $200m.

Sotheby’s Sydney director Michael Pallier, one of the top agents in Vaucluse, said the trend has been picking up in recent years because the city’s elite have more money.

“Buying up the neighbours is nothing new but people haven’t always had the money to do it in the eastern suburbs. That’s changed,” Mr Pallier said.

“The rich have much more money than they used to and thanks to the internet and other advances they are able to make their money much faster. The level of wealth is just so far beyond anything we had before.”

Packer pad

The view from a compound strung together by James Packer.

Mr Pallier added that wealthy homeowners wanting to swallow up neighbouring properties were often the biggest spenders in some enclaves – especially waterfront areas.

“In the last two years, the neighbours are often the best buyers on properties … sometimes they want their block to go from the street to the waterfront or they want a bigger garden.

“There’s lots of reasons to do it. But basically it comes down to, if you’ve got the money to do it, why not?”

WHITE FOX OWNERS

Owners of the online fashion brand White Fox have been reported to be planning a “super compound” after a $150m buying spree.

Daniel Contos, 34, and Georgia Moore, 33, last month bought their fifth property in exclusive Vaucluse, records show, with four of them neighbouring properties set to form a huge 4000 sqm compound.

Owners of online fashion business White Fox Boutique, Georgia and Daniel Contos. Source – https://www.instagram.com/gg_whitefox/

One of the properties Contos and Moore bought to form their Vaucluse compound.

One of the blocks was recently snapped up for circa $30m. The block adjoins properties they’ve acquired over the past four years for $34.5m, $25m, and $36m.

The compound is separate from an investment property snapped up by the couple on nearby Wentworth Rd for $25m in 2023.

MIKE CANNON BROOKES

Atlassian founder Mike Cannon-Brookes and then wife Annie spent $14.25m in 2023 to buy a property neighbouring their Newport getaway.

Cannon Brookes owns these two adjacent homes.

Atlassian co-founder Mike Cannon-Brookes has amassed a considerable property portfolio.

The property was adjacent to the designer home the Cannon-Brookes family bought in 2020 for $24.5m after its construction by model Jennifer Hawkins and partner Jake Wall.

The neighbouring property was set on 3000 sqm and came with an approved 1000 sqm netted bathing area.

The billionaire Atlassian boss famously set an Australia price record when bought harbourside estate Fairwater for $100m in 2018.

MENULOG FOUNDER

Menulog founder Leon Kamenev bought an amalgamated site in Vaucluse of four separate properties for $80m in 2016. He lodged plans for a luxury home a year later.

The property was built across a site formed by four amalgamated blocks.

The Menulog founder’s property is one of the largest waterfront holdings in the eastern suburbs.

After numerous pushbacks by council, the home was eventually completed shortly after the Covid pandemic for a reported build cost of $30m. It’s estimated to now be worth about $200m.

PACKER FAMILY

The Packer family wrote the playbook on building residential compounds.

Their Bellevue Hill fortress Cairnton has been stitched together over generations, beginning with the late Sir Frank Packer’s £7500 buy in 1935.

Since then, five more titles were added in the 1960s, and Kerry Packer followed up with another four in the late 1980s and 1990s, shelling out more than $8.4m to build the empire.

The Packer family transferred ownership of the estate in early 2024 to a private holding company owned by the Packer family, with the value on official title records lodged at a conservative $105m.

JAMES PACKER REPEATS FORMULA

James Packer took the same approach to building his former Vaucluse home shared with then wife Erica.

Aerial of 40 Wentworth Rd, Vaucluse, James Packer's new property.

The Vaucluse property known as La Mer sold in 2015.

MORE: James Packer offloads LA mansion for $93 million

They bought the main part of the property in 2009 for $18m and added to neighbouring blocks for $12.5m to create a mega mansion known as La Mer. It sold in 2015 for a then Australian record price of $70m.

RUSSELL CROWE

Russell Crowe owns an expansive rural estate in Nana Glen, a village about 25km northwest of Coffs Harbour.

APRIL 3, 2003: Aerial view of actor Russell Crowe's property in Nana Glen near Coffs Harbour 03/04/03, with the marquee set up for the upcoming wedding. pic Renee Nowytarger.
Crow/house
NSW / Housing

An aerial view of the Crowe compound.

He began acquiring land in the area in 1999 and, over the years, expanded his holdings by purchasing adjacent properties.

By 2013, his estate encompassed over 800 acres and included multiple residences, cabins, a farm cottage, a private wedding chapel, a cricket oval, and more than 700 black angus cattle.

HARRY TRIGUBOFF

Property tycoon Harry Triguboff, head of Meriton, has one of the biggest eastern suburbs compounds.

Mr Triguboff has quietly stitched together multiple waterfront blocks in Vaucluse to create a private enclave.

The Triguboff estate is one of the biggest in Vaucluse.

62 Wentworth Rd, Vaucluse.Home of property developer Harry Triguboff

The original Vaucluse house on the site. A DA was granted recently to have the home replaced with a newer build.

The billionaire, with wife Rhonda, bought their main home in 1984 for $4.1m and snapped up the house next door for $6m in 1996.

An industry insider said waterfront land in Vaucluse typically sold for 50,000 a sqm. This would mean Triguboff’s 5200 sqm block would be worth over $250m.

“It’s more likely you’d get that value from subdividing as there would be very few people who could pay that kind of money alone,” the source said.

MALCOLM TURNBULL

Former Prime Minister Malcolm Turnbull and wife Lucy made some clever plays to expand their landholding in Point Piper.

They bought what was then a beachfront residence known as Le Gai Soleil in 1994 for $5,425,000 and then purchased the adjoining property for $7.1m in 1999.

Turnbulls House From Water

Malcolm Turnbull’s Point Piper waterfront home. Picture Craig Greenhill

This allowed them to carve some 600 sqm off that title to expand their waterfrontage. The remaining property was then redeveloped into a duplex and sold off in 2011 for $13.6m.

Agents familiar with the property estimated the amalgamated block could be worth over $100m and even be as high as $150m.

WESTFIELD SCION’S RETREAT

Steven Lowy, son of Westfield kingpin Frank Lowy, has pieced together a beachfront compound with wife Judy over three decades.

Neighbours of 23 Victoria St, Watsons Bay owned by Vaughan Blank are opposing a home improvement which they say will destroy the character of the area. Pictured are number 19 and 21 owned by Steven Lowy. home

Part of the Watsons Bay compound.

The couple added this property to the compound in 2017.

The Lowys bought their original beachfront block in Watsons Bay for $2.5m in 1991.

They then snapped up a neighbouring 1000 sqm block for $9m in 2009. Their latest purchase came in 2017 when a 525 sqm beachfront block was added for $14.2m. The latest acquisition took their adjoining beachfront total to 2590 sqm.

The post Cunning way Australia’s rich attained mansions worth $200m+ appeared first on realestate.com.au.

May 4, 2025/0 Comments/by JKents
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Melbourne’s weirdest home finds: Wacky and wonderful things found inside houses that hit the market

Some of Melbourne’s most eye-catching properties could soon be yours, if multiple rate cuts comes through.

Fancy a Hills hoist chandelier, a man-made backyard waterfall with a literal man cave inside it, or a plane wreck on the roof?

A bevy of looming interest rate cuts could soon bring the home of your wildest dreams to market, with the end of Melbourne’s market malaise tipped to spark a renaissance for the city’s most weirdly wonderful homes.

In April, almost 20 banks (including NAB) cut fixed-rate home loan costs in anticipation that the Reserve Bank would drop the nation’s cash rate this month. Economists are tipping as many as five 0.25 basis point cuts could be boosting buyers’ budgets by the end of the year.

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That would see the figure that underpins home loans fall from 4.35 per cent in January to 3.1 per cent by the end of the year.

There are already signs of a return of quirkier listings, with a Brunswick unit auctioned this weekend featuring teacup light fittings installed by owners who wanted some Alice in Wonderland whimsy in their life.

10 Anson Court, Ashburton - for herald sun real estate

10 Anson Court, Ashburton has a quirky surprise in its roof…

Airplane Home

The Ashburton home has a crashed aeroplane on the roof of its backyard studio, and was one of the last wonderfully weird homes to recently sell in Victoria. Picture: Tony Gough

Also this week, David and Yuge Bromley sold the Old Daylesford Gaol to an alternative school after it had sat on the market since 2023.

McQueen Real Estate’s Kim McQueen handled the sale and said with the almost $2.6m result boosting confidence, and interest rate cuts expected, more unusual properties would become more popular.

Real Estate Institute of Victoria president Jacob Caine said while home sellers depersonalised their properties in tough times, more oddball listings were likely to return as the market heated up, with growing expectations of multiple interest rate cuts.

“People won’t part ways with those more oddball properties until there’s a prospect that they can sell them and achieve a fantastic result,” Mr Caine said.

“But in a boom market, you have greater scope to pursue those people who are looking for something with a little more personality.”

10 Primula Blvd, Gowanbrae - for herald sun real estate

10 Primula Blvd, Gowanbrae sold in 2019 for just over $1m, and featues a man-made waterfall and man cave.

10 Primula Blvd, Gowanbrae - for herald sun real estate

Yes, the man cave is literally a cave

He added that without a significant amount of buyer activity in the past couple of years, homes that were “relatively homogenous” had dominated listings.

“They are presented, styled, and photographed in similar fashions to minimise any objections that buyers might have, and so that homes appeal to the broadest segment possible of the market,” Mr Caine said.

“So those with idiosyncrasies and oddities are less likely to come to the market when there isn’t a frenzy, and there isn’t that opportunity to sell to that more niche buyer.”

PropTrack economist Anne Flaherty said with a smaller pool of buyers, more unusual homes were likely to be one of the biggest beneficiaries of a rising housing market.

“They are much more likely to get a result in a rising market,” Ms Flaherty said.

“And I think we are heading towards that rising market now. We know there are a lot of buyers searching and inquiring actively.”

55 Tarrengower St, Yarraville, which sold in 2022, certainly catches local attention.

Inside the Yarraville home, which has a Hills hoist as its chandelier.

A range of past property sales contrasted with interest rates show these homes can achieve extraordinary sales results in the right conditions.

In late 2017, when the RBA had interest rates at 1.5 per cent, a Fitzroy home featuring the questionable convenience of a toilet in the kitchen sold $290,000 above expectations in a $1.19m result.

The house had been mid renovation as it sold, and Nelson Alexander’s Janine Ballantyne said she had “never seen anything like it”.

In 2019, with the cash rate also at 1.5 per cent, a Gowanbrae family notched a $1.02m sale for their four-bedroom house — complete with its own backyard waterfall.

The towering, man-made garden feature also concealed a man cave.

Home with waterfall

Alison and her family’s Yarraville house with the man made waterfall. Picture: Tony Gough

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Nelson Alexander’s David Vaughan had only expected a $900,000-$990,000 result for the property, despite the unusual inclusions.

“But it was pretty well sought, and it had multiple interest parties looking at it,” Mr Vaughan said.

While the location had been important to buyers, he said the unique nature of its backyard entertainment space “wound up being quite important” to buyers.

Meanwhile, a quirky Yarraville house featuring a Hills hoist chandelier listed for sale in 2022, just as rate hikes began, took a number of months to sell. It eventually earned $1.025m — in the middle of its asking range.

71 Rae St, Fitzroy North home sold mid-renovation for $1.19m.

Inside the Fitzroy North property, which had a toilet located in its kitchen.

It also showcased hockey puck drawer handles and a dining table that retracted into the home’s joinery.

Village Real Estate director Huss Saad said he hadn’t seen anything like the home since. But last week, he had sold a Seddon home that blended Spanish mission aesthetics with warehouse conversion features — hinting that more unique addresses were on their way back.

Mr Saad said he found owners with “the interesting homes, and the better ones” typically held on to them when the market shrunk, but moved to “take advantage of a strong market”.

“So I think we will start to see these unique homes when we see a recovery,” he said.

One of the last quirky homes to notch a sale in Melbourne was an Ashburton address with a crashed aeroplane on the roof of its backyard studio.

The owners had also added a smoke machine to the unusual feature for parties, and the old Piper Warrior aircraft proved a bit of a hit with homebuyers.

The Old Castlemaine Gaol just sold this week.

The home went under the hammer on March 18, 2023, with hopes of a $2.1m-$2.3m sale, via Shelter Real Estate’s Zali Reynolds.

It made $2.37m under the hammer, with two bidders competing — and the keys going to a woman who was “absolutely in love with the plane wreck”. At the time, the cash rate was 3.6 per cent.

“I do think it would have had a different result if it had sold with lower interest rates,” Ms Reynolds said.

“Higher interest rates do affect the more unique properties as people are super cautious about what they are spending.”

A home at 144 Broadway, Dunolly was put up for sale that was described as having an outhouse “like the Whomping Willow from Harry Potter”.

The agent added that while she hadn’t listed anything nearly so quirky since, she expected interest rate reductions to lead to a boost in listings this spring – including for unique houses.

The trend flows on to regional Victoria, too, with a dated Dunolly home that sold for $165,000 in 2021.

Ballarat Real Estate’s Kate Ashton handled the sale and said a combination of low interest rates and Melbourne’s lockdowns had drawn buyers to the regional town near Ballarat, but said it was the bizarre outdoor loo that had sealed it for most buyers.

“The tree helped bring buyers in, as did how the home had just stopped in time,” Ms Ashton said.


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May 4, 2025/0 Comments/by JKents
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Melbourne auction numbers, prices tipped to rise heading into winter: PropTrack

2/25 The Strand, Williamstown - for herald sun real estate

A waterfront position and expansive views helped 2/25 The Strand, Williamstown, snag a $4.15m sale.

Melbourne’s auction market has been tipped to heat up as it heads towards winter after a long-weekend spree and federal election put it on ice for the past few weeks.

Yesterday, PropTrack data shows 67 per cent of homes sold at, just before or after auction, based on 452 reported results.

However, senior economist Anne Flaherty said there were signs buyers were “biding their time” and waiting for this weekend’s election result before they made a move — particularly first-home buyers.

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Latest Australian Bureau of Statistics data shows there were 10,334 home loans issued to Victorian first-home buyers in the final three months of 2024 — the highest figure since 2021.

They are one of the biggest forces in the state’s housing market, and them pulling back helps to explain a clearance rate that sank to just 60 per cent last week, compared to the 64 per cent of homes selling at auction prior to a 0.25 per cent interest rate cut in February.

Ms Flaherty said sellers were also likely to be waiting for a better understanding of which party’s policies would be implemented, and how that could impact the market.

But with expectations of interest rate cuts ahead likely to boost housing market conditions, the economist said there could be a lift in activity this year instead of the traditional cool off in sales volumes heading into winter.

446 Balwyn Rd, Balwyn North - for herald sun real estate

446 Balwyn Rd, Balwyn North, sold for $2m in one of Melbourne’s top results under the hammer as Australia went to the polls.

Ms Flaherty said while home seller sentiment in Victoria had been the lowest in the nation in October last year, a rising list of positives for the market could break the tradition.

“And some owners will choose to sell because of that,” she said.

“So, compared to the traditional winter period, we could see activity pick up a little.”

Coupled with interest rates falling, Ms Flaherty has suggested home prices are likely to continue to rise in Melbourne this winter after a buoyant start to 2025 that has made the Victorian capital the nation’s second best performing housing market so far this year.

As Australia went to the polls this week there were 722 homes scheduled to go under the hammer across Melbourne, the highest figure in a three week span during which numbers fell as low as 144 in the lead up to Easter.

7 Hudson Court, Ashburton - for herald sun real estate

7 Hudson Court, Ashburton, was among the top home sales on the day of the federal election, with a $1.7m auction result.

Next week that number is forecast to jump to 866, and by mid May it’s expected to be just shy of 900.

Among the homes scoring the best results yesterday were a three-bedroom home at 2/25 The Strand, Williamstown, that sold for$4.15m, and a three-bedroom house at 446 Balwyn Rd, Balwyn North, which collected $2m at auction.

A $1.7m sale for a four-bedroom house at 7 Hudson Court, Ashburton, was the third strongest result for the day, according to PropTrack.


Sign up to the Herald Sun Weekly Real Estate Update. Click here to get the latest Victorian property market news delivered direct to your inbox.

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The post Melbourne auction numbers, prices tipped to rise heading into winter: PropTrack appeared first on realestate.com.au.

May 4, 2025/0 Comments/by JKents
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Newport: Three-level house hits the market on the ‘best street in the inner west’

69A The Strand, Newport is on the market.

Wake up and enjoy a coffee on the balcony of this three-storey Newport home with vistas over the city skyline and bay.

The number three is integral to the three-bedroom, three-bathroom home at 69A The Strand – with an almost $3m price tag and hopes of securing only its third owner.

Outgoing owner Julie Mackenzie said there “has never been one day I have looked out at the view and not appreciated” the house she’s called home for 10 years.

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“It’s been a beautiful time in my life, I’m very grateful to have been in this property,” she said.

With prime position on the west’s sought-after beachfront strip, the multi-level home features three separate bedrooms each with their own ensuite; two living areas; and two kitchens for fully independent living.


This includes the main bedroom, with luxurious space and views of Melbourne’s skyline, Hobsons Bay and ships arriving in the harbour.

Meanwhile an expansive backyard extends to The Strand, with landscaped gardens, a spa and entertaining area.

“We get the water but we get the city and also the boats – there’s a lot of movement and always a story to be told out the window,” Ms Mackenzie said.

A main lounge room.

The living area looks out to the balcony.

The swish kitchen.

Jellis Craig Williamstown agent Anthony Christakakis said the property’s price point is relatively affordable, compared to others on the up-market street.

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“The Strand is a really in-demand address,” he said.

“Waterfront, naturally, is the major appeal. It has two street frontages – a garage with its own separate entry then a driveway with landscape gardens and fish pond.

“And having split levels is really unique. It’s quite a narrow block but it doesn’t feel tight – it feels so much larger and wider than it may look.”

Views from one of the home’s three bedrooms.

The agent added that the flexibility of the home could accommodate everyone from a young family to downsizers or multi-generational buyers.

“It’s an extremely rare opportunity to buy on the best street in the inner west,” Mr Christakakis said.

Mackenzie agreed the home’s versatility is part of its appeal, having lived comfortably at the property with a friend.

Chill in your hot tub in your back yard.

Take in the city views from your balcony.

She is selling to downsize and travel more.

“My wish is that the third person who has the property loves it as much as I have. It’s a very special house and I wish for them the happiness I have had,” she said.

The Newport property is set for a forthcoming auction with $2.79m to $2.99m price hopes.


Sign up to the Herald Sun Weekly Real Estate Update. Click here to get the latest Victorian property market news delivered direct to your inbox.

MORE: Coburg: Dilapidated house sells for almost $1m after 70+ years in one family

Moonee Ponds heritage mansion with bank vault in the garage up for sale

Frankston North house price record: Local and interstate bidders battle for home

The post Newport: Three-level house hits the market on the ‘best street in the inner west’ appeared first on realestate.com.au.

May 4, 2025/0 Comments/by JKents
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Can quirky homes get Qlders on the property ladder?

The aircrete dome home built in Flaxton by artist Cath Wild. Picture: Supplied

Queenslanders have made some of the quirkiest things into homes and one prominent architecture expert reckons this ingenuity may just help the next generation of homebuyers during the housing crisis.

Throughout the Sunshine State people are living in planes, trains, space station-like bubbles, war bunkers and even a Barbie dream house, with their creations driven by budget constraints, inventiveness and a desire to standout.

But where some may view these quirky residences as oversized curios, Grand Designs Australia and Restoration Australia host Anthony Burke sees them as the work of trailblazers.

The professor of architecture said experimenting with home designs could lead to more affordable homes for Australians.

“We’re going to have to invent our way out of this (housing) problem,” he said.

“Australia is very risk adverse when it comes to our houses and that hasn’t budged much since the 1950s

“We need Australians to engage with a bit more risk-taking with our architecture.

“And while (quirky homes) aren’t necessarily the answer to the housing crisis, they are a good step towards breaking us out of business as usual.”

The property at 69 Faulkners Rd, Booie, has a Melbourne train carriage converted into a home. Picture: realestate.com.au

Mr Burke said he was seeing an increase in Australians willing to experiment with home building and renovation, particularly younger people.

“There’s a new generation of Australians who can’t afford a new home,” he said.

“They are the group that is going to reinvent what a house looks like because they can’t afford a house like it has looked for the past 70 years.

“(Quirky homes) are necessary to change our thinking.

“I think we’re going to see more of them is the next 20 years, the way we haven’t in the past 40 years.”

Buyer’s agent and managing director of Cohen Handler, Jordan Navybox said while “quirky” homes were once the purview of eccentrics, unique luxury homes were growing in popularity in South East Queensland.

“Prestige buyers do want a level of exclusivity and uniqueness,” he said.

“They want a home that is one-of-one.

“Brisbane is finally seeing this fashion and lifestyle movement and there are more architects pushing the boundaries in Brisbane.

“Rob Mills is a Melbourne architect doing a lot in Brisbane right now and so is Luigi Rosselli from Sydney.

“It’s super fashionable now to have a really beautiful and unique house and the more fashionable that becomes, the more boundary pushing we will see.”

Grand Designs Australia and Restoration Australia host Anthony Burke. Picture: Brad Harris

Lynn Malone of Queensland Sotheby’s, who is selling ‘Alkira’, a futuristic concrete residence built above a lake in Cape Tribulation, said it was more difficult to sell a quirky home but the trick was to know the buyers to target.

“Buyers’ reactions are often polarised — some are captivated by the unexpected and folly, while others have concerns about comparable property sales and valuations,” she said.

“The objective is to identify and reach the niche audience that aspires to acquire a property such as ‘Alkira Resort House’ and has the financial capability to purchase.

“Too much uniqueness, such as a remote location in Far North Queensland, can be a drawback for a traditional buyer.

“However, most prospective buyers for ‘Alkira’ view remoteness, privacy, and exclusivity as compelling attributes.”

Ms Malone said truly unique homes attracted strong interest when they hit the market.

“The challenge lies in translating that tremendous interest into genuine buyer inquiries,” she said.

Ms Malone said she had seen an increase in buyers willing to consider more quirky homes.

“Especially in the luxury real estate sector, buyers seek properties that offer authenticity, design innovation, and a connection with nature, particularly when buying a second or third residence,” she said.

Bubble House

The Bubble House of Ipswich was designed by the architect homeowner. Picture: Peter Wallis

Mr Burke said in general, owners of quirky homes could be broken down into two groups – those looking to experiment and those looking to express their personality.

“Some are inventions by necessity, such as inhabiting a train carriage because that’s all they could afford,” he said.

“Some, like the Bubble House (in Ipswich), are a labour of love and an experimental thesis.

“There’s also the really formally flamboyant house, which are more about puffing up and saying ‘I’m here, I’m doing something different’.

“It’s not an idea, it’s a power play.

“But the person with the lifelong thesis they’ve had in sustainable housing, that’s a labour of love and that comes from a strength of idea.”

Mr Burke said Aussies tended to appreciate the passion builds.

“There is an army of good taste cops out there that shake their but most people see something usual like the Bubble house and say ‘good on you for having a crack’,” he said.

“Australians, we love the underdog, the renegade, the brave eccentric.”

Alkira Resort House at Cape Tribulation. Picture: Supplied

Mr Burke said most who set out to build a unique home were the type to care little about the opinions of others.

“These are kind of places that stay in a family for as long as someone can live independently and, by that time, they’ve become landmarks,” he said.

“They become a bit precious, think mid-century Seidler homes and Robin Boyd homes.”

Mr Burke said he appreciated those homeowners, builders and architects ready to take the risk and do something outside the box.

“New materials, new technology, new processes – they will take a while to land in meaningful ways, but we need early adopters,” he said.

“Things like rammed earth are already coming back into play, which is good to see.”

Mr Burke said he hoped to see the experimentation occurring overseas start to influence Australians homeowners.

“They are 3D printing houses in Texas, mushroom houses grown and built out of mushroom are happening in the US and Europe, and we’re even seeing architectural structures made by silkworms.”

SOME OF QUEENSLAND’S QUIRKIEST HOMES

Bubble House

The Bubble House of Ipswich. Picture: Peter Wallis

1. Bubble House – Karalee

Built by architect owner Graham Birchall, this home took a decade to complete and is made from 11 intersecting circular domes.

The house began as a thesis idea more than 40 years ago and ended up a 20-room family home with 1050 sqm of floor space.

The striking Charles Wright-designed Alkira Resort House at Cape Tribulation. Picture: Supplied

2. Alkira Resort House – Cape Tribulation

This remote concrete masterpiece was designed by visionary architect Charles Wright and is positioned over a man-made lake and surrounded by 30ha of wilderness including a beach.

It took the original owner, stamp collector and property developer Rob Perry, five years to design and build the six bedroom, seven bathroom house.

The unusual swimming pool shape and surrounding roofline is based on the silhouette of the head on the ‘One Pound Jimmy’ postage stamp issued in Australia in the 1950s.

The Barbie Dream House lookalike at 51 Captain Cook Drive, Agnes Water. Picture: realestate.com.au

3. Barbie Dream House – Agnes Waters

This eye-catching home is spread across four levels with a party zone that includes a built-in bar, space for a pool table and guest bedrooms.

Like any good dream house, it has a bright colour scheme, a pool and plenty of space to entertain or just relax.

You can even see the ocean from the decks.

The property at 69 Faulkners Rd, Booie, has a Melbourne train carriage converted into a home. Picture: realestate.com.au

4. Train carriage home – Booie

Marketed as one of a kind and currently for sale, this 2.67ha property comes with a home created from a Melbourne train carriage.

The stainless steel carriage, measuring around 23m long and 2.9m wide, has a kitchen, dining, and lounge area, complete with original train handrails, a bathroom and a bedroom. There is also an added second bedroom and deck plus the block has a big shed and dam.

Silo house in Kairi. Picture: Supplied

5. Silo house – Kairi

This two-bedroom, one bathroom home is built into the side of historic grain silos that were bought for just $5000 in 2010.

The home sits in what was originally the office and weigh station, but all the machinery from the silos has been kept on site.

The silos themselves are accessed from inside the home, with a door opening to the first two silos and a shaft that runs underneath all four.

‘Gill House’ at 52 Wendell St, Norman Park. Picture: Supplied

6. Gill House – Norman Park

Designed to look like the gills of a shark, this modern riverside home is spread across four levels and has four bedrooms and four bathrooms.

Inside there is a 6.3m high void, marble-clad fireplace, a master suite that takes up an entire level, a round bathtub sitting under a skylight and a four-car stacker in the garage.

The property looks out over the Brisbane River and is currently for sale.

The ‘castle in the sky’ at Willow Vale. Picture: Supplied

7. Chateau sur-Ciel – Willow Vale

The name of this Gold Coast property aptly translates to ‘castle in the sky’.

Designed and built over a period of ten years by the original owners, the home has medieval-themed games room, a moat, a chapel and horse stables.

The six-bedroom home was inspired by a love of European art and architecture.

QLD_CM_NEWS_QUIRKYHOTEL_21FEB15

One of the former WWII bunkers converted in accommodation at Possum Park, Miles. Photographer: Liam Kidston.

8. Bunker house – Miles

The couple behind Possum Park Caravan Park, 20km north of Miles, turned a WWII bunker into their home after buying an abandoned air force base in 1986.

The 12m-long ammunition bunker, made from 10-inch thick concrete and covered with 1m of dirt, contains a bedroom, bathroom, office and open plan kitchen and living room.

The couple have also converted more bunkers, an army igloo, a plane and train carriages into guest accommodation.

The aircrete dome home built in Flaxton by artist Cath Wild. Picture: Supplied

9. Elysian Falls dome house – Flaxton

Artist Cath Wild designed and built this aircrete dome house on her property in the Sunshine Coast hinterland.

The four-dome structure is the first aircrete dome to have council build approval and covers just under 90 sqm.

Ms Wild made about 6000 aircrete blocks to complete the home and the build took about three years.

The former St Andrew’s Presbyterian Memorial Church in Innisfail, is now a private home. Picture: Supplied

10. Renovated church – Innisfail

The former St Andrew’s Presbyterian Memorial Church in Innisfail isn’t your typical church – it was designed by architect Eddie Oribin in the modernist organic style of Frank Lloyd Wright.

Now converted to a private residence, the home has triangular brickwork, patterned screen walls with green glass inserts, tulip oak walls, polished timber floors, original diamond shaped leadlight windows, a burning tree motif and a copper flower bowl.

There are three levels with open plan living, dining and kitchen, and a bedroom on a mezzanine level.

The post Can quirky homes get Qlders on the property ladder? appeared first on realestate.com.au.

May 4, 2025/0 Comments/by JKents
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5 ways to make your team more profitable: Streaming Now

Tune in as Vija Williams dishes out some tough love and good advice for team leaders and brokers looking to grow.

May 3, 2025/0 Comments/by JKents
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Here are our 10 most popular how-tos of 2025 (thus far)

Curious what your competition is consuming? Inman Service Editor Dani Vanderboegh rounds up the top trending topics, smart strategies and sage advice of the year as chosen by our readers.

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