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Study reveals Aussie suburbs with the lowest levels of housing approvals over two years

Proposed development in Brisbane’s Highgate Hill.

They are the suburbs where residents love to say “Not In My Back Yard”.

As Australia remains crippled by a national housing crisis, in which we are crying out for hundreds of thousands of new homes to be built, new research has uncovered the areas where residents and councils are standing in the way.

According to ABS data, the nation commenced work on just over 168,000 homes in 2024.

It was a 3000 property increase from 2023, but still fell 72,000 short of the 240,000 annual builds needed to reach the National Housing Accord’s 1.2 million new homes target by 2029.

A study by MCG Quantity Surveyors looked at building approvals over the past two years and

discovered that in the 24 months to January 2025, only 337,564 dwelling units were approved nationally.

Digging deeper, MCG pinpointed the specific areas with the lowest building approvals over that period. The suburbs identified had less than 5000 building approvals, coupled with less than a 1 per cent increase in housing stock.

Home under construction

Construction is struggling due to a number of issues. Picture: Getty

QUEENSLAND

Queensland is facing a critical shortage of homes in 65 suburbs marked as hotspots of NIMBY resistance, with virtually no new dwelling approvals despite growing demand and rising property prices.

The analysis revealed “an entrenched pattern of underdevelopment” across some of Brisbane’s most established inner and middle-ring suburbs, intensifying the state’s affordability crisis as families compete for a limited supply of new homes.

FULL LIST:Qld’s worst NIMBY suburbs

SOUTH AUSTRALIA

South Australia was found to have 15 key locations marked as NIMBY hotspots.

These locations included some of Adelaide’s most established suburbs.

“Australia’s housing market faces significant pressure due to surging population growth, heightened demand, and an alarmingly low rate of new dwelling approvals,” MCG Quantity Surveyors managing director Mike Mortlock said.

“While many regions grapple with meeting housing demand, certain suburb areas stand out starkly as hotspots of resistance to new developments.”

FULL LIST:SA’s worst NIMBY suburbs

Mike Mortlock from MCG Quantity Surveyors.

VICTORIA

Melbourne’s outer east has been revealed as Victoria’s NIMBY paradise, with a handful of areas recording fewer than 20 new home approvals in the past two years.

From The Basin and Montrose to Rowville and Frankston, there has been a less than 1 per cent increase in the supply of new homes since 2023.

However industry experts have warned there could be deeper issues with building costs, insurance availability and other market forces that could mean they are never developed.

Mr Mortlock said areas with restrictive zoning, strong heritage overlays, or vocal local councils could be problematic.

“These are the suburbs where new development is tightly controlled, and the existing character of the area is fiercely protected,” Mr Mortlock said.

“If you’re someone who values predictability in your streetscape and doesn’t want a mid-rise apartment block popping up next door, these locations offer a kind of residential preservation.”

FULL LIST:Victoria’s worst NIMBY suburbs

Australia desperately needs more construction. Picture: Zak Simmonds.

NEW SOUTH WALES

Chronic opposition to new housing in prime western suburbs has strangled attempts to supply Sydney with the vital homes needed to meet surging population growth.

The MCG analysis revealed multiple, large Harbour City enclaves where fewer than 20 new homes were built over the past two years, with local housing supply growing by less than a per cent.

There were 78 suburb areas identified as having “minimal to negligible” housing growth due to low dwelling approval rates.

The low approval rates were “indicative of local opposition or restrictive zoning practices”, the research revealed.

It comes as NSW continues to fall behind housing targets, with the state well short of the 377,000 homes needed to be built to meet the National Housing Accord target of 1.2 million new homes by 2029.

Sydney areas with the least new housing approvals tended to be established suburbs dominated by low density, single-level homes.

These suburbs often had space to grow and much of the community opposition to the new homes has been on density grounds.

FULL LIST:NSW’s worst NIMBY suburbs

The post Study reveals Aussie suburbs with the lowest levels of housing approvals over two years appeared first on realestate.com.au.

April 26, 2025/0 Comments/by JKents
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‘Crying out for more’: Major housing development on cards for Riverland town

It’s not seen a major housing development approved in over a decade.

But Berri’s housing drought could be about to end, with developers circling a major development site that could see the popular Riverland town welcome its first residential estate in 15 years.

Expression of interest are currently sought for Lot 45 McLean St, a 3.06ha site opposite the Berri Golf Course, for an undisclosed price guide.

Marketed as development ready, the sale comes with two professionally drafted concept plans which show the site could accommodate at least 34 new homes on individuals titles varying between 513sqm and 1919sqm in size.

Selling agent Greg Cram of Ray White Riverland, who is selling the property alongside Patrick Larkin, said the development could help address the region’s critical housing shortage.

Only this week, Berri was identified as one of 15 SA localities with notably low new dwelling approvals, indicative of significant restrictive planning frameworks.

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Supplied Real Estate Lot 45 McLean Street, Berri

The 3.06ha site could deliver the first new housing estate in Berri in over 15 years.

Supplied Real Estate Lot 45 McLean Street, Berri

The site is ready for development and sits adjacent Berri Golf Course.

Mr Cram said the last major housing development was approved in 2010, leading to the construction of 35 new homes between Jarvis St and Anthony St.

“With this development, a lot of people have been waiting for it. It’s in a very popular part of town and we’ve already had strong interest as far as inquiries go,” he said.

“But the next big thing will be about (for future buyers) seeing if the council is going to be progressive and accepting enough of the plans that people have for it.

“We’re finding that more and more people up here are giving up on building because one, they can’t find any land and two, it’s usually two or three years before they can get anything build (due to council approval).

Berri land development

Real estate agent Greg Cram at the Berri land development. Picture: Ben Clark

Supplied Real Estate Lot 45 McLean Street, Berri

Two professionally drafted concept plans already available to guide your vision

“But we really need more housing up here. In terms of rentals, there’s nothing.”

Research by MCG Quantity Surveyors shows that while 2831 new homes were approved in the Riverlands over the past 24 months, only five of those were in Berri.

This is despite housing demand having pushed up prices by 38.8 per cent over the last three years and an impressive 84.8 per cent since Covid. The average home now sells for $370,000.

Mr Larkin said the Riverlands were “crying out” for more homes.

“That’s especially true for Berri where most of the government services are and it’s more of the corporate hub and Renmark and Barmera are all just 20km away,” he said.

“So given it’s the heartland of the Riverlands, it’s absolutely crying out for more houses and land to develop.”

The post ‘Crying out for more’: Major housing development on cards for Riverland town appeared first on realestate.com.au.

April 26, 2025/0 Comments/by JKents
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Worst NIMBY suburbs: Sydney areas choking housing supply

Chronic opposition to new housing in prime western suburbs has strangled attempts to supply Sydney with the vital homes needed to meet surging population growth.

Alarming new analysis has revealed multiple, large Harbour City enclaves where fewer than 20 new homes were built over the past two years, with local housing supply growing by less than a per cent.

There were 78 suburb areas identified as having “minimal to negligible” housing growth due to low dwelling approval rates, according to the SuburbTrends and MCG Quantity Surveyors data.

The low approval rates were “indicative of local opposition or restrictive zoning practices”, the research revealed.

It comes as NSW continues to fall behind housing targets, with the state well short of the 377,000 homes needed to be built to meet the National Housing Accord target of 1.2 million new homes by 2029.

Sydney’s north shore was one of the city regions with the lowest approvals.

Sydney areas with the least new housing approvals tended to be established suburbs dominated by low density, single-level homes. Less than a third of the homes in these suburbs were units or townhouses when the last census was taken in 2021.

These suburbs often had space to grow and much of the community opposition to the new homes has been on density grounds.

Council areas where lower volumes of housing were being approved covered much of the north shore and the inner west, along with parts of the Hills District.

But individual suburbs flagged as some of the worst perpetrators of NIMBYism (Not In My Back Yard) were in Sydney’s outer west – where there is generally space for new housing developments.

They included Glenmore Park in Sydney’s outer west, along with Harrington Park, Londonderry and Bligh Park.

Real estate investor Peter Diamantidis, with wife Mary, built a house in Glenmore Park in the 2010s but said planning approvals were much easier to get back then.

Other pockets with particularly low housing approvals were Menai, Illawong and Alfords Point in the Sutherland Shire and Cromer, on the northern beaches. The research excluded suburbs with less than 1500 dwellings.

Low development in these areas was “placing significant pressure on existing housing stock and exacerbating local affordability issues”, the SuburbTrends and MCG research revealed.

MCG Quantity Surveyors director Mike Mortlock said low approvals in many areas painted a “clear picture of entrenched resistance to new housing”.

“Places like Glenmore Park, Illawong and Cromer are emblematic of the challenge: low-density communities, often with strong local identities, where planning inertia and local opposition continue to choke supply,” Mr Mortlock said.

Many of the areas with the lowest housing approvals could benefit from densification, he added.

MCG director Mike Mortlock said many of the areas with the least new home building could benefit from moderate densification.

“What’s striking is that several of these areas, such as Springwood and Wentworth Falls, offer the very lifestyle benefits that would make them ideal candidates for moderate densification. Yet we see barely a trickle of approvals,” Mr Mortlock said.

“These are the suburbs where policy needs to evolve from rhetoric to implementation, because the mismatch between demand and local supply is only widening.”

Regentville, Windsor and Yarramundi were also flagged as low development suburbs, although these suburbs had strict flood control or bush fire zones that limited where new housing could be built.

Regional towns within SA4 areas such as Newcastle, Wollongong, and The Central Coast also reflect strong opposition or restrictive planning policies, according to the research.

This has limited new housing growth in these areas despite them being critical to relieving housing pressures in metropolitan Sydney.

HIA Breakfast

HIA chief economist Tim Reardon said the housing approvals system needed an overhaul. Picture: Tertius Pickard

Housing Industry Association economist Tim Reardon said a “perfect failure” in the town planning system had allowed NIMBY tendencies to flourish in certain councils.

“Town planners get no reward for approving a development and face risks if they do approve a development,” he said.

Mr Reardon added that councils were often overly concerned with how new developments would influence voter decisions at local elections, thinking approvals would turn ratepayers against them.

“The areas where there is stronger resistance to new development tend to be older suburbs. We need to strike a balance between preserving these areas and supplying new housing.

“The solution is to take development approvals out of the hands of local councils and let state governments handle it while councils focus purely on town planning.”

Source: MCG Quantity Surveyors

Mr Reardon explained that a change in homeowner attitudes would also help.

“Opposition from rate payers to higher density developments is often with the view that it will devalue the existing homes and stretch amenities but new developments often deliver the opposite.

“Well-designed developments will often bring better amenities and services and make areas more desirable.”

Real estate entrepreneur Peter Diamantidis built a house in Glenmore Park back in the early 2010s and said the current planning system was unrecognisable compared to when he built.

“Most of the area was built about 30 years ago and they staggered land releases over a few years but now it’s really slow,” he said.

Source: MCG Quantity Surveyors

“There is a lot of land around there but it is not as easy to build.

“The problem with a lot of areas like this is that they are really poorly planned. A whole lot of promises were made about what kind of services would be built in the area but they often haven’t done that.

“There are a few suburbs that are like Glenmore Park. They have to be better serviced before they can be developed further. Right now, the infrastructure is coming in last.”

The post Worst NIMBY suburbs: Sydney areas choking housing supply appeared first on realestate.com.au.

April 26, 2025/0 Comments/by JKents
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Townsville’s worst NIMBY suburbs exposed

Townsville Ardo View

Townsville’s NIMBY hotspots have been revealed. Picture: Evan Morgan

Townsville is regional Queensland’s NIMBY capital with five of its suburbs being named in the top 10 NIMBY resistance hotspots thanks to almost non-existent new dwelling approvals.

A shock analysis revealed “an entrenched pattern of underdevelopment” across Queensland, intensifying the affordability crisis as families compete for a limited supply of new homes.

Research by MCG Quantity Surveyors pinpointed areas with the lowest building approvals across the past two years, with undersupply dire in Brisbane and regional growth areas from the Gold Coast to Townsville.

“Australia’s housing market faces significant pressure due to surging population growth, heightened demand, and an alarmingly low rate of new dwelling approvals,” MCG Quantity Surveyors managing director Mike Mortlock said.

“While many regions grapple with meeting housing demand, certain suburb areas stand out starkly as hotspots of resistance – often referred to as NIBMYism (Not In My Back Yard) – to new developments.”

In the 24 months to January 2025, only 337,564 dwelling units were approved nationally.

MCG’s report identified 65 suburbs in Queensland with less than 5,000 building approvals, coupled with less than a 1 per cent increase in housing stock.

MCG Quantity Surveyors managing director Mike Mortlock.

Five of the 10 worst regional Queensland suburb areas were in Townsville, three were in Central Queensland and one each in Mackay and Wide Bay.

Brisbane’s worst-ranked areas included: Wakerley, Riverhills, Seventeen Mile Rocks-Sinnamon Park, Middle Park-Jamboree Heights, Carindale, Jindalee-Mount Ommaney, Mansfield, Stafford Heights, Sheldon-Mount Cotton, and Boondall.

Topping the regional Queensland list was Cranbrook, followed by the Wulguru- Roseneath area and Annandale.

Also making the top 10 were Heatley and the Gulliver-Currajong-Vincent area.

Mr Mortlock said the dearth of approvals in Townsville reflected an “ongoing reluctance to densify or renew, even in the face of population pressures”.

The pattern was repeated across hubs including Mackay and Bundaberg.

“These are established communities with thousands of homes, yet the housing stock has barely budged,” he said.

“The risk here is clear: without intervention, affordability in these markets will erode just as quickly as in the capitals.”

Natalie Rayment, Brisbane town planner and CEO of YIMBY Qld, said homeowners with “blind faith” in opposing development risked “pricing a new generation out of the housing market”.

“Good housing policy and quality design are essential,” Ms Rayment said.

“But I like to ask people – if you say ‘no’ to more housing in your neighbourhood, then what are you saying ‘yes’ to?

“There’s always a trade-off, whether that be increasing housing costs, increased levels of homelessness or reducing opportunities to downsize and age in place in the future.

“There’s also added pressure to push new housing further out of the city, increasing the commute and potentially expanding into farm land or koala habitat.”

Development EGN

YIMBY CEO Natalie Rayment, near her office in Newstead. Picture: Lyndon Mechielsen

Ms Rayment said when a housing project was denied or delayed in response to strong community objection, it often led to further restrictive practices.

“Decision makers tighten up the rule book to ensure no more are allowed to slip through the system – think the townhouse ban, or capping heights, reducing floor plates, or increasing carparking numbers, each coming with a direct cost on housing,” she said.

“Worse still, each time this happens, it rocks the confidence of the housing sector, reducing the risk appetite needed to get new projects off the ground.

“It’s a downward spiral. And we need a re-set. Urgently.”

NIMBY pressure in wealthier suburbs like Noosa, New Farm and Main Beach was strong, as homeowners fought to preserve “neighbourhood character”, Ms Rayment said.

“But NIMBY pressure plays out in many areas, often opposing affordable housing options like smaller units,” she said.

“Recently, we’ve seen even more intense objections to social and affordable homes, with some residents going beyond planning issues to raise concerns about social issues like youth crime.”

Building approvals for new houses and units plummeted across much of the state over the summer months.

While approvals for detached homes and units rose by 8.4 per cent from last year, the 36,147 homes approved fell short of the government’s annual target of 50,000 new homes.

The three-month trend to February 2025 shows approvals down by 8.8 per cent – blowing out to about 30 per cent in regions like Mackay and Whitsunday, Far North Queensland, and the Gold Coast.

ASCOT AURORA

Building approvals are down in Townsville. Picture: David Clark

Master Builders CEO Paul Bidwell highlighted a critical skills shortage.

“The disconnect between the number of people entering the construction industry and the workload is growing, and is the most pressing challenge for our sector,” Mr Bidwell said.

The Construction Skills Queensland Horizon 2032 report found the shortfall in workers will intensify to around 50,000 by 2026-27.

“With a pipeline of just over $59b in homes, schools, hospitals, and community infrastructure in play for 2024-25, and the 2032 Olympic and Paralympic Games projects ahead, it’s time to rethink our approach to finding more workers.”

The housing shortage is a key issue ahead of next week’s election, with both major parties unveiling policies aimed at addressing the supply-demand imbalance.

Ray White economist Nerida Conisbee said skyrocketing building costs had made it more affordable to buy an existing home than purchase a new one – undermining policies aimed at encouraging new construction.

“Construction challenges have worsened, with industry insolvencies continuing to rise and now exceeding 1200 annually,” Ms Consibee said.

“Labor productivity remains low, and the average time to complete a house has increased from approximately 6.5 months pre-pandemic to over 10 months today.

“These factors severely limit the industry’s capacity to deliver on ambitious housing targets.”

The post Townsville’s worst NIMBY suburbs exposed appeared first on realestate.com.au.

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Townsville critically undersupplied

Generic aerial photo of Townsville. Picture: Supplied

Townsville needs more than 9000 new homes within the next five years to house its booming population, a new report has revealed, as the number of dwelling approvals in the North Queensland region has plummeted since 2021.

The recent report by property analyst Michael Matusik predicted prices in the critically undersupplied Townsville property market would shoot up, building on a strong run of price growth in 2024 and driven by the shrinking supply of new houses and apartments.

Mr Matusik said dwelling approvals and dwelling registrations had slumped so low in the past four years, the demand equation for current approvals in Townsville was sitting at one new dwelling for every six adults looking for a home while dwelling registrations were at one new dwelling for almost nine adults.

Mr Matusik said the city had grown by an estimated 3850 new residents in 2024, taking Townsville’s population to 205,283 and making it the region’s largest growth spurt on record.

“Much of the lift in population growth is expected to be in older age groups, and in particular downsizers and retirees, which is leading to heightened demand for premium apartments,” he said.

At the same time property prices in the NQ region had skyrocketed.

ASCOT AURORA

Building approvals are down in Townsville. Picture: David Clark

Mr Matusik said Townsville has been among the top regional performers with median apartment and home values surging almost 30 per cent in 2024 – led by apartment price growth.

“The Townsville market is well into the upswing phase of the property cycle as evidenced by median house values increasing 28 per cent last year,” he said.

“But local median apartment prices were tracking even higher than the broader market, rising 29 per cent.

“This compares with the median results for other major Australian regions, which saw housing prices rise, on average, just 3.5 per cent during 2024.”

The report found almost 1875 new residences would need to be built in Townsville each year over the next five years to meet sustained demand.

Mr Matusik said the Townsville unit market was particularly undersupplied and with just two approved apartment projects in Townsville to hit the market in the past twelve months, representing 50 dwellings in total, supply issues looked to continue.

Property analyst Michael Matusik. Picture: Bev Lacey

The Matusik report found on average across the Queensland coast, new boutique apartments were typically priced between $20,000 per square metre and $22,000 per square metre – levels likely to hold despite any potential market corrections.

“This price has almost doubled since Covid-19,” said the report.

“It is important to note that whilst pricing has increased substantially since the pandemic this was primarily due to the increases in the cost of construction.

“These costs are fixed and not market driven, so any correction to costs of construction is unlikely.

“In fact, it is very rare – when looking back over five decades of data – that housing construction prices fall.”

One of the developments underway in Townsville is Maidment Group’s $65 million ‘Marina Residences’.

Comprising 18 apartments across 10 levels, Marina Residences apartments range in price from $2.7m to $3.5m, with a 495sqm Sky Home priced at $7.5m.

The development offers gross floor rates of $12,000 to $15,500 per square metre.

“This is around 35 per cent less than similar new apartment product elsewhere along the Queensland coast,” Mr Matusik’s report said.

The post Townsville critically undersupplied appeared first on realestate.com.au.

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Couple’s two-for-one housing solution

56 Hoff Street, Mount Gravatt East

Replacing a post-war house on a double block, Paul and Yiota Russo built two modern five-bedroom homes, contributing much-needed housing to a fast-evolving Brisbane suburb.

Mr Russo, a civil engineer, said he enjoyed the challenge of creating a home for his growing family in Mount Gravatt East, an area undergoing a generational shift.

“It’s a fantastic area for families where many of the older homes are being rebuilt or renovated,” he said. “We’ve been very well-supported through the development process.”

With their third child on the way, the family has listed their “forever home” at 56 Hoff St for sale.

The sleek home has a pool and al fresco entertaining area

The sleek five-bedroom, three-bathroom home is marketed by Place Woolloongabba agents Savva Koulouris and Michael Garcia.

The Russos purchased an 810 sqm block for $877,000 in 2017, undertook a subdivision, and demolished the old three-bedroom house to make way for two three-storey homes on separate titles.

The first home was built during the pandemic and most recently sold for $1.85m in 2022.

Built by Gant Constructions, each home was designed to maximise the captivating mountain views across a 405 sqm hillside lot.

The home was designed to capture beautiful mountain views

At 56 Hoff St, a stylish kitchen with LED-lit stone benchtops anchors open-plan living areas crowned by a double-height void.

Outdoor spaces include a spacious front balcony, rear al fresco patio, barbecue kitchen, pool, and flat backyard.

A guest bedroom is downstairs, while timber stairs lead to the remaining four bedrooms, including a lavish master suite, along with a study nook and media room.

The home is within walking distance to public transport, cafes, restaurants, gyms, and shops, and is close to good schools and Griffith University.

High-quality, contemporary finishes throughout

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Mr Koulouris said Mount Gravatt East was emerging as a hub of new development that was well-supported by the area’s relatively young demographic.

“We are seeing that next ring out of the city is now starting to be developed, purely for its land availability in a location that offers good amenities and accessibility to the CBD,” he said.

“Over the next five to six years, we will see more and more construction of bigger homes on smaller parcels of land.”

Real Estate

Paul and Yiota Russo, pictured with daughters Angelina, 2, and Maree, 3, are selling to take on another project. Picture: Nigel Hallett

With the countdown on until the arrival of their new baby, Mr Russo and his accountant wife are preparing to take on another project, this time at Holland Park close to Mrs Russo’s parents.

PropTrack data shows house prices in Mount Gravatt East increased by 14.9% over the past 12 months, reaching a median of $1,203,250.

The property is being sold via an expressions of interest campaign.

The post Couple’s two-for-one housing solution appeared first on realestate.com.au.

April 26, 2025/0 Comments/by JKents
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Listed: SA’s worst NIMBY hotspots

South Australia is facing a critical shortage of homes in 15 key locations marked as hotspots of NIMBY resistance, with virtually no new dwelling approvals despite growing demand and rising property prices.

A shock analysis revealed “an entrenched pattern of underdevelopment” across some of Adelaide’s most established suburbs, intensifying the state’s affordability crisis as families compete for a limited supply of new homes.

Research by MCG Quantity Surveyors pinpointed areas with the lowest building approvals over the past two years, with undersupply also dire in regional growth areas, including Berri, Port Pirie, Peterborough and Mount Remarkable.

“Australia’s housing market faces significant pressure due to surging population growth, heightened demand, and an alarmingly low rate of new dwelling approvals,” MCG Quantity Surveyors managing director Mike Mortlock said.

“While many regions grapple with meeting housing demand, certain suburb areas stand out starkly as hotspots of resistance – often referred to as NIBMYism (Not In My Back Yard) – to new developments.”

In the 24 months to January 2025, only 337,564 dwelling units were approved nationally.

MCG’s report identified 15 suburbs in SA with less than 5000 building approvals, coupled with less than a 1 per cent increase in housing stock.

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Home under construction

GENERIC RESIDENTIAL HOMES BUILDING AUSTRALIA STOCK IMAGES: CREDIT GETTY

Adelaide’s worst-ranked areas included: Hallett Cove, Coromandel Valley, Aberfoyle Park, Sheidow Park, Trott Park, Flagstaff Hill, Woodcroft and Happy Valley.

“In South Australia, the pattern is most concentrated in Adelaide’s southern suburbs, where household growth is being outpaced by a lacklustre supply pipeline,” Mr Mortlock said.

“Suburbs like Hallett Cove, Aberfoyle Park and Flagstaff Hill show the hallmarks of low-approval inertia-well-established, owner-occupied enclaves with limited infill opportunities and persistent resistance to change.

“Even in regional centres like Port Pirie and Berri, where affordability is strong, new supply remains surprisingly muted.  “This isn’t just a planning issue—it’s cultural. Without a shift in attitudes toward housing renewal and moderate density, these communities risk becoming increasingly exclusive, and increasingly out of reach.”

MORE NEWS: Nation needs to build 260k homes a year to meet target

Supplied Real Estate SA'S NIMBY suburbs

SA’S Top 10 NIMBY suburbs.

Separate research by the Australian Bureau of Statistics shows Australia missed its housing construction targets so badly in 2024 that instead of needing to build 240,000 homes a year – that figure has now jumped to 260,000.

According to the data, the nation commenced work on just over 168,000 homes in 2024.

It was a 3000 property increase from 2023, but still fell 72,000 short of the 240,000 annual builds needed to reach the National Housing Accord’s 1.2 million new homes target.

Locally, SA is falling almost 26 per cent below its housing quota for the last September quarter, Property Council of Australia data shows.

According to the PCA, SA delivered only 3104 new homes between July and September 2024 – 1087 short of the 4191 required per quarter to meet the National Housing Accord Target.

In the year to September 2024, SA completed 11,854 homes, despite an annual supply target of about 16,000 homes, the council said.

MORE NEWS: Federal Election 2025: Labor, Coalition housing policies slammed

MCG Quantity Surveyors managing director Mike Mortlock.

“The Property Council recently conducted research showing that Adelaide is now Australia’s second most expensive housing market on a relative basis and only trails Sydney when you consider incomes relative to house prices and that if action is not taken this will worsen out to 2030,” PCA executive director for SA Bruce Djite said.

“Suburban infill is an important piece of the supply puzzle and considering the enabling infrastructure challenges currently plaguing the state, infill is the fastest way to materially increase supply and give us a slim chance of achieving our share of the National Housing Accord Target.

“While the Malinauskas Government is investigating how it can increase the supply, density and diversity of various forms of housing, we have called on the government to refrain from further populist policy such as tree and garaging provisions that bow to suburban NIMBY pressures and rather to investigate how statutory development costs are impacting supply and affordability.”

Ray White economist Nerida Conisbee said skyrocketing building costs had made it more affordable to buy an existing home than purchase a new one – undermining policies aimed at encouraging new construction.

“Construction challenges have worsened, with industry insolvencies continuing to rise and now exceeding 1,200 annually,” Ms Consibee said.

“Labor productivity remains low, and the average time to complete a house has increased from approximately 6.5 months pre-pandemic to over 10 months today.

“These factors severely limit the industry’s capacity to deliver on ambitious housing targets.”

The post Listed: SA’s worst NIMBY hotspots appeared first on realestate.com.au.

April 26, 2025/0 Comments/by JKents
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Qld’s 65 worst NIMBY hotspots named

Queensland’s NIMBY suburbs have been revealed

Queensland is facing a critical shortage of homes in 65 suburbs marked as hotspots of NIMBY resistance, with virtually no new dwelling approvals despite growing demand and rising property prices.

A shock analysis revealed “an entrenched pattern of underdevelopment” across some of Brisbane’s most established inner and middle-ring suburbs, intensifying the state’s affordability crisis as families compete for a limited supply of new homes.

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Research has revealed an entrenched pattern of underdevelopment in Brisbane

Research by MCG Quantity Surveyors pinpointed areas with the lowest building approvals over the past two years, with undersupply also dire in regional growth areas from the Gold Coast to Townsville.

“Australia’s housing market faces significant pressure due to surging population growth, heightened demand, and an alarmingly low rate of new dwelling approvals,” MCG Quantity Surveyors managing director Mike Mortlock said.

“While many regions grapple with meeting housing demand, certain suburb areas stand out starkly as hotspots of resistance – often referred to as NIMBYism (Not In My Back Yard) – to new developments.”

In the 24 months to January 2025, only 337,564 dwelling units were approved nationally.

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Mike Mortlock, of MCG Quantity Surveyors says approvals remain astonishingly low

MCG’s report identified 65 suburbs in Queensland with less than 5,000 building approvals, coupled with less than a 1 per cent increase in housing stock.

Brisbane’s worst-ranked areas included: Wakerley, Riverhills, Seventeen Mile Rocks-Sinnamon Park, Middle Park-Jamboree Heights, Carindale, Jindalee-Mount Ommaney, Mansfield, Stafford Heights, Sheldon-Mount Cotton, and Boondall.

“These are areas with well-developed infrastructure and strong local appeal – but approvals remain astonishingly low,” Mr Mortlock said.

“Many of these suburbs have seen virtually no change in their housing stock despite growing demand and rising prices.

“The inner and middle-ring suburbs are where reform is most needed, yet they’re also the most resistant to change. It’s a critical pressure point in Brisbane’s broader affordability story.”

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Thousands of Qld empty-nesters refuse to budge

Site of the proposed build-to-rent project at 652 New Cleveland Rd, Wakerley

NIMBYism claims were levelled at Wakerley residents who attempted to block a proposal by a local church to build 44 affordable townhouses on its own land.

The State Facilitated Development was approved this month, despite more than 3,400 signatories to a Change.org petition demanding the government stop the “housing commission development” on New Cleveland Rd.

Among objections, one resident claimed “Gumdale and Wakerley have been earmarked to be converted to a lower-class ghetto”, while another lamented “drug addicts and refugees” who would devalue the area.

The build-to-rent project, put forward by the Archdiocese of Brisbane, will provide housing capped at 74.9 per cent of market rent.

Meanwhile, a medium-density housing proposal for 47 apartments across four storeys in

Highgate Hill has attracted scores of objections.

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Proposed Highgate Hill development

Resident submissions lodged with council detail concerns about noises and traffic, while a few state current residents of the 2402 sqm site on Westbourne St would be displaced.

The project was labelled an “absolute eyesore” and “innapropriate intrusion into this historically significant area”.

Outside Brisbane, five of the 10 worst regional suburb areas were in Townsville, three in Central Queensland, and one each in Mackay and Wide Bay.

Mr Mortlock said the dearth of approvals in Townsville reflected an “ongoing reluctance to densify or renew, even in the face of population pressures”. The pattern was repeated across hubs including Mackay and Bundaberg.

“These are established communities with thousands of homes, yet the housing stock has barely budged,” he said.

“The risk here is clear: without intervention, affordability in these markets will erode just as quickly as in the capitals.”

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YIMBY Qld co-founder Natalie Rayment. Pic: Lyndon Mechielsen/Courier mail

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Natalie Rayment, Brisbane town planner and CEO of YIMBY Qld, said homeowners with “blind faith” in opposing development risked “pricing a new generation out of the housing market”.

“Good housing policy and quality design are essential,” Ms Rayment said.

“But I like to ask people – if you say ‘no’ to more housing in your neighbourhood, then what are you saying ‘yes’ to?

“There’s always a trade-off, whether that be increasing housing costs, increased levels of homelessness or reducing opportunities to downsize and age in place in the future. There’s also added pressure to push new housing further out of the city, increasing the commute and potentially expanding into farm land or koala habitat.”

Townsville was home to many of the regional suburbs with the lowest rates of new dwelling approvals

When a housing project was denied or delayed in response to strong community objection, it often led to further restrictive practices.

“Decision makers tighten up the rule book to ensure no more are allowed to slip through the system – think the townhouse ban, or capping heights, reducing floor plates, or increasing car parking numbers, each coming with a direct cost on housing,” Ms Rayment said.

“Worse still, each time this happens, it rocks the confidence of the housing sector, reducing the risk appetite needed to get new projects off the ground. It’s a downward spiral. And we need a re-set. Urgently.”

NIMBY pressure in wealthier suburbs like Noosa, New Farm and Main Beach was strong, as homeowners fought to preserve “neighbourhood character”, Ms Rayment said.

“But NIMBY pressure plays out in many areas, often opposing affordable housing options like smaller units.

“Recently, we’ve seen even more intense objections to social and affordable homes, with some residents going beyond planning issues to raise concerns about social issues like youth crime.”

Low approval rates threaten affordability in popular Queensland suburbs including Carindale

Building approvals for new houses and units plummeted across much of the state over the summer months.

While approvals for detached homes and units rose by 8.4 per cent from last year to 36,147 that number fell short of the government’s annual target of 50,000 new homes.

The three-month trend to February 2025 shows approvals down by 8.8 per cent – blowing out to about 30 per cent in regions like Mackay and Whitsunday, Far North Queensland, and the Gold Coast.

The housing shortage is a key issue ahead of next week’s election, with both major parties unveiling policies aimed at addressing the supply-demand imbalance.

Ray White chief economist Nerida Conisbee.

Ray White economist Nerida Conisbee said skyrocketing building costs had made it more affordable to buy an existing home than purchase a new one – undermining policies aimed at encouraging new construction.

“Construction challenges have worsened, with industry insolvencies continuing to rise and now exceeding 1,200 annually,” Ms Conisbee said.

“Labor productivity remains low, and the average time to complete a house has increased from approximately 6.5 months pre-pandemic to over 10 months today.

“These factors severely limit the industry’s capacity to deliver on ambitious housing targets.”

The post Qld’s 65 worst NIMBY hotspots named appeared first on realestate.com.au.

April 26, 2025/0 Comments/by JKents
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Melbourne suburbs hailed as ‘NIMBY paradise’ revealed

3 Cards Lane, Olinda - for herald sun real estate

Homes in suburbs like Olinda have been labelled a NIMBY’s paradise.

Melbourne’s outer east has been revealed as a NIMBY’s paradise, with a handful of areas recording fewer than 20 new home approvals in the past two years.

From The Basin and Montrose to Rowville and Frankston, there has been a less than 1 per cent increase in the supply of new homes since 2023.

A report by MCG Quantity Surveyors has dubbed the locations as among the city’s ‘Not In My Back Yard’ (NIMBY) hot spots, and those potentially needing urgent intervention to ensure more homes get built there.

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However, industry experts have warned there could be deeper issues with building costs, insurance availability and other market forces that could mean they are never developed.

MCG managing director Mike Mortlock said areas with restrictive zoning, strong heritage overlays, or vocal local councils can often serve as a “NIMBY’s paradise”.

“These are the suburbs where new development is tightly controlled, and the existing character of the area is fiercely protected,” Mr Mortlock said.

“If you’re someone who values predictability in your streetscape and doesn’t want a mid-rise apartment block popping up next door, these locations offer a kind of residential preservation.”

10 Shearer Drive, Rowville - for herald sun real estate

Rowville came in the top 10 of Victoria’s NIMBY hotspots.

However, he said these home protections could also lead to housing undersupply — meaning stability for existing residents could arguably come at “the cost of broader housing affordability”.

“The reality is we’re grappling with a tangled web of issues — sluggish planning systems, tax burdens that inflate the cost of new housing, and a reluctance to acknowledge that a healthy rental market, supported by balanced policies for landlords, is a critical part of the solution,” Mr Mortlock said.

Urban Development Institute of Australia Victorian chief executive Linda Allison said topography and building costs could be preventing development in many of the areas, with steep inclines in the Dandenong’s difficult to build on.

With developing in Melbourne at the moment already “very difficult” due to the economics behind building, Ms Allison said “market forces” were likely having a significant impact on where developers were actively looking to create more homes.

MCG managing director Mike Mortlock said areas with restrictive zoning, strong heritage overlay can serve as a “NIMBY’s paradise”

“It’s good to have clear directions of where the government thinks the future of development should be, and they are very centred on train stations — which are good places for people to live and work close by,” Ms Allison said.

Yes In My Back Yard (YIMBY) lead organiser Jonathan O’Brien said in some of the areas that fire danger could also be a factor.

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If that was the case, there might be an argument more homes should not be permitted there as it could lead to extra government costs for evacuations and protecting homes in emergencies.

However, Mr O’Brien said across wider Melbourne more areas should be freed up for development so homebuyers could “vote with their feet” on where they wanted to live.

41 Swansea Rd, Montrose - for herald sun real estate

Montrose, which came in third on the list, has a typical home price of around $930,000.

“The reality is there’s two forms of NIMBY: the older, richer people who are turning up to council meetings and saying no; and the planning rules and regulations,” Mr O’Brien said.

“We have a lot of areas where people would like to build townhouses so they can age in place, but they legally can’t do it.”

Mr Mortlock said those hoping to “avoid the symphony of jackhammers and the parade of tradies’ utes” should seek out low-density zoning such as residential overlays, or regions covered by heritage protections and conservation areas that were “red flags” for development.

“So if you’re hunting for serenity, look for suburbs with restrictive planning overlays, a vocal resident base, and a local council that’s more clipboard than bulldozer,” he said.

35 Nodding Ave, Frankston North - for herald sun real estate

Frankston North was also a surprise entry on the list for NIMBY hotspots around Melbourne.

In The Basin, LOCI Real Estate director Michael Hill said there were pockets where council rules would be hampering development in favour of preserving neighbourhood character — and that appealed to many buyers.

“We are getting quite a few people moving from Hawthorn and Camberwell to The Basin for a tree change,” Mr Hill said.

“So there would be a market for more homes.”

VICTORIA’S NIMBY PARADISES

Area: Approvals (2 years) — Percentage of wider area approvals — Typical House Price

The Basin: 6 — 0.40% — $840,000

Montrose: 10 — 0.40% — $930,000

Mr Dandenong-Olinda: 16 — 0.50% — $1.03m

Rowville-South: 16 — 0.50% — $1.01m

Upwey-Tecoma: 170.50%$848,000

Belgrave-Selby: 17 — 0.50% — $870,000

Wandin-Seville: 15 — 0.60% — $900,000

Rowville-North: 18 — 0.70% — $1m

Frankston North: 53 — 0.70% — $630,000

Wendouree-Miners Rest: 45 — 0.70% — $465,000

Areas cover Statistical Area 2 from the Australian Bureau of Statistics

Source: MCG Quantity Surveyors


Sign up to the Herald Sun Weekly Real Estate Update. Click here to get the latest Victorian property market news delivered direct to your inbox.

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The post Melbourne suburbs hailed as ‘NIMBY paradise’ revealed appeared first on realestate.com.au.

April 26, 2025/0 Comments/by JKents
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Experts analyze growth strategies of eXp and Compass

With eXp Realty and Compass Real Estate sitting atop RealTrends Verified’s 2025 Brokerage Rankings in terms of increases in volume and transaction side growth, fast-growing new models are knocking at the door.

“There are a lot of new models out there,” said Steve Murray, a senior advisor to HousingWire and founder of the RealTrends Verified Brokerage Rankings. “But at the core, the fundamentals haven’t changed as much as people want to believe.”

Craig McClelland, president of Atlanta-based LOCAL Realty, agrees and said the current moment is less about reinvention and more about refinement. He noted that the game may be changing, but only for those who can keep up with it.

“The playing field may look wide now,” McClelland said, “but it’s narrowing quickly.”

table visualization

When evaluating five-year movers (2021-2025), eXp Realty leads in volume growth, adding $80.46 billion for a total of $152.66 billion. Compass followed closely with an increase of $79.04 billion, totaling $231.04 billion.

table visualization

Over the past five years, in terms of transaction sides, eXp Realty saw the most significant increase, adding 111,138 sides to reach a total of 350,119. Compass followed with an increase of 84,001 sides, totaling 228,785. 

Gaining an edge are new low-cost players.

“The top 10 movers by volume over the last five years split into two camps,” Murray explained. “Half are flat-fee or low-cost, organic growth players like eXp, United, Fathom, Samson, and LoKation. The other half — Compass, Hanna Holdings, and Sotheby’s — have mainly grown through acquisitions. Then there are the outliers like Jason Mitchell Group and Mark Spain, who rely on volume-heavy, lead generation tactics. They’re lead gen monsters. It’s smart, and they’re very good at it.”

Two roads diverge and meet again

At the surface level, the rise of eXp Realty and Compass represents a fork in the road for brokerage models.

eXp has grown rapidly through a decentralized, low-overhead model powered by virtual offices and agent-led recruiting. Compass has leaned heavily on a centralized strategy of mergers and acquisitions, acquiring brokerages, and signing top agents to lucrative contracts.

“eXp is very similar to the Keller Williams model,” McClelland said. “They created the downline to create a profit share, and eXp refined that. It’s a different model of profit share, but they share revenue, and they’ve got virtual offices, so they’ve crushed (operating expense) costs.”

Murray also cited parallels between eXp and Keller Williams.

“They mimicked Keller Williams with the cap but added revenue sharing and stock incentives,” he said. “They had no offices, which kept their overhead low. The big inflection point came when they hired five or six former top regional Keller execs — people who really knew how to build recruiting systems.”

That strategy worked — fast.

“(eXp) just took off,” Murray said. “Even though the last few years their U.S. growth has slowed, it was enough to put them among the top movers by volume.”

Compass, meanwhile, took a more aggressive approach to recruitment, targeting top producers with upfront incentives and multi-year agreements.

“They took the M&A model used in the industry for many years and refined it for agent acquisition,” McClelland said. “It’s a trade-off; I’ll give you a revenue load upfront, you stick with me.”

Notable acquisitions for Compass over the past year include Christie’s International Real Estate and @properties, luxury real estate firm Washington Fine Properties, and Gulf Coast-based brokerage Latter & Blum.

Compass has also been the subject of rumors regarding its possible acquisition of Berkshire Hathaway HomeServices, but has not offered clarification on the matter.

In Q4, Compass reported a 26% year-over-year revenue increase, reaching $1.4 billion, along with a 24% increase in transactions. For the full year 2024, Compass achieved $5.6 billion in revenue and generated $122 million in operating cash flow.

eXp Realty reported $4.6 billion in revenue for all of 2024, a 7% increase from the previous year, with $1.1 billion generated in Q4. The company closed $185.2 billion in transaction volume for the year, marking a 9% annual rise.

Despite any business model differences, both Compass and eXp are executing on a similar premise, paying agents out of top-line revenue to fuel rapid expansion, McClelland said.

“eXp is paying a piece of top-line revenue to bring in another agent. Compass is paying a piece of top-line revenue to bring in your production,” he said. “They’re quite alike.”

Shifting ground

McClelland acknowledged that the industry landscape is shifting fast — especially in the wake of the National Association of Realtors’ commission lawsuit settlement.

He sees big implications for business models that rely on large numbers of lower-producing agents.

“A lot of new and hobbyist agents don’t have the negotiation skills to articulate the value of their commissions,” McClelland said. “They’re stepping away from the business. When that happens, companies based on volume [may] have problems.”

The commission ruling could shake the very foundation of the buy-side-heavy “cap” model, he added.

“The big shift isn’t just that buyer brokerage agreements are being signed,” said McClelland. “It’s that listing agents no longer have a reason to pre-secure the buyer brokerage commission for the buyer’s agent. That’s a seismic change.”

Murray agreed that the industry is facing a moment of reckoning.

He points to historical parallels, such as Century 21’s explosive rise in the 1980s, followed by a decline after a series of corporate ownership changes.

“They dominated through franchising, which was a new model at the time,” Murray said. “But when they sold to a conglomerate, then to MetLife, it all started to slip.”

He sees similar risks for today’s companies that are utilizing some version of the eXp model — like United or Fathom.

“They’re offering flat fees, revenue share. It’s competitive now,” Murray said. “The edge eXp had is gone.”

Back to the basics

In a market full of complexity, Murray and McClelland agreed on a simple approach; relationships, reputation, and a real understanding of what agents need.

“Glenn (Sanford, CEO of eXp) was brilliant,” McClelland said. “He built a better Keller Williams. And Compass, they’ve done some brilliant things too. Both models have validity.”

But long-term survival, they argue, will depend less on disruption and more on discipline.

“More of the noise will fall away,” McClelland said. “We’ll get back to what works. Real support. Real relationships. Real production.”

Murray summed it up matter-of-factly; “The names might change, the tech might change. But in the end, it’s still about the people.”

April 26, 2025/0 Comments/by JKents
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